Copenhagen VS Rakow Czestochowa

Copenhagen welcome Ralow for this UEFA Champions League qualification final round second leg clash Parken Stadium in early Thursday morning Beijing time. The hosts are a Danish team, the visitors came from Poland. Football fans and us serious-football fans can expect a match of relatively good level here. In the Champions League group stage both teams would probably struggle though.. Rakow, a bit surprisingly, won the Polish Ekstraklasa last season. I want to mention that the Danish Superliga is on average a better squad than Ekstraklasa. There are more exceptionally skilled individuals in the Ekstraklasa than Superliga but most teams play much better-organized football than in Ekstraklasa. They took a total of 75 points last season but their number of expected points (xPTS) was just 68.02. They are not a traditional big club in Poland and are expected to do worse this season..  FC Copenhagen were strong last season winning the Superliga. They were clearly the best team in this league. They scored a massive 61 goals. Nordsjalland, who finished in 2nd place, scored just 50 goals. Offensively Copenhagen have a big edge In terms of defensive quality, on the other hand, the difference over Rakow is smaller but still significant.

Copenhagen won the first leg 1-0 in Poland last week. They were pretty defensive, even passive - especially after later into the second half. They took the lead in the 9th minute through Racivitan. They would probably have been okay even with a draw. After taking the lead they let Rakow keep the ball surprisingly much but defended in a very organized way. The hosts had 53.45 % ball possession and recorded more goal attempts. Both teams had two shots on goal. We should not give these statistics. too much emphasis. The biggest, sometimes rather sharp bookies offer Copenhagen odds of around 1.70-1.75 to win. This is too high as based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based analysis they have a 63% chance of bringing fans and me yet another winner betting on UEFA's club competitions! According to a well-known and well-respected German website, Transfermarkt.com PSV are a much bigger team. Their squad has an estimated market value of over 61 million euros. This is clearly too low. I would say that 71-73 million would be the fair number. Three of their players are undervalued. The Rakow squad has a market value of about 39 million which is too high in my expert opinion. I would set the number at around 33 million. We have to accept the fact that Copenhagen do not have to win this game to qualify. However, I believe they will be active here aiming at scoring one or two goals! Why give the worse team, Rakow a true fighting chance..? The home advantage here is massive as the Copenhagen fans are extremely enthusiastic and offer a big boost. Rakow will have to take risks here as they are trailing on aggregate and I believe this will cost them.. I also want to mention that they were somewhat lucky to qualify over Qarabag 4-3 earlier in the qualification..

哥本哈根VS拉科夫切斯托霍瓦

北京时间周四凌晨，哥本哈根欢迎罗罗参加欧冠资格赛决赛次回合比赛。东道主是丹麦队，客队来自波兰。足球迷和我们这些严肃的球迷可以期待一场相对高水平的比赛。在欧冠小组赛阶段，两支球队可能都会挣扎。有点令人惊讶的是，拉科夫上赛季赢得了波兰的Ekstraklasa。我想说的是，丹麦超级联赛平均来说比埃克斯特拉克拉萨更好。与超级联赛相比，Ekstraklasa有更多技术高超的球员，但大多数球队的足球组织都比Ekstraklasa好得多。上赛季他们一共拿到了75分，但是他们的期望得分(xPTS)只有68.02分。在波兰，他们不是传统意义上的豪门，本赛季的表现可能会更差。哥本哈根足球俱乐部上个赛季实力很强，赢得了超级联赛。他们显然是这个联盟中最好的球队。他们进了61球。排名第二的北嘉兰队只进了50个球。在进攻端，哥本哈根有很大的优势。在防守质量方面，另一方面，与拉科夫的差距较小，但仍然很重要。

哥本哈根上周在波兰以1比0赢得首回合比赛。他们防守很好，甚至很被动——尤其是在下半场后期。他们在第9分钟由拉西维坦取得领先。即使是平局，他们也可能打得很好。在取得领先后，他们出人意料地让拉科夫控球，但他们的防守非常有组织。东道主的控球率为53.45%，进球次数也更多。两队都有两次射门。我们不应该给出这些统计数字。过分强调。最大的，有时相当敏锐的博彩公司给出的哥本哈根获胜赔率约为1.70-1.75。这个数字太高了，因为根据我复杂的、强有力的数据分析，他们有63%的机会给球迷和我带来另一个欧足联俱乐部比赛的赢家!根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的说法，埃因霍温是一支更大的球队。这支球队的市值估计超过6100万欧元。这显然太低了。我认为7100万到7300万是个合理的数字。他们的三名球员被低估了。Rakow队的市场价值约为3900万，这在我的专家看来太高了。我把这个数字定在3300万左右。我们必须接受这样一个事实:哥本哈根不必赢得这场比赛就能出线。但是，我相信他们在这里会很活跃，目标是进一两个球!为什么要给更差的Rakow一个真正的战斗机会?主场优势是巨大的，因为哥本哈根的球迷非常热情，给了我们很大的鼓舞。Rakow将不得不承担风险，因为他们总比分落后，我相信这会让他们付出代价。我还想提一下，他们在预选赛早些时候以4-3战胜卡拉巴格出线有点幸运。