We are SUPER HOT! $$$ 德甲 门兴VS勒沃库森
2023-08-26

Tapio

外籍分析师

德甲

08/27 00:30

已完赛

门兴
1:0
勒沃库森
解读理由:

Borussia Monchengladbach VS Bayer Leverkusen


Mönchengladbach and Leverkusen lock horns in this German Bundesliga round 2 clash at Borussia Park late Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the third-best league in the world after the English Premier League and the Spanish LaLiga. We can expect a match of pretty high level here between these good teams! Last season the hosts finished in 10th place with a respectable 43 points in their pocket. In terms of expected points (xPTS) they would have deserved more last season – 46.12 to be precise. We can expect the hosts to improve this season! They have many young, very talented players in the squad and I also trust their coach a lot. He is often iderrated by the German football media – perhaps by the bookies as well. The hosts' squad has an average age of just 24.7 years. Bookies often seem to undervalue young, inexperienced teams.. Let's take advantage of this here! In the opening round Mönchengladbach played an extremely entertaining game away from home against Augsburg, an often underrated team.. It was a balanced battle and the final score was 4-4! The visitors generated 2.42 in expected goals (xG) - Augsburg managed 2.21. Today the hosts will have to, of course, be more organized defensively as they probably will not beat Leverkusen in an overly offensive battle., The visitors are, of course, the better team here – in all areas of the game. The difference in Leverkusen's favor is bigger in terms of defensive quality than offensive power. My point here is that even with the big number of missing players the hosts can challenge Leverkusen here! The visitors, too, have many absentees. By pure class, with the best possible starting lineups, the difference between the teams is much smaller than the bookies estimate! The biggest, sometimes pretty smart bookies with the largest betting limits, offer Leverkusen odds of around 1.85 to win. This is massively too low as based on my sophisticated analysis their chance of taking all three points is just 43%. We will go for the Mönchengladbach +0.5 handicap option to increase the super hot streak! Let's not forget that the hosts have not lost any of their latest 12 games. Many of these matches were friendly games though.. Even so, the hosts must be high in confidence! Before the 4-4 draw Mönchengladbach swept past Bersenbrück, a small team, in a DFB Pokal game. Indeed, they won 7-0 away from home!

Bayer Leverkusen had a disappointing last season. They finished in 6th place. Furthermore, they did not qualify for the Playoffs in the Champions League despite playing in an easy group.. In fact, they won just one of the six matches in Group B. They then played in the UEFA Europa League but failed to really succeed.. Jose Mourinho's Roma beat them 1-0 on aggregate on their way to the final. Leverkusen started last season extremely badly and were at the bottom half of the league table for quite a long time before improving significantly. At the very end of last season they were back to shameful form and failed to win any of their latest seven games! In the final round of the Bundesliga 2022-2023 season Bochum, who finished in 14th place, humiliated Leverkusen 3-0! They last locked horns with Mönchengladbach on the 21st of May and it was a 2-2 draw. The then hosts, Leverkusen, were  - unlike the visitors - highly motivated and were priced below 1.30 to win. In reality the match was pretty balanced! The visitors even had 54% ball possession and Leverkusen recorded only a little more in xG – 2.34 – 1.82. This summer Leverkusen grabbed two wins and lost twice in four friendly games. Even a small team, Paderborn, defeated them 2-1.. In their most recent game they beat Leipzig at home as favorites on the betting market. Well, it was a very balanced clash and the visitors generated a bit more in xG – 1.65 – 1.43. Before this Leverkusen beat Teutonia Ottensen away from home 8-0 in a DFB Pokal game. I want to highlight that the opponent are a very small team and Leverkusen were priced around 1.02-1.04 to win during the 90 minutes of play! I really do not give this match too much emphasis ahead of this game against a very dangerous opponent. Furthermore, Leverkusen took just 50 points last season and could easily have dropped to 8th place! Wolfsburg finished in this place with 49 points to their account. However, Leverkusen's number of xPTS was 51.24. Yes, they can improve but there are not many really significant arrivals for this season.. Right-winger Moussa Diaby left Leverkusen for Aston Villa for over 50 million euros. This hurts Leverkusen immensely!



