In my opinion Liverpool have really good chances to make win in today's match up.

Real Madrid won first match 3:1 at home, but the didn't deserved for such big win: expected goals scored for Real 1.99, for Liverpool 0.83. Now Real have really good advantage and even loss will give them promotion into next round.

Liverpool played last match at Saturday 16:00 at home against Aston Villa in Premier League. They won 2:1 by very late goal from Alexander-Arnold. That should give them a lot of confidence. That wad fully deserved win: expected goals scored for Liverpool 2.34, for Aston Villa 0.82. They don't have to travel anywhere so without any shadow of doubt this is good advantage. Real played last match Saturday 21:00 in El Clasico against Barcelona at home. They won 2:1, but that was very close match: expected goals scored for Real 1.68, for Barcelona 1.78. Real have less time for recovery and have to travel to England..

Liverpool the best formation for sure is attack. Their offensive trio Salah/Mane/Firminho is very hard to stop for everyone. Real Madrid coming for today's match with completely depleted defensive formation - two key central defenders Ramos and Varane are unavailable, same as key full back Carvajal and Vasquez who replaced him in last matches. I see huge troubles for Real in defense today and Liverpool should be able to create a lot dangerous chances.

I'm more than happy to go with Liverpool with odds on that good level.

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在我看来，利物浦有很好的机会在今天的比赛中获胜。

皇家马德里队在主场以3:1的比分赢得第一场比赛，但这并不是一场值得的大胜:皇马的预期进球为1.99，利物浦为0.83。现在皇马有了很大的优势，即使输掉比赛他们也能晋级下一轮。

利物浦的最后一场比赛是在周六下午16:00主场迎战阿斯顿维拉。亚历山大-阿诺德在最后时刻的进球使他们以2:1获胜。这应该会给他们很大的信心。这场胜利是完全应得的:利物浦的预期进球为2.34，阿斯顿维拉0.82。他们不需要去任何地方，所以毫无疑问，这是一个很好的优势。皇马上周六晚上21:00在主场迎战巴塞罗那。他们以2:1取胜，但那是一场势均力敌的比赛:皇马的预期进球数为1.68，巴塞罗那为1.78。皇马没有多少时间恢复，不得不去英格兰旅行。

利物浦最好的阵型肯定是进攻。他们的进攻三重唱Salah/Mane/Firminho很难让每个人停下来。今天的比赛皇马的防守阵型已经完全枯竭——两名关键的中后卫拉莫斯和瓦拉内无法上场，还有在上一场比赛中顶替他的关键边后卫卡瓦贾尔和瓦斯克斯。我看到了今天皇马在防守上的巨大麻烦，利物浦应该能够创造很多危险的机会。

我很高兴能在这样高指数下选择利物浦。