Sevilla VS Girona

Sevilla and Girona lock horns in this LaLiga round 3 battle at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán early Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the second-best league in the world. My fans and I have achieved excellent long-term results betting on LaLiga and we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! I will be posting more LaLiga picks in a few hours!  Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a game of better than average level by LaLiga standards. As the season has only recently started it is important to look at the last season when analyzing this game. Players always come and go in football but not that much has, after all, changed from last season. Sevilla played a very disappointing season in LaLiga and ended up in 12th place with a total of 49 points in their pocket. Their number of expected points (xPTS) was 47.32. Quite surprisingly, Sevilla netted the ball only 47 times in LaLiga last season. This is a low number indeed!  For example Espanyol, who finished in 19th place and were relegated to the LaLiga2 for this season, scored 52 goals. However, Sevilla's number of expected goals (xG) was a bit bigger - 49.02. Their offense still lacks creativity, speed and passing accuracy compared to the 2020-2021 and 2021-2022 seasons. They conceded 54 goals in LaLiga last season but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) was much bigger – 60.11 to be precise. xPTS, xG and xGA are the key statistics in serious professional football betting and I believe the majority of professionals are familiar with these.. Sevilla finished the LaLiga season poorly – failing to win any of their last four games. They did, however, once again, win the UEFA Europa League beating Jose Mourinho's Roma in the final at Puskás Aréna in Budapest. It was a relatively balanced battle as a whole where Sevilla had much more ball possession but Roma let them keep the ball – as we could expect from Jose Mourinho's team.. He is known worldwide as the ”master of defending”. However, Rome generated much more in xG than Sevilla – 2.21-0.99. This win probably affects the odds even this season as it was a big match that tens of millions of football enthusiasts and bettors watched on TV and now remember Sevilla as champions.. In the Champions League they were very weak last season suffering many heavy defeats..

 The betting market does not seem to fully understand Sevilla's ongoing long-term decline. They lost some key defensive players before the last season started and have recently lost their goalkeeper, Bono, who transfered to Saudi Arabia, to earn a big tax free salary. He plays for Al-Hilal now. Most of my fans probably remember how well he performed in the World Cup last year with Morocco! Morocco went all the way to the semi-finals and Bono was one of their most important players! Furthermore, Argentinian World Champion, right-back Gonzalo Montiel, has also left the team recently to play in the English Premier League – with Nottingham Forest. Sevilla have now lost three games in a row and are clearly low in confidence. In their most recent game, they were very disappointing away from home losing to a newly promoted team, Alaves, 3-4! I want to highlight that Alaves are a lowly team and seeing them being relegated at the end of the season would not be a surprise. Sevilla were solid favorites in this game – priced around 2.30-2.35 to win by the bookies when the match started. Yes, Sevilla did have 67% ball possession but could generate only 0.59 in xG! Alaves's number was 2.34! Moreover, the hosts recorded many more shots on goal (7-2), shots off goal (7-4) as well as goal attempts. The Sevilla defense was extremely poorly organized and some of their players even looked a bit lazy on the pitch at times! This is not a good sign for them ahead of this game against a much better team than Alaves! Before this Sevilla were okay in the UEFA Super Cup final against the best team in the world, Manchester City. They were – with a lot of luck - able to force the match to penalties as the score was 1-1 after 90 minutes of play. However, Sevilla seemed to be the more motivated team here as Man City are the reigning Champions League champions and for them this game was not even close to the most important game of the season.. Even so, Man City had 71% ball possession, and recorded a whopping 23 goal attempts – Sevilla had only eight. ”The Citizens” also recorded massively more passes, completed passes, attacks (158-46) and dangerous attacks – 112-22! I do not give this game too much emphasis.. Furthermore, in the first round of LaLiga they lost to Valencia, a pretty limited team, 1-2 as clear favorites – priced around 1.95 to win on the betting market. The visitors generated more in xG – 1.12-0.57 and also recorded more goal attempts and shots off goal. Both teams had three shots on target. This was yet another disappointing performance from Sevilla and also an example of them being overvalued by the bookies! The biggest, sometimes relatively smart bookies - with the biggest stake limits - offer odds of around 2.05 on the hosts to take all three points at the time of writing this analysis Friday evening Beijing time.. I must strongly disagree with the bookies! Based on my sophisticated, in-depth – mainly data-based analysis,  Sevilla are only pretty narrow favorites here with the expected lineups. This means that Girona +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet to go for even more profit! My fans and I have won six picks in a row and 10/11 latest picks at the time of posting this pick! Sevilla's  Marcao, Januzaj, Acuna and most probably Tanguy Nianzou are currently on the sidelines through injury. Girona, on the other hand, will be without Artero, Bueno, Callens, Garcia, Jastin, Kebe, Roca and Villa. The betting market seems to have overreacted to these absentees Girona have..

