Cadiz VS Almeria

Cadiz and Almeria lock horns in this LaLiga round 3 clash at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla very early Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the second-best league on the planet. My fans and I have achieved very good long-term results betting on LaLiga and we have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! I will be posting one more pick on LaLiga in a few hours!  Football fans and us serious, profit hungry football bettors can expect a game of lower than average level by LaLiga standards between these pretty small teams. As the season has only recently started it is important to look at the last season when analyzing this match. Players always come and go in football but not that much has, after all, changed for Cadiz and Almeria from last season. Cadiz finished in 14th place last season and were a little better than I would have expected. They grabbed a total of 42 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was 44.01. They scored only 30 goals in LaLiga last season and this was - together with Elche – the lowest number in this league. However, it is important to realize that their number of expected goals (xG) was 44.12! Indeed, they were one of the unluckiest teams in Europe in terms of xG. This most probably affects the odds here as well.. Most recreational bettors do not want to bet on teams that do not score a lot of goals.. Cadiz's offense does have a good structure but unarguably lacks individual skill and creativity for this level. It is not realistic to expect them to do better this season than last season. The main rationale behind this pick is to go against Almeria.. Cadiz are in 14th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible starting eleven. Almeria, on the other hand, are in 18th place in this rating in this league with a total of 20 teams. They finished in 17th place last season and were close to relegation. I would not be at all surprised to see them being relegated at the end of this season.. Their defense was extremely vulnerable last season and I do not expect them to improve too much in this area of the season.. They allowed 65 goals last season and their number of expected goals (xGA) was a whopping 73.03! Their defenders make very many silly individual mistakes and their defensive structure is very poor for this level. Cadiz allowed 53 goals but their number of goals allowed (xGA) was bigger though. However, I trust their coach and the players to improve in this area of the game this season. They have a massive edge over in this area of the game and can quite possibly score two or even more goals here! 

Cadiz do not have the very best fans by LaLiga standards but the home advantage is still substantial here! Almeria are a very poor team on the road and won just one away game in this league last season. Moreover, they lost 13/19 away games allowing a whopping 43 goals! They are often way too passive on the road which allows the opponent to put too much pressure on their shaky defense – especially later into the second half when fatigue easily becomes an issue.. With the expected lineups Cadiz have a 52% chance of sending Almeria home empty-handed. Odds of around 2.25-2.30 are widely available on the betting market at the time of writing this preview early Saturday morning Beijing time. Almeria have started the season with the defeats. In the opening round they were slim favorites in the betting market at home against Rayo Vallecano but lost 0-2. It was clear before, during and after the game that they are/were overvalued by the bookies. It was not a horrible performance but their shaky defense cost them dearly – once again. The visitors generated much more in xG – 2.54 – 1.23 to be precise. In the opening round they were beaten by Real Madrid. They were okay offensively in this home game but their defense was shaky and Real deserved the three points despite being far from their best level. Cadiz, on the other hand, started the LaLiga season with a deserved 1-0 home win over Alaves. They generated 0.99 in xG and defended very well allowing Alaves an xG of just 0.22. Cadiz also had more goal attempts, shots on goal and shots off target. In their most recent match  Barcelona, the best team in LaLiga,  were too strong at home as huge favorites, priced around 1.25 to win. Barca won 2.0 but Cadiz recorded a pretty good 1.47 in xG and fought well! Yes, Barca deserved the three points as they did, after all, generate much more than Cadiz in xG. xPTS, xG and xGA are the key statistics in serious professional football betting and I believe the majority of professionals are familiar with these tools. There were some surprisingly clear weaknesses in Barca's defensive structure but Cadiz could not capitalize on these vulnerabilities this time. In this game against an inferior opponent, Almeria, they could score two or even more goals! ..

