How favorite is Chelsea today? 英超 切尔西VS卢顿
2023-08-25

Borja

外籍分析师

英超

08/26 03:00

已完赛

切尔西
1:0
卢顿
解读理由:

It’s time for Chelsea to wake up and show a decent performance.

They started the season well with a draw 1:1 against Liverpool, but last weekend made an awful performance losing 3:1 against West Ham, missing a penalty and not being able to score a single goal (they even conceded another one) playing for more than 25 minutes against 10 due to a red card.

Chelsea need a victory to avoid beginning a Premier League campaign without winning any of their first three games for the first time since 1998-99. Not falling behind would be a big help. They’ve gone one-nil down in each of their last six Premier League matches – never have they suffered this feat in seven consecutive games in the competition.

Chelsea have bought big this summer, spending over £300 million on transfers for players that will be available for Friday’s game such as £100m-man Moisés Caicedo, Roméo Lavia, Robert Sánchez, Axel Disasi, Nicolas Jackson and Lesley Ugochukwu. Another player that arrived this summer – Christopher Nkunku – is expected to be missing from their lineup for the next four months with injury, however. Nkunku is joined on the sidelines by Reece James, Carney Chukwuemeka, Trevoh Chalobah, Benoit Badiashile and long-term absentee Wesley Fofana.

Chelsea have won just one of their last 14 Premier League games (D5 L8) and are winless in their last eight at home (D5 L3), drawing each of the last three. That solitary victory came with a 3-1 win at Bournemouth in May.

They last went longer without a league victory at Stamford Bridge between November 1994 and April 1995 (a run of 12). Their current run of 11 games without a clean sheet is the longest of any of the 20 teams playing in the Premier League this season, last stopping an opponent from scoring on 4 April in a 0-0 draw with Liverpool.

Despite their disastrous 2022-23 campaign, Chelsea still have one of the strongest squads in the Premier League. Therefore, it’ll come as little surprise that they are heavy favourites to win this meeting with Luton.

Luton is a newly promoted team who has the worst squad (in terms of value) of the whole league, with only 72,65 MM Euros. Chelsea’s value is 975MM Euros, more than 10 times more.

They started the campaign being totally outplayed by Brighton, losing 4:1. And surely they’ll struggle a lot this season because they have a very weak squad who is lacking quality everywhere. Majority of their transfers this summer are from the Championship, so the level of the team is still from the 2nd division. Only goalkeeper Tim Krul can bring some experience to this team.

Luton are still without a quartet of their promotion-winning side from last season, with Reece Burke, Gabriel Osho, Dan Potts and Jordan Clarke ruled out with injury. Carlton Morris is expected to lead the attack alongside Elijah Adebayo. Morris scored Luton’s goal in the 4-1 opening weekend defeat to Brighton, to add to his 20 goals in the Championship last season which saw him end the 2022-23 campaign as their top scorer.

Quality difference is so huge here. Chelsea can’t afford another awful performance and Luton is the perfect rival to lick their wounds and start the growth process and gain confidence under Pochettino with a solid victory.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

切尔西是时候振作起来,拿出一场像样的表现了。

他们本赛季开局不错,1比1战平利物浦,但上周末在对阵西汉姆联的比赛中表现糟糕,1比3惨败,罚丢一个点球,在对阵10队的比赛中打了超过25分钟都没能进一个球(他们甚至还丢了一个球)。

切尔西需要一场胜利,以避免自1998-99赛季以来首次在英超前三场比赛中一场都没有获胜。不落后将是一个很大的帮助。他们在最近的6场英超比赛中都以0比1落后,他们从来没有在连续7场比赛中遭遇过这样的失败。

切尔西在这个夏天进行了大手笔的收购,花费超过3亿英镑引进了一些球员,这些球员将在周五的比赛中出场,比如身价1亿英镑的莫伊萨梅斯·卡伊多、罗姆·拉维亚、罗伯特·Sánchez、阿克塞尔·迪西、尼古拉斯·杰克逊和莱斯利·乌戈丘乌。另一名今夏加盟的球员——克里斯托弗·恩昆库——预计将因伤缺席接下来四个月的首发阵容。除了恩昆库之外,还有里斯·詹姆斯、卡尼·楚库梅卡、特雷沃·查洛巴、贝努瓦·巴迪亚希尔和长期缺阵的韦斯利·福法纳。

切尔西在最近的14场英超比赛中只赢了1场(D5 L8),并且在主场的最后8场比赛中一胜未得(D5 L3),最近3场比赛都是平局。那场唯一的胜利是在5月3-1战胜伯恩茅斯。

上一次他们在斯坦福桥没有取得联赛胜利是在1994年11月至1995年4月(12连胜)。他们目前的11场零封纪录是本赛季英超20支球队中最长的,上一次阻止对手进球是在4月4日0-0战平利物浦的比赛中。

尽管他们在2022-23赛季表现糟糕,但切尔西仍然拥有英超最强的阵容之一。因此,他们很有可能赢得与卢顿的比赛也就不足为奇了。

卢顿是一支刚刚升班马的球队,他们的阵容(就价值而言)是整个联赛中最差的,只有72,65万欧元。切尔西的身价是9.75亿欧元,是切尔西的10倍多。

他们一开始就被布莱顿完全击败,以4:1的比分输掉了比赛。当然他们这个赛季会很挣扎,因为他们的阵容很弱,到处都缺乏质量。今年夏天他们的大部分转会都来自英冠联赛,所以球队的水平仍然来自乙级联赛。只有门将蒂姆·克鲁尔能给球队带来一些经验。

卢顿仍然没有他们上赛季的四人组,里斯·伯克,加布里埃尔·奥修,丹·波茨和乔丹·克拉克因伤缺阵。卡尔顿-莫里斯将和伊莱贾-阿德巴约一起领衔进攻。莫里斯在卢顿首战4-1不敌布莱顿的比赛中攻入一球,继上赛季打进20球之后,他在2022-23赛季成为了卢顿的最佳射手。

这里的质量差别太大了。切尔西不能承受另一场糟糕的表现,卢顿是一个完美的对手,可以舔舐他们的伤口,开始成长过程,并在波切蒂诺的带领下以一场坚实的胜利获得信心。

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