The home advantage is, of course, there, but the Sevilla fans have been pretty frustrated with their team's performances last season and also after the loss to Valencia. I believe the Sevilla players are feeling the pressure here.. Their last season was a total catastrophe and they were near the relegation zone for months! Sevilla were the third-worst team at home in LaLiga last season and had a negative score difference of 24:25 at their stadium! I also do not quite trust Sevilla's coach, Mendilibar, as a leader.. In my view he is not a top-coach in terms of tactical skills either. Let's also remember that Girona have won three of the latest games between these two teams! On the first of May they took a 2-0 win at this stadium! Girona were a very positive surprise for me – and probably for many other professional football bettors  -  as well. The bookies should stop underestimating this team that does not have very big financial resources - or a glorious past – but play extremely well as a team! According to my sources they also have a very good team spirit! They are a pretty young team with a lot of talent and a great coach! I believe some of their young players will play for the biggest clubs in 2-3 years! They finished on 10th place last season with the same number of points as Sevilla. However, their number of xPTS was 53.09! Moreover, their goal difference was much better than that of Sevilla's – 58-55. Girona have been active this summer in terms of acquiring new players ! Artem Dovbyk is proving to be their biggest signing, while Daley Blind and Yangel Herrera are also good, often undervalued, players! Girona have, however, lost two important players during the current window, though. Oriol Romeu has left to play for Barcelona - Ramon Terrats now plays for Villarreal

In their most recent game Girona took a convincing 3-0 win at home over Getafe! The hosts recorded 1.82 in xG – Getafe managed just 0.61. Moreover, Girona had 65% ball possession and recorded many more shots on goal - 6-2. Rather weirdly, Gatafe did have more goal attempts though -9-7. It was a well-deserved win for Girona! In the opening round they faced Real Sociedad away from home and played very well as big underdogs – priced around 5.00 to win on the betting market! Let's not forget that Real Sociedad are a strong team that finished in 4th place last season! They even beat Manchester United at Old Trafford 1-0 last November in the Europa League! Girona had 52% ball possession and generated 1.34 in xG – Real Sociedad managed only 0.57. The hosts did, however, record one more shot on goal – 2-1. Girona have not lost any of their latest eight games – many of these were friendlies though.. However, they beat Lazio, who finished in 2nd place in the Italian Serie A and forced Napoli, the reigning champions of Serie A to a 1-1 draw. These two games were played earlier this month. The Girona players have looked confident and physically very fit lately and we can expect them to do well here - and later on this season!