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门兴格拉德巴赫VS勒沃库森


北京时间周六晚,Mönchengladbach和勒沃库森将在俄罗斯公园球场进行德甲第二轮比赛。这是世界上第三好的联赛,仅次于英超和西甲。我们可以期待这两支强队之间的高水平比赛!上赛季,主队以43分的可观成绩排在第10位。从预期积分(xPTS)的角度来看,他们上赛季应该得到更多——准确地说是46.12分。我们可以期待东道主在这个赛季有所提高!他们有很多年轻的,非常有天赋的球员,我也非常信任他们的教练。他经常被德国足球媒体低估——也许还有博彩公司。东道主球队的平均年龄只有24.7岁。博彩公司似乎经常低估年轻的、没有经验的球队。让我们好好利用这一点吧!在第一轮Mönchengladbach打了一场非常有趣的比赛,客场对阵奥格斯堡,一支经常被低估的球队。这是一场势均力敌的战斗,最终比分是4比4!客队预期进球数为2.42,奥格斯堡为2.21。当然,今天的东道主将不得不在防守上更有组织,因为他们可能不会在一场过于进攻的战斗中击败勒沃库森。客队在这里当然是更好的球队——在比赛的各个方面都是如此。勒沃库森的优势在于防守质量大于进攻能力。我的观点是,即使有大量的球员缺席,东道主也可以在这里挑战勒沃库森!来访者也有很多人缺席。从纯粹的等级来看,最好的首发阵容,球队之间的差距比博彩公司估计的要小得多!最大的,有时是非常聪明的博彩公司,拥有最大的投注限额,给勒沃库森的赔率约为1.85。这实在太低了,因为根据我的分析,他们拿到全部三分的几率只有43%。我们将采用Mönchengladbach +0.5障碍选项来增加超级连胜!别忘了东道主最近12场比赛一场都没输过。不过其中很多比赛都是友谊赛。即便如此,东道主一定信心十足!在4-4战平之前,Mönchengladbach队在德国足协的一场Pokal比赛中横扫了一支小球队bersenbr<e:1> ck队。事实上,他们在客场7-0获胜!

勒沃库森上赛季的表现令人失望。他们获得了第六名。此外,尽管分在了一个轻松的小组,他们还是没有进入欧冠的季后赛。事实上,他们在b组的六场比赛中只赢了一场。他们参加了欧联杯,但没有取得真正的成功。穆里尼奥率领的罗马队以总比分1-0击败他们,挺进决赛。勒沃库森上赛季的开局非常糟糕,在很长一段时间里都处于积分榜的后半部分,直到有了明显的进步。上赛季末,他们又回到了可耻的状态,最近7场比赛一场都没赢!在德甲2022-2023赛季的最后一轮比赛中,排名第14位的波鸿以3-0羞辱勒沃库森!他们上一次与Mönchengladbach交手是在5月21日,双方以2比2战平。与客队不同的是,当时的东道主勒沃库森斗志昂然,以低于1.30的价格赢得比赛。事实上,这场比赛是相当平衡的!客队甚至有54%的控球率,而勒沃库森的控球率仅略高一点,比分为xG - 2.34 - 1.82。今年夏天,勒沃库森在四场友谊赛中取得了两胜两负。即使是一支小球队,帕德伯恩,也以2比1击败了他们。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场击败了莱比锡,成为博彩市场上的热门球队。嗯,这是一个非常平衡的冲突,客队在1.65 - 1.43中产生了更多。在此之前,勒沃库森在德国足协的一场波卡尔比赛中客场8-0击败了条顿尼亚·奥滕森。我想强调的是,对手是一支非常小的球队,勒沃库森在90分钟的比赛中获胜的价格约为1.02-1.04 !在面对一个非常危险的对手之前,我真的不会给这场比赛太多的强调。此外,勒沃库森上赛季只拿了50分,很可能跌到第8位!沃尔夫斯堡以49分排名第一。而勒沃库森的xPTS数为51.24。是的,他们可以提高,但是这个赛季没有很多真正重要的新援。右边锋迪亚比以超过5000万欧元的价格离开勒沃库森加盟阿斯顿维拉。这极大地伤害了勒沃库森!

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