Charlotte vs Orlando City

Charlotte host Orlando City for this MLS clash at Bank of America Stadium early Thursday morning Beijing time. This league has raised its level a lot during the past 8-10 years. Clubs from the US and Canada play in this league. Now Messi Jordi Alba and Sergio Busquets have joined Inter Miami which brought a lot of media attention to MLS and Inter Miami as well. This is a good thing for this league. We can expect a match of mediocre level here between these two teams. There is, however, a pretty clear difference in terms of pure class between the two teams. Yes, the home advantage in the MLS is bigger than in many other leagues but it seems that the bookies have given this factor too much emphasis here.. Indeed, Charlotte do not have very good fans by the MLS standards. Moreover, they have won just four home games at Bank of America Stadium in the MLS this season. Their score difference at home is negative 17:18. Only two other teams share this bad record. Furthemore, they have won just one of their latest home games in this league. Even so, the biggest, sometimes somewhat smart bookies with the largest stake limits see them as solid favorites here - offering them odds of around 2.30 to take all three points. This is, based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based analysis, way too low. I see Orlando as marginal favorites here. Their chance of avoiding defeat is 67%. We will go for the Orlando +0.5 goals handicap option.

Orlando have an edge over the hosts in all areas of the game! They took many more points than Charlotte last season already. They currently occupy the 4th place in the Eastern Conference where both teams play. They hav 43 points to their account. Rather interestingly, their number of expected points (xPTS) is smaller though – 41.76 to be precise. Usually a team that has taken more points than they would have deserved in terms of xPTS is not a good team to bet on but sometimes this does happen. Indeed, the main rat They have been strong offensively scoring 39 goals in the MLS. However, defense is their best area of the game. Indeed, they have allowed just 30 goals – just two more than FC Cincinnati, the dominant team in this Conference with 54 points to their account. Orlandos' number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is just 28.02. Their defense has an excellent structure and the midfielders actively take part in defending. Charlotte's defense on the other hand has been leaky this season! It has a poor structure and their defenders make too many silly mistakes. They have conceded 41 goals in this league so far. I do not see them having much potential for improvement in this area of the game. Their offense is not bad but still lacks creativity. They have netted the ball 32 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is smaller – 28.44. They are in the 12th place with 29 points but would have deserved just 26.99 points in terms of xPTS. Their recent results are pretty good but on the pitch they have not really convinced me. In their latest game they beat Los Angeles FC at home but this match could easily have gone either way. The visitors generated 2.43 in xG – Charlotte recorded 1.89. The visitors have been much better lately. Indeed, they have won five of their most recent games. They beat st. Louis in their most recent match 2-1 at home. They had 57% ball possession and also recorded more shots on goal, goal attempts, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. They also generated much more in xG – 1.59-0.58.

夏洛特vs奥兰多

北京时间周四凌晨，夏洛特队将在美国银行体育场迎战奥兰多队。在过去的8-10年里，这个联赛的水平提高了很多。来自美国和加拿大的俱乐部参加这个联赛。现在梅西，乔迪·阿尔巴和塞尔吉奥·布斯克茨加盟了国际迈阿密，这也给美国职业足球大联盟和国际迈阿密带来了很多媒体的关注。这对联盟来说是件好事。我们可以预期这两支球队的比赛水平一般。然而，就纯粹的阶级而言，两支球队之间存在着相当明显的差异。是的，美国职业足球大联盟的主场优势比许多其他联盟都要大，但似乎博彩公司在这里过于强调了这个因素。事实上，按照美国职业足球大联盟的标准，夏洛特并没有很好的球迷。此外，他们本赛季在美国大联盟的美国银行体育场只赢了四场主场比赛。他们在主场的比分是负17分18秒。只有另外两支球队有这样的糟糕记录。此外，他们在最近的主场比赛中只赢了一场。即便如此，最大的，有时有些聪明的博彩公司也有最大的赌注限制，认为他们在这里是可靠的热门-为他们提供约2.30的赔率，以获得所有三分。根据我复杂的、强有力的基于数据的分析，这太低了。我认为奥兰多是最受欢迎的球队。他们避免失败的几率是67%。我们会选择奥兰多+0.5个进球的障碍选项。

奥兰多在比赛的各个方面都比东道主有优势!他们上赛季已经比夏洛特得到了更多的分。他们目前在两队比赛的东部联盟中排名第四。他们的账户上有43分。相当有趣的是，它们的期望值(xPTS)更小，准确地说是41.76。通常情况下，一支拿到比他们应得的分数更多的球队并不是一支值得押注的好球队，但有时这种情况确实会发生。事实上，主力球队在进攻端表现强劲，在美国职业足球大联盟打入39球。然而，防守是他们在比赛中表现最好的领域。事实上，他们只丢了30个球，只比辛辛那提FC多了2个，辛辛那提FC是东部联盟中得分最高的球队，拿到了54分。奥兰多的预期失球数(xGA)只有28.02个。他们的防守结构很好，中场球员积极参与防守。另一方面，夏洛特的防守本赛季漏洞百出!它的结构很糟糕，他们的后卫犯了太多愚蠢的错误。到目前为止，他们在联赛中已经丢了41个球。我不认为他们在这方面有很大的进步潜力。他们的进攻还不错，但仍然缺乏创造力。他们有32次进球，但他们的预期进球(xG)较少，为28.44。他们以29分排在第12位，但如果以积分计算，他们只应该得到26.99分。他们最近的成绩相当不错，但在球场上他们并没有真正说服我。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场击败了洛杉矶足球俱乐部，但这场比赛很容易就会出现两种结果。游客在xG产生2.43 -夏洛特记录1.89。客人们最近好多了。事实上，他们在最近的比赛中赢了五场。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场以2比1击败了圣路易斯。他们有57%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数、进球尝试次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。它们在xG - 1.59-0.58中也产生了更多。