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

塞维利亚VS赫罗纳

北京时间周日凌晨，塞维利亚和赫罗纳将在Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán球场展开西甲第三轮激战。这是世界上第二好的联赛。我和我的球迷在西甲的长期投注中取得了优异的成绩，我们在这里又有一个非常有利可图的投注机会!我将在几个小时内发布更多的西甲精选!足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待一场比西甲平均水平更好的比赛。由于赛季才刚刚开始，所以在分析这场比赛时，回顾上个赛季是很重要的。足球场上的球员总是来来去去，但毕竟和上赛季相比并没有太大的变化。塞维利亚在西甲打了一个非常令人失望的赛季，最终以49分的成绩排在第12位。他们的期望点数(xPTS)为47.32。令人惊讶的是，塞维利亚上赛季在西甲联赛中只有47次进球。这确实是一个很低的数字!例如，本赛季被降级到西甲联赛的西班牙人队仅排在第19位，却打进了52球。然而，塞维利亚的预期进球数(xG)要大一些——49.02个。与2020-2021赛季和2021-2022赛季相比，他们的进攻仍然缺乏创造力、速度和传球准确性。上赛季他们在西甲丢了54个球，但他们的预期失球(xGA)要大得多，准确地说是60.11个。xPTS, xG和xGA是严肃的职业足球博彩的关键统计数据，我相信大多数专业人士都熟悉这些。塞维利亚在西甲联赛中表现不佳，最近四场比赛一场都没赢。然而，他们在布达佩斯的Puskás ar<s:1> na球场的决赛中再次击败穆里尼奥的罗马赢得了欧联杯冠军。这是一场相对平衡的战斗，塞维利亚有更多的控球权，但罗马让他们控制了球权——正如我们对穆里尼奥的球队所期望的那样。他是举世闻名的“防守大师”。然而，罗马在xG的收入远高于塞维利亚——2.21-0.99。这场胜利可能会影响到本赛季的赔率，因为这是一场数千万足球爱好者和投注者在电视上观看的重大比赛，现在他们还记得塞维利亚是冠军……在上个赛季的冠军联赛中，他们非常虚弱，遭遇了许多惨败。

博彩市场似乎并没有完全理解塞维利亚持续的长期下滑。在上个赛季开始之前，他们失去了一些关键的防守球员，最近又失去了门将波诺，他转会到沙特阿拉伯，获得了一笔丰厚的免税薪水。他现在为Al-Hilal效力。我的大多数球迷可能还记得他在去年摩洛哥世界杯上的出色表现!摩洛哥一路杀入半决赛，波诺是他们最重要的球员之一!此外，阿根廷世界冠军，右后卫Gonzalo Montiel最近也离开了球队，去了英超联赛——诺丁汉森林。塞维利亚现在已经连输了三场比赛，显然信心不足。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场以3-4的比分输给了新晋球队阿拉维斯，令人非常失望!我想强调的是，阿拉维斯是一支实力不强的球队，看到他们在赛季结束后降级并不令人意外。塞维利亚在这场比赛中是最受欢迎的球队，比赛开始时，博彩公司开出的胜率在2.30-2.35左右。是的，塞维利亚确实有67%的控球率，但在xG上只能产生0.59的进球!阿拉维斯的分数是2.34!此外，东道主的射正(7胜2负)、射偏(7胜4负)以及射门次数也更多。塞维利亚的防守组织得非常糟糕，他们的一些球员有时甚至在球场上看起来有点懒!在面对比阿拉维斯强得多的球队之前，这对他们来说不是一个好兆头!在此之前，塞维利亚在欧洲超级杯决赛中对阵世界上最好的球队曼城。在90分钟的比赛中，他们运气很好，将比分扳成1-1，迫使比赛进入点球大战。然而，塞维利亚似乎是更有动力的球队，因为曼城是欧冠卫冕冠军，对他们来说，这场比赛甚至没有接近本赛季最重要的比赛。即便如此，曼城有71%的控球率，并且有23次进球，而塞维利亚只有8次。”市民队的传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数(158-46)和危险进攻次数(112-22)也要多得多!我没有给这个游戏太多的强调。此外，在西甲联赛的第一轮，他们输给了瓦伦西亚，一支实力相当有限的球队，1-2被认为是明显的热门球队，在博彩市场上的胜率约为1.95。游客

