Excellent value in Premier League today
2023-09-03

Przem

外籍分析师

英超

09/03 21:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Aston Villa have really good chances to make big troubles for Liverpool and avoid big loss here. +1.5 AH (or +1) on away side looks like really solid option to play. Simply I don’t see easy win for hosts.


Last time both teams played each other on Anfield Road in May. Match finished with draw 1:1 and Aston Villa looked like a better team: expected goals scored for Aston Villa 1.35, for Liverpool 0.75.


Since Unai Emery came to the Villa Park they are looking excellent. In 2023 only Manchester City recorded more points than Aston Villa in Premier League.


Guests failed badly in opening match on away against Aston Villa, but team bounced back on good track in best possible way – 4 wins in a row (two in Premier League and two in Europa League qualies) 15 goals scored in the process and only one conceded. They coming for this game full of confidence.


Liverpool won in last round against Newcastle, but that wasn’t convincing at all (0.67 expected goals scored). I don’t see easy goals for them today. Aston Villa like to sit little bit deeper at the back on away and wait for deadly counter attacks. With Unai Emery they went unbeaten in 10 of 14 away league matches so far.


I believe Aston Villa is able to score at least one goal today and that should be enough to make this match close. Liverpool so far conceded at least one goal in all 3 league matches. In addition to that, today hosts without their best central defender Van Dijk. Without him in previous season Liverpool failed to win in 3 of 4 Premier League matches.


On those circumstances I see excellent value on away side here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,阿斯顿维拉有很好的机会给利物浦制造麻烦,避免大损失。+1.5 AH(或+1)在客场看起来是一个非常可靠的选择。很简单,我认为东道主不会轻易取胜。


上一次两队在安菲尔德球场交手是在五月份。比赛以1:1结束,阿斯顿维拉看起来更像一支球队:阿斯顿维拉的预期进球数为1.35,利物浦为0.75。


自从埃梅里来到维拉公园后,他们看起来非常棒。在2023年的英超联赛中,只有曼城的积分超过了阿斯顿维拉。


客队在首场客场对阵阿斯顿维拉的比赛中惨败,但球队以最好的方式恢复了良好的状态——4连胜(英超2连胜,欧联杯预选赛2连胜),进15球,只丢1球。他们对这场比赛充满信心。


利物浦在上一轮对纽卡斯尔的比赛中获胜,但这并不令人信服(预期进球数为0.67)。我不认为他们今天能轻松进球。阿斯顿维拉在客场时喜欢在后场坐得更深一些,等待致命的反击。在埃梅里的带领下,他们至今在14场客场比赛中保持了10场不败。


我相信阿斯顿维拉今天至少能进一个球,这应该足以让这场比赛接近。迄今为止,利物浦在所有3场联赛中至少丢了一个球。除此之外,今天东道主失去了他们最好的中卫范迪克。上个赛季没有他的利物浦在4场英超比赛中3场失利。


在这种情况下,我认为在客场有很大的价值。

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