A FINE match to bet on! $$$
2023-08-29

Tapio

外籍分析师

阿职联杯

08/29 08:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Atletico Tucuman VS Instituto de Córdoba


Atl. Tucuman welcome Rosario Instituto this Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional round 2 clash Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro early Tuesday morning Beijing time. We can expect a match of decent level here between these mediocre teams here. This League is of mediocre level by global standards but is the second-best league in South America, after the Brazilian Serie A. This league is, similarly to many other South American leagues – for example the Brazilian Serie A – a pretty low-scoring one on average. Here the goal expectancy is particularly low – even lower than the betting market thinks think. In my expert opinion, the probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 74.5 %. None of the hosts latest seven games have gone over the 2.5 goals line. Furthermore, a draw would most certainly not surprise anyone and would probably be an acceptable result for both teams.. The probability of this result is 34.5 % and it would be enough to bring my fans and me yet another winner betting on Argentinian football with the recommended +0.5 handicap option on Instituto. The biggest, sometimes pretty smart bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers see the hosts as solid favorites here – offering them odds of around 2.30 to take all three points. This is too low in my expert opinion. The home advantage in this league is bigger than in most pretty good - or top-leagues. Some 45% matches are home wins in the long run. Tucuman have taken many wins in a row at home but this factor seems to have given too much emphasis by the bookies here..

The hosts played a goalless draw in their latest game against Rosario Central away from home. They were lucky to get a point as the hosts were the better team on the pitch. They had 56% ball possession and recorded much more in expected goals (xG) – 0.98-0.24. They also had more goal attempts, shots on goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. Atl. Tucuman’s offense was very poor in this game – once again and this is not good for them ahead of this difficult game against Instituto. Their offense has looked too predictable and slow lin many games lately. I want to mention that Instituto, are a much better team than their last season in Liga Profesional would suggest. Before this Tucuman were pretty good and beat Central Cordoba 2-0 away from home. However, the hosts played much below their normal level. Insitituto, on the other hand, took a fine 1-0 away win in their latest game over Arsenal Sarandi after generating 1.21 in xG – the hosts managed just 0.48. This must be a big boost for their confidence!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

图库曼竞技VS Instituto de Córdoba


Atl。北京时间周二凌晨,图库曼欢迎罗萨里奥学院参加阿根廷西甲联赛第二轮比赛。我们可以期待这两支平庸的球队之间有一场不错的比赛。按照全球标准,这个联赛的水平一般,但却是南美洲第二好的联赛,仅次于巴西甲级联赛。与许多其他南美联赛(例如巴西甲级联赛)类似,这个联赛的平均得分很低。这里的进球预期特别低——甚至比博彩市场认为的还要低。在我看来,总进球数少于2.5个的概率是74.5%。东道主最近七场比赛都没有进球超过2.5球。此外,平局肯定不会让任何人感到惊讶,可能对两队来说都是可以接受的结果。这个结果的概率是34.5%,这足以给我和我的球迷带来另一个赢家,在Instituto上推荐+0.5障碍选项赌阿根廷足球。最大的,有时是相当聪明的,接受客户最大赌注的博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的,他们提供了大约2.30的赔率来获得所有三分。以我的专业意见,这太低了。这个联赛的主场优势比大多数优秀联赛或顶级联赛都要大。从长远来看,大约45%的比赛是主场获胜。图库曼已经在主场取得了很多连胜,但是这个因素似乎被这里的博彩公司给了太多的重视。

东道主在最近一场客场对阵罗萨里奥中央的比赛中以0比0打平。他们很幸运能得一分,因为主队在场上表现更好。他们的控球率为56%,预期进球(xG)为0.98-0.24。他们也有更多的进球尝试、射门、进攻和危险进攻。Atl。图库曼的进攻在这场比赛中非常糟糕——再一次,这对他们在对阵Instituto的艰难比赛之前来说不是好事。他们的进攻在最近的许多比赛中看起来太容易预测和缓慢。我想说的是,Instituto是一支比他们上赛季在西甲联赛中表现得更好的球队。在此之前,图库曼表现不错,在客场2-0击败了中央科尔多瓦。然而,东道主的表现远远低于他们的正常水平。另一方面,institutituto在客场1-0完胜阿森纳,他们在上一场比赛中打进了1.21球,而主队只打进了0.48球。这对他们的信心肯定是很大的鼓舞!

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