The WINNING continues? $$$ 德乙 汉诺威96VS汉堡
2023-08-26

Tapio

外籍分析师

德乙

08/27 02:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Hannover 96 VS Hamburger SV


Hannover host Hamburger SV for this German 2. Bundesliga round 4 battle at Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena early Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the second-highest tier of German football and is one of the best second tiers in the world. However, the difference between this league and the Bundesliga is substantial. My fans and I have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here to increase the great winning streak of six bets and 10/11 latest picks won at the time of posting this analysis Saturday morning Beijing time. I have written an in-depth analysis on two LaLiga games and one more pick on LaLiga will be posted soo! Football fans and us profit-hungry, serious football bettors can expect a game of good level between these two good teams! Hamburger are, of course, the better team by pure class and do have an edge in all areas of the game. Even so, I would not be too surprised to see the hosts taking all three points.The bookies, rather weirdly, see Hamburger as very clear favorites offering them odds of around 1.90-2.00 to win.. Based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based in-depth analysis the visitors have a 40.5% to leave the hosts empty-handed. Yes,we will go for the Hannover +0.5 handicap option to win once again together! 

The home advantage here is massive as this one of the biggest games for the enthusiastic home fans who offer the Hannover players a huge boost. Let's remember that the home advantage is usually at its highest when an inferior team with a great willingness to fight and a well-organized defense faces a bigger, but not way too strong opponent. For example nothing would probably save Luton from being crushed by Manchester City – even at home.. Let's not forget that Hannover have not lost a game in this league so far this season. They were strong – and clearly undervalued by the bookies -  in their most recent game – priced as underdogs away from home against Hansa Rostock. Hannover generated 1.45 in expected goals (xG) – the hosts' number was 0.71. In the second round of 2. Bundesliga they would have deserved a win away from home against Nurnberg, a dangerous team, Indeed, Hannover recorded a whopping 3.54 in xG – the hosts generated 1.44. However, it was a 2-2 draw. Hannover recorded many more goal attempts (19-8), shots on goal (6-3), shots off target (13-5) as well as attacks. Hamburger have been on fire offensively so far this season scoring 10 goals in this league! Yes, they have massive firepower but thanks to this they have received much media attention and have, as a result, become too hot on the betting market..

I expect Hannover to defend very hard, trying to frustrate Hamburger's  skilled offensive players. The visitors defense, however,  is not solid at all – and they have allowed five goals in this league so far. Even Essen, a small team, forced an overtime in a DFB Pokal game on the 13th of this month. It was 3-3 after regulation time. I expect Hannover to mainly rely on fast counter attacks here as this is the best way to hurt Hannover. The hosts finished in 10th place last season but have the potential to improve. They would have to defend better as a team and choose the moments they press the opponent's defense more carefully. They allowed 55 goals last season and this is too much. The offensive firepower is there though and they scored 50 goals last season – the same number as Darmstadt who were promoted to the Bundesliga! They took a total of 44 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) was 48.99. Hamburger finished in 3rd place with 66 points to their account last. They consequently got a chance to challenge Stuttgart for a place at the first tier but were completely crushed in both games. Their xPTS was ”only” 57.76. unlike many football journalists, I expect them to be somewhat worse this season  - the hosts, on the other hand, are in 8th place in my power rating that reflects the teams pure class with the best possible starting eleven.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

汉诺威96 VS汉堡SV


汉诺威主办德国世界杯汉堡杯。北京时间周日凌晨,德甲联赛第四轮比赛将在海因茨-冯-海登竞技场进行。这是德国足球的第二高级别联赛,也是世界上最好的二级联赛之一。然而,这个联赛和德甲之间的差异是巨大的。我的粉丝和我还有另一个非常有利可图的投注机会,可以在北京时间周六上午发布这篇分析时,增加六次投注和10/11最新选择的连胜纪录。我已经写了一篇关于两场西甲联赛的深入分析,还有一篇关于西甲联赛的文章将在下周发布!足球迷和我们这些渴望利润的严肃的足球投注者可以期待这两支优秀球队之间的一场好比赛!当然,汉堡队是一支纯粹的队伍,在比赛的各个方面都有优势。即便如此,如果看到东道主拿到全部三分,我也不会太惊讶。奇怪的是,博彩公司认为汉堡是非常明显的热门,他们提供的赔率约为1.90-2.00。根据我复杂的、基于数据的深度分析,访客有40.5%的可能性空手而归。是的,我们会选择汉诺威+0.5障碍选项,一起再赢一次!

主场优势是巨大的,因为这是热情的主场球迷最重要的比赛之一,他们给汉诺威球员带来了巨大的鼓舞。让我们记住,主场优势通常是最大的,当一个劣势的球队有很强的战斗意愿和一个组织良好的防守面对一个更大的,但不是太强大的对手。例如,没有什么能挽救卢顿被曼城碾碎——即使是在主场。让我们不要忘记,汉诺威本赛季到目前为止还没有输过一场比赛。在最近一场客场对阵罗斯托克汉萨的比赛中,他们表现强劲,但显然被博彩公司低估了。汉诺威的预期进球数为1.45,而东道主的预期进球数为0.71。在第二轮2。在德甲联赛中,他们本可以在客场战胜纽伦堡,这是一支危险的球队。事实上,汉诺威在xG上的得分高达3.54,而主队只有1.44。然而,双方以2比2战平。汉诺威的进球次数(19胜8负)、射正(6胜3负)、射偏(13胜5负)以及进攻次数更多。本赛季到目前为止,汉堡在进攻端火力全开,在联赛中打入10球!是的,他们拥有强大的火力,但正因为如此,他们受到了媒体的广泛关注,因此在博彩市场上变得过于热门。

我预计汉诺威会非常努力地防守,试图挫败汉堡娴熟的进攻球员。然而,客队的防守一点也不稳固,他们在联赛中已经丢了5个球。即使是埃森,一支小球队,也在本月13日的德国足球联赛Pokal比赛中强行进入加时赛。比赛结束后比分是3比3。我希望汉诺威在这里主要依靠快速反击,因为这是伤害汉诺威的最好方法。东道主上赛季排名第十,但有提升的潜力。作为一个团队,他们必须更好地防守,更仔细地选择压迫对手防守的时刻。他们上赛季丢了55个球,这太过分了。他们的进攻火力还在,上赛季他们进了50个球——和升入德甲的达姆施塔特一样!他们总共得到了44分,但他们的期望分数(xPTS)是48.99分。汉堡队以66分排名第三。因此,他们有机会挑战斯图加特的第一梯队席位,但在两场比赛中都被彻底击败。他们的xPTS“仅”为57.76。与许多足球记者不同,我预计他们本赛季会更糟糕——另一方面,东道主在我的实力评级中排名第八,这反映了球队的纯粹水平,拥有最好的首发11人。

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