加的斯VS阿尔梅里亚

北京时间周日凌晨，加的斯和阿尔梅里亚将在西甲第三轮比赛中在新米兰迪拉球场展开对决。这是世界上第二好的联赛。我和我的球迷在西甲的长期投注中取得了很好的成绩，我们在这里又有一个非常有前途的投注机会!我将在几个小时内发布更多关于西甲的选择!足球迷和我们这些严重的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场低于西甲平均水平的比赛，在这些相当小的球队之间进行。由于新赛季才刚刚开始，所以在分析这场比赛的时候，回顾一下上赛季是很重要的。足球场上球员总是来来去去，但毕竟加的斯和阿尔梅里亚与上赛季相比并没有太大的变化。加的斯上赛季排在第14位，比我预期的要好一点。他们总共得了42分。然而，他们的期望点数(xPTS)为44.01。上赛季他们在西甲只进了30个球，这和埃尔切一起是联赛中进球最少的。然而，重要的是要意识到他们的预期进球数(xG)是44.12!事实上，他们是欧洲最不走运的球队之一。这很可能也影响了这里的赔率。大多数休闲投注者都不愿意把赌注押在进球不多的球队身上。加的斯的进攻确实有很好的结构，但毫无疑问，在这个水平上缺乏个人技术和创造力。期望他们本赛季比上赛季做得更好是不现实的。这个选择背后的主要理由是对抗阿尔梅里亚。加的斯在我的力量评分中排名第14位，这反映了球队的纯粹等级，拥有最好的首发11人。另一方面，阿尔梅里亚在这个排名中排名第18位，总共有20支球队。上赛季他们仅排在第17位，差一点就降级了。如果看到他们在本赛季结束后降级，我一点也不会感到惊讶。上赛季他们的防守非常脆弱，我不认为他们本赛季在这方面有太大的提高。上赛季他们丢了65个球，他们的预期进球数(xGA)是惊人的73.03!他们的后卫犯了很多愚蠢的个人错误，他们的防守结构在这个级别上非常糟糕。加的斯丢了53个球，但他们的失球数(xGA)更多。然而，我相信他们的教练和球员本赛季会在这方面有所提高。他们在这方面有很大的优势，很有可能进两个甚至更多的球!

按照西甲的标准，加的斯没有最好的球迷，但主场优势仍然很大!阿尔梅里亚是一支非常糟糕的球队，上赛季在这个联赛中只赢了一场客场比赛。此外，他们在19场客场比赛中输掉了13场，丢了43个球!他们在客场常常过于被动，这使得对手给他们脆弱的防守施加了太多的压力——尤其是在下半场后期，疲劳很容易成为一个问题。按照预期的阵容，加的斯有52%的机会让阿尔梅里亚空手而归。在北京时间周六凌晨撰写这篇预告时，投注市场上的赔率约为2.25-2.30。阿尔梅里亚本赛季以失败开始。在首轮比赛中，他们在主场对阵巴列卡诺的比赛中被投注市场看好，但以0比2输掉了比赛。很明显，在比赛之前，比赛期间和比赛之后，他们被博彩公司高估了。这不是一场可怕的比赛，但他们不稳固的防守再次让他们付出了沉重的代价。准确地说，访客在xG - 2.54 - 1.23中产生了更多。在首轮比赛中，他们被皇家马德里击败。他们在主场的进攻还不错，但是他们的防守很不稳定，皇马配得上三分，尽管他们远没有达到最佳水平。另一方面，加的斯在西甲开局时主场1-0战胜阿拉维斯。他们的xG值为0.99，防守也很好，让阿拉维斯的xG值只有0.22。加的斯也有更多的射门尝试，射正和射偏。在最近的一场比赛中，西甲最强球队巴塞罗那队在主场的实力太强，成为夺冠热门，定价在1.25左右。巴萨赢了2.0，但加的斯在xG的成绩很好，为1.47，而且打得很好!是的，巴萨配得上这三分，毕竟他们在xG比加的斯贡献更多。xPTS, xG和xGA是严肃的职业足球博彩中的关键统计数据，我相信大多数专业人士都熟悉这些工具。有一些出人意料地清晰