Monterrey VS Cruz Azul

Monterrey welcome Cruz Azul for this Liga MX Apertura round 6 clash at Estadio BBVA Bancomer Monday morning Beijing time. This league is of mediocre level by global standards. We can expect a match of pretty good level by this league's standards. My fans and I have done very well betting on Mexican football and we have yet another lucrative betting opportunity here. Most of my fans probably know that I never let the standings fool me. Cruz Azul have had a very difficult start to the season. Results-wise they have been abysmal! Yes, there is no denying the fact that they have been disappointing on the pitch but they are still a much better team than the standings reflect. They have just one point to their account but their number of expected points (xPTS) is 5.11. They have had quite a lot of offensive problems and have netted the ball just three times in Liga MX so far. Their attacks have often been too slow and predictable. Moreover, the passing accuracy near the opponent's goal – at critical moments - has not been good enough. This does worry me a bit but they can improve in this area of the game. Their defense, too, has been worse than I would have expected in my in-depth preseason analysis and they have allowed nine goals. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 7.45. I have lowered their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting eleven. The bookies, however, have reacted more strongly and now underestimate Cruz Azul! Yes, the hosts have an edge in all areas of the game but the current odds of around 1.60 offered in the hosts to win are too low! Their chance of winning is 51% in my expert opinion. The visitors will most probably defend hard here – mainly relying on fast counter attacks, corner kicks, free kicks etc to score. Indeed, their offensive problems are not a key factor here.. As the hosts' offense has not been impressive lately either, I see this match as more low-scoring than the bookies do. The probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 55%. Monterrey have failed to score in their latest two games and were pretty lame offensively. Indeed. The recommended bet of +1.5 goals in the visitors has a 73.5% chance of winning. Monterrey usually concentrate on securing a win if they take the lead and do not go for more goals - risking allowing a goal.

 The home advantage is big but Monterrey do not have very good fans by Mexican standards.. They lost their most recent home game 0-2 against Nashville who play in the MLS. It was a Leagues Cup clash. Monterrey were the favorites in this game on the betting market but recorded only 0.59 in xG – Nashville's number was just 0.49 though. In their most recent game they got crushed by Philadelphia Union. It was a 0-3 defeat away from home. Montererey recorded just 0.44 in xG – the hosts managed 2.45. Monterrey recorded just one shot on goal in this Leagues Cup game – Philadelphia recorded nine! Their defense was surprisingly vulnerable in this game. Yes, they were the underdogs in this game but they disappointed everyone.. Cruz Azul did top the Liga MX regular Clausura standings that was played before Apertura started. They took 40 points but their number of xPTS was 36.12. In the Playoffs Monterrey did not really succeed though. They, too, have been a little disappointing in Apertura in terms of performances on the pitch despite winning 2/3 games so far but the bookies do not seem to have fully realized this.. Cruz Azul were okay in Apertura finishing in 7th place after the regular season with 24 pts. Their number of xPTS was, in fact, a little smaller – 23.02. They have not lost any of their latest six games by a margin of more than one. In their most recent game they were very unlucky to lose to Pachuca 0-1 away from home. They recorded 1.23 in xG – the hosts managed 0.56. They also recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal (7-1) and attacks. They were underdogs in this game according to the bookies but despite the defeat the odds were clearly wrong in this game!

蒙特雷VS蓝色克鲁兹

北京时间周一上午，蒙特雷队将在西班牙对外银行球场迎来西甲联赛第六轮的比赛。以全球标准来看，这个联赛处于中等水平。按照这个联赛的标准，我们可以期待一场相当高水平的比赛。我和我的球迷在墨西哥足球的投注上做得很好，我们在这里还有另一个有利可图的投注机会。我的大多数粉丝可能都知道，我从不让排名欺骗我。蓝色克鲁兹本赛季开局非常艰难。就结果而言，他们的表现糟透了!是的，不可否认的事实是，他们在球场上的表现令人失望，但他们仍然是一支比排名所反映的要好得多的球队。他们的账户只有一个点，但他们的预期点数(xPTS)是5.11。他们在进攻端有很多问题，到目前为止在西甲联赛中只有三次进球。他们的攻击往往过于缓慢和可预测。此外，在关键时刻，对手球门附近的传球准确率还不够好。这确实让我有点担心，但他们可以在这个领域有所提高。他们的防守也比我在季前赛的深度分析中预期的要差，他们丢了9个球。他们的预期进球数(xGA)是7.45。我已经降低了他们的能量等级，这反映了球队的纯粹等级和最好的首发11人。然而，博彩公司的反应更强烈，现在低估了克鲁兹·阿祖尔!是的，东道主在比赛的所有领域都有优势，但目前东道主的胜率约为1.60，这太低了!根据我的专家意见，他们获胜的几率是51%。客队在这里的防守很可能会很强硬——主要依靠快速反击、角球、任意球等来得分。事实上，他们的进攻问题并不是关键因素。由于东道主的进攻最近也没有令人印象深刻，我认为这场比赛的得分比博彩公司更低。总进球数少于2.5个的概率为55%。蒙特雷队最近两场比赛都没能进球，进攻也很差劲。确实。客队进球数+1.5的建议赌注有73.5%的胜率。如果他们取得领先，蒙特雷队通常会集中精力确保一场胜利，而不是去争取更多的进球，否则就有可能失球。

主场优势很大，但是按照墨西哥的标准来看，蒙特雷没有很好的球迷。他们在最近的主场比赛中以0比2输给了美国职业足球大联盟的纳什维尔队。这是一场联赛杯的比赛。蒙特雷队是这场比赛在博彩市场上最受欢迎的球队，但在xG上的记录只有0.59，纳什维尔队的数字只有0.49。在最近的一场比赛中，他们被费城联盟队击败了。这是一场客场0-3惨败。蒙特雷队在世界杯上只取得了0.44的成绩，而东道主队却取得了2.45的成绩。蒙特雷队在这场联赛杯中只有一次射门，而费城队则有9次射门!在这场比赛中，他们的防守出人意料地脆弱。是的，他们在这场比赛中处于劣势，但他们让所有人都失望了。在开赛前，蓝色克鲁兹在西甲常规联赛积分榜上名列榜首。他们拿到了40分，但是他们的得分是36.12分。在季后赛中，蒙特雷并没有真正取得成功。他们在阿珀图拉的表现也有点令人失望，尽管目前赢了2/3场比赛，但博彩公司似乎还没有完全意识到这一点。克鲁兹-阿苏尔在Apertura表现不错，常规赛结束后以24分排名第七。实际上，他们的xPTS数量要少一些，为23.02个。在最近的六场比赛中，他们没有输过一场以上的比赛。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们非常不幸地在客场0-1输给了帕丘卡。他们在xG中记录了1.23，而东道主只记录了0.56。他们的进球次数、射门次数(7比1)和进攻次数也更多。根据博彩公司的说法，他们在这场比赛中处于劣势，但尽管失败了，赔率在这场比赛中显然是错误的!