Who'll break down the bad run?
2023-09-02

Borja

外籍分析师

英超

09/03 00:30

已完赛

布赖顿
1:0
纽卡斯尔
解读理由:

Both teams have UEFA Champions League qualification ambitions and are looking to immediately respond to losses suffered against West Ham and Liverpool respectively. For Newcastle, this is not a team they would have wanted to face as they bid to avoid suffering a third consecutive loss.

These two clubs were arguably the biggest overachievers in the Premier League last season and there have been signs for both teams that they’re going to do well this year too.

Brighton opened the season with two 4-1 thrashings, first of new boys Luton Town and then Wolves before a 3-1 loss to West Ham, which came as a real shock. However, if we delve beyond the scoreline you can see that they largely dominated the game. They had double the amount of shots of West Ham, more on target, over three times the amount of passes, and had a huge 78% of possession. The reality is that West Ham played their counter-attacking brief perfectly, but on another day it could have been hugely different.

Still, Brighton have not lost consecutive matches since October 2022, which was when Roberto De Zerbi was taking charge of just his second and third matches after replacing Graham Potter.

With Julio Enciso out for Brighton, it’s the time to put the focus on Kaoru Mitoma’s influence against Newcastle. The Japan international already has three goal involvements this season and only Man City playmaker Phil Foden (six) has created more chances following a ball carry than Mitoma (five).

Despite losing to West Ham, Brighton are sixth in the league table and within striking distance of the early leaders. They have racked up the most shots (68), shots on target (30), touches in the opposition box (159) and accumulated the most xG (7.7) of any side in the Premier League so far this season.

For context on their attacking prowess, the 30 attempts on target is the most a team has had in their opening three games in a season for over a decade, with Manchester City – who had an incredible 31 in the 2011-12 season – the last side to generate a higher total.

A team with those impressive statistics are therefore not ideal opponents for Newcastle to face at a time they are desperate to avoid suffering a third straight Premier League defeat.

Newcastle only have three points so far this season, but again, just like that Brighton loss to West Ham, it doesn’t tell the whole story. After starting the season with a statement victory, that incredible 5-1 demolition of Aston Villa, they faced Man City and Liverpool. They were beaten by Man City but managed to keep it to a one-goal defeat, by no means a disgrace, and they had some moments in that game. Then last week they lost 2-1 to a Darwin Nunez-inspired Liverpool. They had the lead up until the 81st minute when the Uruguayan scored the first of two sensational finishes. For large parts, they were the better team and had some very positive moments.

So far through three games Newcastle have faced three of last year’s top seven clubs in the Premier League and in Brighton they face a fourth. It’s a seriously tough start to the season and when it comes to this match I can’t look beyond a draw, which is a result that would be good for both sides, especially after their defeats last weekend.

However, if I have to choose one winner, Brighton is the team. They have shown a better performances so far, will have the control of the game and the home crowd support.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

两支球队都有欧洲冠军联赛资格的野心,并且都希望能在分别输给西汉姆和利物浦后立即做出反应。对于纽卡斯尔来说,这不是他们想要面对的球队,因为他们正在努力避免三连败。

这两支球队可以说是上赛季英超联赛中表现最出色的球队,而且有迹象表明,这两支球队今年也会表现出色。

布莱顿以两场4-1的大败拉开了赛季的序幕,先是输给了新人卢顿镇,然后是狼队,最后以3-1输给了西汉姆,这真是令人震惊。然而,如果我们深入研究比分,你会发现他们在很大程度上控制了比赛。他们的射门次数是西汉姆的两倍,射正次数更多,传球次数是西汉姆的三倍,控球率高达78%。事实是西汉姆联完美地发挥了他们的反击战术,但在另一天,情况可能会大不相同。

尽管如此,布莱顿自2022年10月以来没有连续输过一场比赛,那是罗伯托·德泽比接替格雷厄姆·波特后执教的第二场和第三场比赛。

随着恩西索在布莱顿的缺席,是时候把注意力放在三oma对纽卡斯尔的影响上了。这位日本国脚本赛季已经打进了3个进球,只有曼城的组织者菲尔·福登(6个)在持球后创造的机会比三oma(5个)多。

尽管输给了西汉姆联,布莱顿仍然排在联赛第六位,距离领头羊只有一步之遥。本赛季到目前为止,他们的射门次数(68次)、射正次数(30次)、在对方禁区内的触球次数(159次)和累计xG(7.7次)都是英超所有球队中最多的。

对于他们的进攻能力来说,30次射门是十多年来一支球队在一个赛季的前三场比赛中射门次数最多的,曼城在2011-12赛季有令人难以置信的31次射门,是最后一支创造这个数字的球队。

因此,在纽卡斯尔迫切希望避免英超三连败的情况下,一支拥有如此惊人数据的球队并不是他们的理想对手。

纽卡斯尔本赛季到目前为止只拿到了3分,但是,就像布莱顿输给西汉姆一样,这并不能说明全部情况。在赛季初以一场令人难以置信的5-1大胜阿斯顿维拉之后,他们面对的是曼城和利物浦。他们被曼城击败,但他们设法保持了一球的失利,这绝不是耻辱,他们在那场比赛中有一些时刻。上周,他们1 - 2不敌达尔文-努涅斯(Darwin nunez)带领的利物浦。他们一直领先,直到第81分钟,乌拉圭人打进了两个精彩的进球中的第一个。在很大程度上,他们是一支更好的球队,有一些非常积极的时刻。

到目前为止,经过三场比赛,纽卡斯尔已经面对了去年英超前七名中的三支球队,而在布莱顿,他们将面对第四支球队。这是一个非常艰难的赛季开局,当谈到这场比赛时,我不能指望平局之外的结果,这对双方来说都是好事,特别是在上周末的失利之后。

然而,如果我必须选择一个赢家,布莱顿是球队。到目前为止,他们表现得更好,他们将控制比赛,并得到主场球迷的支持。

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