在xG - 1.12-0.57赛季产生了更多的进球，也记录了更多的射门次数和射门次数。两队都有三次射正。这是塞维利亚又一次令人失望的表现，也是他们被博彩公司高估的一个例子!北京时间周五晚上，在撰写这篇分析时，最大的、有时也是相对聪明的博彩公司——拥有最大的赌注限制——开出的赔率约为2.05，认为东道主将获得全部三分。我必须强烈反对赌马公司!根据我复杂的，深入的主要基于数据的分析，塞维利亚在这里的预期阵容只有相当小的热门。这意味着赫罗纳+0.5个进球障碍显然是一个聪明的赌注，以获得更多的利润!我和我的粉丝们已经连续赢得了6次选秀权，并且在发表这篇文章时获得了10/11次最新选秀权!塞维利亚的马尔考、贾努扎伊、阿库纳以及最有可能的唐吉尼安邹目前都因伤缺阵。另一方面，赫罗纳将失去阿特罗、布埃诺、卡伦斯、加西亚、贾斯廷、科贝、罗卡和比利亚。博彩市场似乎对赫罗纳的缺阵反应过度了。

当然，主场优势是存在的，但是塞维利亚的球迷对球队上赛季的表现以及输给瓦伦西亚后的表现感到非常沮丧。我相信塞维利亚球员在这里感受到了压力。他们上个赛季完全是一场灾难，他们在降级区附近徘徊了好几个月!塞维利亚是上赛季西甲联赛主场第三差的球队，在他们的球场上有24:25的负比分差!我也不太相信塞维利亚的教练，门迪利巴，作为一个领导者。在我看来，就战术技巧而言，他也不是顶级教练。让我们也记住，赫罗纳赢得了这两支球队最近的三场比赛!五月一日，他们在这个体育场以2:0取胜!赫罗纳对我来说是一个非常积极的惊喜——可能对许多其他职业足球投注者来说也是如此。博彩公司应该停止低估这支球队，这支球队没有很大的财政资源，也没有辉煌的过去，但作为一支球队，他们踢得非常好!据我所知，他们也有很好的团队精神!他们是一支非常年轻的球队，有很多天赋和一个伟大的教练!我相信他们的一些年轻球员将在2-3年内为豪门效力!上赛季他们以与塞维利亚相同的积分排名第10。然而，他们的xPTS数量为53.09!此外，他们的净胜球比塞维利亚的- 58-55要好得多。赫罗纳这个夏天在引进新球员方面一直很活跃!阿尔乔姆·多比克被证明是他们最大的签约，而戴利·布林德和杨格尔·埃雷拉也很好，但往往被低估!然而，赫罗纳在目前的转会窗口失去了两名重要球员。罗梅乌已经离开去了巴塞罗那，而特拉茨现在效力于比利亚雷亚尔

在他们最近的一场比赛中，赫罗纳在主场3-0完胜赫塔菲!东道主在世界杯上取得了1.82的成绩，而赫塔菲只取得了0.61的成绩。此外，赫罗纳有65%的控球率，射门次数也更多——6比2。奇怪的是，盖塔菲在9胜7负的时候确实有更多的进球尝试。这是赫罗纳应得的胜利!在首场比赛中，他们在客场面对皇家社会，作为大输家，他们打得非常好——在博彩市场上，他们的胜率大约在5.00左右!让我们不要忘记皇家社会是一支上赛季排名第四的强队!他们甚至在去年11月的欧联杯中在老特拉福德1-0击败了曼联!赫罗纳有52%的控球率，全场进球1.34，皇家社会只有0.57。然而，主队还是以2-1的比分再次射门。赫罗纳最近的8场比赛没有输过一场，尽管其中很多是友谊赛。但是，他们击败了意甲排名第二的拉齐奥队，并将意甲卫冕冠军那不勒斯队逼至1-1平。这两场比赛是本月早些时候进行的。赫罗纳球员最近看起来很自信，身体状况也很好，我们可以期待他们在这里做得很好——以及本赛季晚些时候!