A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2023-08-29

Tapio

外籍分析师

阿职联杯

08/29 07:00

已完赛

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Banfield VS Rosario Central


Banfield welcome Rosario Central for this Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional round 2 clash at Estadio Florencio Sola in Buenos Aires early Tuesday morning Beijing time. We can expect a match of mediocre level here between these two teams here. This League is of mediocre level by global standards but is the second-best league in South America, after the Brazilian Serie A. This league is, similarly to many other South American leagues – for example the Brazilian Serie A - a low-scoring one on average. Here the goal expectancy is particularly low – even lower than the betting market thinks think. In my expert opinion, the probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 72.5 %. Furthermore, a draw would most certainly not surprise anyone and would probably be an okay result for both teams.. The probability of this result is 34% and it would be enough to bring my fans and me yet another winner betting on Argentinian football with the recommended +0.5 handicap option on Rosario Central. The biggest, sometimes pretty sharp bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers see the hosts as solid favorites here – offering them odds of around 2.20 to take all three points. This is too definitely too low in my expert opinion. The home advantage in this league is bigger than in most good - or top-leagues. Some 45% matches are home wins. However, Banfield do not have very good fans by Argentinian standards. Indeed, they have lost just one of their latest 10 games in front of their fans! With today’s lineups, taking the home advantage into account, the hosts deserve to be slim favorites here. Thye will be without Aranda, Cabrera, Maldonado and Tijanovich. Rosario Central, on the other hand, will be without Montoya.

The visitors are the better team by pure class - no question about that! In the Liga Profesional that was played before Copa de la Liga Profesional started they finished in 8th place with 42 points to their account. Their number of expected points (xPTS) was 45.11. They netted the ball 36 times and allowed 29 goals. Rosario Central have an edge over Banfield in all areas of the game. Indeed, the hosts scored 21 goals and conceded 32 goals. They were very disappointing as a whole but the bookies still seem to believe in their potential – way too much in my view. Yes, they can improve but I believe this will take time.. Let’s also remember that the visitors’ players have a bigger estimated market value according to a German website, Transfermarkt.com. Banfield finished in 21st place with 30 points but their number of xPTS was just 27.02. They have now lost two games in a row. In their latest game they were abysmal and lost to Huracan 0-2 away from home. They generated just 0.15 in expected goals (xG). Huracan recorded 2.56. Moreover, Huracan recorded massively more shots on goal (5-1), goal attempts (17-3). They also had more corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. Rosario Central have lost just one of their latest seven games and have bene unlucky in many games that were draws.



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班菲尔德VS罗萨里奥中央


北京时间周二凌晨,班菲尔德将在布宜诺斯艾利斯的弗洛伦西奥·索拉球场迎来阿根廷西甲联赛第二轮对阵罗萨里奥中央的比赛。我们可以预期这两支球队之间会有一场平庸的比赛。按照全球标准,这个联赛的水平一般,但却是南美洲第二好的联赛,仅次于巴西甲级联赛。与许多其他南美联赛(例如巴西甲级联赛)类似,这个联赛的平均得分很低。这里的进球预期特别低——甚至比博彩市场认为的还要低。在我看来,总进球数少于2.5个的概率是72.5%。此外,平局肯定不会让任何人感到惊讶,对两支球队来说可能都是不错的结果。这个结果的概率是34%,这足以让我和我的球迷在罗萨里奥中心推荐的+0.5障碍选项的阿根廷足球投注中再次获胜。最大的,有时是相当精明的博彩公司接受客户的最大赌注,他们认为东道主在这里是最受欢迎的——给他们提供2.20左右的赔率来获得所有三分。在我的专业意见中,这显然太低了。这个联赛的主场优势比大多数优秀联赛或顶级联赛都要大。大约45%的比赛是主场胜利。然而,以阿根廷的标准来看,班菲尔德并没有很好的球迷。事实上,在最近的10场比赛中,他们在球迷面前只输了一场!从今天的阵容来看,考虑到主场的优势,东道主在这里应该是微弱的热门。他们将失去阿兰达、卡布雷拉、马尔多纳多和蒂亚诺维奇。另一方面,罗萨里奥中央将失去蒙托亚。

客队是一支实力更强的球队,这是毫无疑问的!在西甲联赛开始前的职业联赛中,他们以42分的成绩排名第8。他们的期望点数(xPTS)为45.11。他们射门36次,丢了29个球。罗萨里奥中央在比赛的各个方面都比班菲尔德有优势。事实上,东道主进了21球,丢了32球。他们整体上非常令人失望,但博彩公司似乎仍然相信他们的潜力——在我看来太过了。是的,他们可以改进,但我相信这需要时间。让我们记住,根据德国网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,客队球员的估计市场价值更高。班菲尔德以30分排在第21位,但他们的得分只有27.02分。他们已经连输两场了。在最近的一场比赛中,他们表现糟糕,客场0-2输给了胡拉坎。它们只产生了0.15个预期目标(xG)。Huracan的成绩是2.56。此外,Huracan的射门次数(5比1)和射门次数(17比3)也大幅增加。他们也有更多的角球、进攻和危险的进攻。罗萨里奥中央在最近的七场比赛中只输了一场,并且在许多平局的比赛中运气不佳。

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