A GREAT match to bet on! $$$ 欧协联比尔森VS杜保尔
2023-08-31

Tapio

外籍分析师

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Plzen VS Tobol


Plzen and Tobol lock horns in this UEFA Conference League Qualification final round second leg battle at Doosan Arena early Friday morning Beijing time. The hosts are a Czech team and the visitors come from Kazakhstan. This is the third-highest of UEFA's international club competitions. Neither club are among the elite clubs in Europe so I expect both teams to be highly motivated here. There is quite a lot of prize money available in this competition! I – along with many other professional football bettors, football journalists and fans - was a little unsure if this competition would really interest even the middle-sized clubs – for example Plzen - in Europe.. However, it seems that almost all clubs really do want to succeed in this competition! Even the Roma players and the legendary coach, Jose Mourinho were very happy after winning the Conference League in 2022. Last season the winners were West Ham from England and their players and fans, too, were very satisfied with the opportunity of finally being able to lift a trophy! My fans and I have done very well betting on this competition both long-term and in recent weeks - indeed we have won five picks in a row! We have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! We must realize that there is a huge difference in class between the two teams. The hosts have a significant edge in all areas of the game! Yes they are a much better organized team as a whole and also have a better coach but most importantly have much more individual skill. They have also seem to be a more physically fit team than Tobol. Their edge over Tobol is bigger in terms of offensive quality than defensively. Indeed, Tobol's attacks lack speed, creativity, passing accuracy near the opponent's goals as well as individual skill at critical moments at this level. Plzen, along with Sparta Prague, have the best fans in the Czech Republic and offer a massive boost to the hosts! 

According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com the Plzen squad has a market value of around 30 million euros but this is, in my expert opinion, clearly too low! I would set the number at around 36-37 million. The visitors' players have a total market value of only about six million which is too a little low but we can see that the hosts are much bigger team. Last season they even played in the Champions League group stage! They beat the champions of Finland, HJK Helsinki, 5-0 at home on their way to the group stage. HJK's squad has a market value of around eight million and are a better team than Tobol. At home they can challenge even some big teams and should easily beat a team of Tobol's caliber. They have a 65% chance of winning by a margin of at least two goals. The recommended bet is Plzen -1.5 goals - odds of around 1.70 are widely available. Plzen won the first leg 2-1 last week and were the better team. Cadu scored the opening goal in the 73 minute. After that they defended hard and Tobol were able to create some chances. Tobol's Deble scored the 1-2 goal in the 90+8 minute from the penalty spot. Now Tobol will have to take some risk in an attempt to level the score an aggregate.. This will most probably not end well! However, I expect Plzen to leave nothing to chance and dominate the match right from the kick off. A quick goal would probably depress Tobol and I would not be too surprised to see the final score being 3-0 or even 4-0. The Kazakhstan Premier League is of much lower level than the Czech Fortuna Liga. Tobol are having a lame season and are in the 6th place with just 28 points and a bad score difference – 20:24. Ordabasy, who top the standings, have 49 points in their pocket. In their latest game, four days ago, Tobol were lucky to get a point through a 0-0 draw at home against Ordabasy who had 58% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (12-7), shots on goal (5-2), attacks as well as dangerous attacks – 60-33. Plzen have not played since the first first leg.



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Plzen VS Tobol


北京时间周五凌晨,普莱岑和托博尔将在欧足联资格赛决赛次回合的斗山体育馆展开激战。东道主是捷克队,客队来自哈萨克斯坦。这是欧足联第三高的国际俱乐部比赛。这两家俱乐部都不是欧洲的精英俱乐部,所以我希望这两支球队在这里都有很高的动力。在这场比赛中有相当多的奖金!我和许多其他职业足球投注者、足球记者和球迷一样,有点不确定这项比赛是否真的会引起欧洲中型俱乐部的兴趣,比如Plzen。然而,似乎几乎所有的俱乐部都真的想在这场比赛中取得成功!即使是罗马球员和传奇教练穆里尼奥在2022年赢得联盟联赛冠军后也非常高兴。上赛季的冠军是来自英格兰的西汉姆联,他们的球员和球迷也对最终能够举起奖杯的机会感到非常满意!我和我的粉丝们在这项比赛的长期和最近几周都做得很好——事实上,我们已经连续赢得了五次选择!我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们必须认识到这两个队在阶级上有很大的不同。东道主在比赛的所有领域都有明显的优势!是的,他们是一支更有组织的球队,也有更好的教练,但最重要的是他们有更多的个人技巧。他们似乎也是一支比托博尔更健康的球队。他们对托博尔的优势在于进攻质量大于防守质量。事实上,托博尔的进攻缺乏速度、创造力、在对手球门附近传球的准确性,以及在这个级别的比赛中关键时刻的个人技术。普拉岑和布拉格斯巴达拥有捷克最好的球迷,他们将为东道主提供巨大的支持!

根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,Plzen的市场价值约为3000万欧元,但在我看来,这显然太低了!我估计这个数字在3600万到3700万之间。客队球员的总市值只有600万左右,这有点低,但我们可以看到主队的规模要大得多。上赛季他们甚至还参加了欧冠小组赛!他们在主场以5比0击败芬兰冠军赫尔辛基hbk,进入小组赛。恒大的球队市值约为800万欧元,比托博尔更强。在主场,他们甚至可以挑战一些强队,应该可以轻松击败像托博尔这样的球队。他们有65%的机会以至少两个球的优势获胜。推荐的赔率是Plzen -1.5个进球——赔率在1.70左右的赔率普遍存在。上周,Plzen以2-1的比分赢得了首回合的胜利,他们表现得更好。卡杜在第73分钟打进了第一球。在那之后,他们努力防守,托博尔也创造了一些机会。在90+8分钟的时间里,托博尔队的迪布尔在点球点打进了1-2的进球。现在托博尔将不得不冒一些风险,试图扳平比分。这很可能不会有好结果!然而,我希望普拉岑能从开球开始就控制比赛。一个快速的进球可能会让托博尔感到沮丧,如果看到最终比分是3-0甚至4-0,我也不会太惊讶。哈萨克斯坦超级联赛的水平比捷克的幸运联赛低得多。托博尔本赛季表现不佳,目前仅以28分排名第6位,分差20:24。排名第一的奥达巴什队已经拿到了49分。在四天前的最后一场比赛中,托博尔队在主场0-0战平了控球率为58%的奥尔达巴西,并取得了更多的进球次数(12-7),射门次数(5-2),进攻和危险进攻(60-33),幸运地获得了一分。自首回合比赛以来,普拉岑就没有参加过比赛。

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