Catanzoro welcome Ternana for this Italian Serie B clash at Stade Robert Urbain early Monday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of Italian football and the level is surprisingly good by European standards. The difference compared to the first tier, Serie B, is significant. We cannot expect a match of very good level here by this league’s standards between these two pretty lowly teams. The hosts were promoted to this level from Serie B for this season. They are a pretty small even team in terms of financial resources by this league’s standards. They lack quality to really do well at this level. The visitors’ players, on the other hand, finished in 14th place last season in this league with a total of 20 clubs. They took a total of 43 points and had a score difference of 37:42. However, I want to mention that they were unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). Indeed, they would have deserved 47.12 points. They were unlucky also in terms of expected goals (xG) and expected goals allowed (xGA). They finished the season with several losses in a row but had some bad luck in many of these games. Yes, they are expected to be perhaps a little worse this season than last season but still have an edge over the hosts in all areas of the game. Especially offensively they have much more individual skill than Catanzaro. Yes, the host were the best team in the Serie C last season taking a whopping 96 points and got a lot of attention in the Italian football media. However, the “hype” seems to have gone a bit too far and they have, as a result, become too hot in the betting market. We must oppose them here - and quite possibly in many other games during the early season as well.. Their number of expected point (xPTS) last season was 88.12.

The biggest, sometimes pretty sharp bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers see the visitors as solid favorites here – offering them odds of around 2.25 to take all three points. This is too low – by a pretty big margin. I see the match as coin toss – a 50/50 game without an actual favorite. The home advantage is relatively big in the Serie B but Catanzaro do not have the best fans in this league – not even close. The recommended bet is, Ternana +0.5 goal handicap with a high chance of winning. In their most recent match, the host took a point a way from home against Cremonense. It was a lucky point as the hosts were clearly the better team on the pitch. Catanzaro were pretty lame offensively and this will probably be a problem here as well. The bookies have overreacted to Ternana’s bad results lately.

北京时间周一凌晨，卡坦佐罗欢迎特尔纳纳参加在罗伯特·乌尔班球场举行的意甲联赛。这是意大利足球的第二梯队，以欧洲标准来看，他们的水平出奇地好。与甲级乙级相比，这一差距是显著的。按照联赛的标准，我们不能指望这两支实力相当低下的球队之间会有一场非常好的比赛。东道主是本赛季从乙级升入这个级别的。以联盟的标准来看，他们的财力是一支相当小的球队。他们缺乏在这个级别上真正发挥出色的能力。相反，客队的球员在上个赛季共有20家俱乐部，排名第14位。他们一共拿了43分，比分相差37:42。然而，我想说的是，他们在期望值(xPTS)方面是不走运的。事实上，他们应该得到47.12分。在预期进球(xG)和预期进球(xGA)方面，他们也很不走运。他们在赛季结束时连输几场，但在许多比赛中运气都不好。是的，他们本赛季可能会比上赛季差一点，但在比赛的各个方面仍然比东道主有优势。特别是在进攻端，他们比卡坦萨罗有更多的个人技巧。是的，东道主是上赛季意甲联赛中最好的球队，拿到了96分的高分，并且得到了意大利足球媒体的广泛关注。然而，这种“炒作”似乎有点过头了，结果它们在博彩市场上变得太热了。我们必须在这里对抗他们——很可能在赛季初的其他比赛中也是如此。他们上赛季的预期得分(xPTS)是88.12。

最大的，有时是相当精明的博彩公司接受客户最大的赌注，认为游客是坚实的热门-提供约2.25的赔率，以获得所有三分。这个数字太低了，而且差距相当大。我认为这场比赛就像掷硬币一样，是一场50/50的比赛，没有真正的最爱。在乙级联赛中，主场优势相对较大，但卡坦扎罗并没有联赛中最好的球迷——甚至差得远。建议投注:特尔纳纳+0.5个进球障碍，获胜几率高。在他们最近的一场比赛中，东道主从克雷莫纳塞拿走了一分。这是一个幸运的分数，因为主队显然在球场上表现得更好。卡坦扎罗的进攻很差劲，这可能也是一个问题。博彩公司对特尔纳纳最近的糟糕成绩反应过度。