Racing Club de Avellaneda VS Boca Juniors

Racing Club host Boca Juniors for this Copa Libertadores quarter-final second leg Thursday Beijing time. We can expect a match of mediocre pretty good level by this competition's standards here between these two teams. This is the biggest club competition inSouth America. The stakes are, indeed, high. I expect a cautious and low scoring encounter. Both team play in the Argentinian Liga Profesional/ Copa de la Liga Profesional which is on average a pretty low-scoring league. Here the goal expectancy is exceptionally low – even lower than the bookies think.. In my expert opinion, the probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 70.5%. Furthermore, a draw would most certainly not surprise anyone.. In fact I see the draw as the most probable result – this is very rare in football! The probability of this result is 35.50% and it would be enough to bring my fans and me yet another winner betting on South American football with the recommended +0.5 handicap option on Boca Juniors. The biggest, sometimes pretty sharp bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers see the hosts as favorites here – offering them odds of around 2.65-2.70 to win in regulation time, This is too definitely too low! The home advantage is substantial, no denying that. However, Racing Club do not have the very best fans.. However, Boca have some very talented and most importantly experienced players who will not be intimidated by the crowds. With today’s lineups, taking the home advantage into account, Boca Juniors deserve to be the favorites here.

Boca Juniors are one of the biggest clubs in terms of financial resources and players’ total market value according to a well-known German website, Transfermarkt.com. Their squad is valued at 63 million euros. This is perhaps a little too high.. The hosts' players have a total market value of around 40 million and this is way too high. I would set the number at around 34 million. Boca Juniors have achieved a lot of trophies in the past. I expect them to raise their level here in a match with a lot at stake. However, the last Liga Profesional season which was played before Copa de la Liga Profesional started, was a massive disappointment! They finished in 7th place with 44 points to their account. Despite the fact that they still finished better than Racing I was forced to lower their power rating - that reflects the teams’ pure class with the best starting eleven – many times during the Liga Profesional last season.. The bookies now seem to have reacted too strongly. They have potential for much better! The hosts finished in 12th place last season with 36 points. Their number of expected points (xPTS) was 32.11. Boca were unlucky to lose to Sarmiento Junin 0-1 away from home last Sunday (Argentina time) They recorded 1.12 in xG – the hosts managed 0.21.Boca also had 75% ball possession. Their main focus was probably in this game against Racing. Racing took an undeserved 2-1 win away from home in their most recent game over Tigre. The hosts generated 1.54 in xG – Racing managed just 0.56. Tigre also recorded 29 goal attempts - Racing's number was just six.The first leg was a goalless draw last Thursday but Bica recorded a little more than Racing Club in xG – 0.76-0.61.

阿维利亚内达竞技俱乐部VS博卡青年队

北京时间周四，阿根廷竞技俱乐部主场迎战博卡青年队，进行解放者杯1 / 4决赛次回合比赛。我们可以期待这两支球队之间的比赛，以这次比赛的标准来看，这是一场中等水平的比赛。这是南美洲最大的俱乐部比赛。风险确实很高。我希望这是一场谨慎的低分对决。两支球队都参加了阿根廷职业联赛/西甲联赛，这是一个平均得分很低的联赛。这里的进球预期非常低——甚至比博彩公司认为的还要低。在我看来，总进球数少于2.5个的概率是70.5%。此外，平局肯定不会让任何人感到惊讶。事实上，我认为平局是最有可能的结果——这在足球界是非常罕见的!这个结果的概率是35.50%，这足以给我和我的球迷带来另一个南美足球的赢家，并推荐博卡青年队的+0.5障碍选项。最大的，有时是相当精明的赌徒接受客户的最大赌注，在这里看到东道主是最受欢迎的-提供赔率约2.65-2.70在规定时间内获胜，这实在是太低了!不可否认，主场优势是巨大的。然而，赛马会并没有最好的车迷。然而，博卡有一些非常有天赋和经验丰富的球员，他们不会被观众吓倒。从今天的阵容来看，考虑到主场的优势，博卡青年队应该是最受欢迎的。

根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，博卡青年队在财政资源和球员总市场价值方面是最大的俱乐部之一。他们的球队价值6300万欧元。这可能有点太高了。东道主球员的总市值约为4000万美元，这太高了。我估计这个数字在3400万左右。博卡青年队在过去赢得了很多奖杯。我希望他们能在这场事关重大的比赛中提高自己的水平。然而，在西甲联赛开始之前的最后一个赛季，是一个巨大的失望!他们以44分排名第七。尽管他们的表现仍然好于Racing I，但在上赛季的职业联赛中，他们被迫多次降低了他们的能量评级——这反映了球队拥有最佳首发11人的纯粹等级。博彩公司现在似乎反应过于激烈了。他们有潜力做得更好!东道主上赛季以36分排在第12位。他们的期望值(xPTS)为32.11。上周日(阿根廷时间)，博卡不幸在客场0-1不敌萨米恩托·朱宁。他们在xG比赛中取得了1.12的进球，而东道主只得到了0.21。博卡也有75%的控球率。他们的主要注意力可能集中在对Racing的比赛上。在最近一场对老虎队的比赛中，赛车队在客场取得了一场不应得的2-1胜利。东道主在xG上获得了1.54分，而赛车只获得了0.56分。老虎也有29次射门，而拉辛只有6次。上星期四的第一回合是一场0比0的平局，但是比卡的战绩比赛马会略高，比分是0.76比0.61。