Racing Genk VS Adana Demirspor

Genk welcome Adana Demirspor for this UEFA Conference League Qualification final round battle at Cegeka Arena early Friday morning Beijing time. The hosts are a Belgian team and the visitors come from Turkey. This is the third-highest of UEFA's club competitions. Neither team are among the elite clubs in Europe so I expect both teams to be very motivated here. I – along with many other professional football bettors, was a little unsure if this competition would really interest even the middle-sized clubs in Europe.. However, it seems that most clubs do really wanna do well in this competition! Even the Roma players and the legendary coach, Jose Mourinho were very happy winning the Conference League last year. Last season the winners were West Ham and they, too, were very happy being able to lift a trophy! Genk finished in second-place in the Belgian Jupiler Pro League. Antwerp took the championship. I want to highlight that Genk grabbed 10 more points than Club Brugge who even qualified for the playoffs in the Champions League last season! As a whole the Jupiler Pro League is of better quality than the Turkish Super Lig. Yes Fenerbahce, Besiktas and Galatasaray are big clubs with some great players but the level drops significantly behind these three clubs.. Adana Demirspor are not a traditional - or big - club in Turkey. They finished in 4th place last season with a total of 69 points. However, they were lucky in quite a few games.. Indeed, their number of expected points (xPTS) was 64.12. I expect them to be worse this season. Turkish teams can be surprisingly strong at home but usually struggle on the road. The home advantage in UEFA's competitions, between clubs from different countries, is almost always substantial, bigger than the bookies realize.. This is the case here as well! With the expected lineups – based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based analysis, the hosts have a 67% chance of winning. The biggest, sometimes somewhat smart bookies with the biggest stake limits offer odds of around 1.65 on Genk to win at the time of writing this analysis early Thursday morning Beijing time. However, I expect the odds to drop before kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up on the host.

Genk are a much bigger club in terms of players total market value according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com. Their squad has an estimated total market value of around 134 million euros. This is a little too low in my expert opinion. Demirspor's players, on the other hand, have a total market value of 37.25 million which is definitely too high! I would set the number at around 31 million. Four of their players are overvalued. Genk have performed pretty well in the Jupiler Pro League so far but have had a lot of bad luck.. This probably affects the odds here.. In their most recent match they faced Charleroi, a potentially dangerous team, at home and no goals were scored. However, Genk had 55% ball possession and were the much better team on the pitch. They recorded many more goal attempts (23-7), shots on goal, shots off target (16-4), attacks and dangerous attacks. They were beaten by Olympiacos 1-2 on aggregate in the UEFA Europa League qualification earlier this month but would have deserved to qualify! The first leg in Greece was a balanced clash and in Belgium Genk's Paintsil missed a penalty in the first half. The same guy was sent off in the 65th minute and this had a huge effect on the game! The visitors made it 1-1 in the 90+6 minute. Demirspor were not impressive in their latest game. It was a goalless draw as favorites away from home against Ankaragucu. The hosts recorded more shots on goal, goal attempts (18-12), corner kicks as well as shots off target – 9-2. In the previous round of qualification they defeated Osijek, a pretty lowly team from Croatia, 7-4 on aggregate. They deserved to qualify but the difference between the teams was smaller than the 7-4 aggregate score would reflect..

赛车Genk VS Adana Demirspor

北京时间周五凌晨，根克欢迎阿达纳·德米斯波尔参加欧足联预选赛最后一轮的比赛。东道主是比利时队，客队来自土耳其。这是欧足联第三高的俱乐部比赛。这两支球队都不是欧洲的精英俱乐部，所以我希望这两支球队在这里都很有动力。我和许多其他职业足球投注者一样，有点不确定这场比赛是否真的会引起欧洲中型俱乐部的兴趣。然而，似乎大多数俱乐部都真的想在这场比赛中取得好成绩!就连罗马球员和传奇教练穆里尼奥都对去年赢得联盟联赛冠军感到非常高兴。上赛季的冠军是西汉姆联，他们也很高兴能够举起奖杯!亨克在比利时Jupiler职业联赛中获得第二名。安特卫普获得了冠军。我想强调的是，亨克比上赛季进入欧冠决赛的布鲁日俱乐部多拿了10分!总的来说，木星职业联赛比土耳其超级联赛质量更好。是的，费内巴切、贝西克塔斯和加拉塔萨雷都是大俱乐部，拥有一些伟大的球员，但水平明显落后于这三家俱乐部。在土耳其，阿达纳-德米斯波尔并不是一家传统的或大的俱乐部。上赛季他们以69分排名第四。然而，他们在相当多的比赛中都很幸运。实际上，他们的期望值(xPTS)是64.12。我预计他们这个赛季会更糟。土耳其球队在主场的实力令人惊讶，但在客场的表现却很糟糕。在欧足联的比赛中，来自不同国家的俱乐部之间的主场优势几乎总是巨大的，比博彩公司意识到的要大。这里的情况也是如此!根据我的数据分析，根据预期的阵容，东道主有67%的获胜机会。在北京时间周四凌晨撰写这篇分析时，最大的、有时有点聪明的博彩公司开出了1.65左右的赔率，他们的赌注上限也最大。然而，我预计赔率在开球前会下降，因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在东道主身上。

根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，从球员的总市值来看，亨克是一家更大的俱乐部。据估计，这支球队的总市值约为1.34亿欧元。以我的专业意见，这有点太低了。另一方面，德米斯波尔球员的总市值为3725万欧元，这绝对太高了!我估计这个数字在3100万左右。他们的四名球员被高估了。到目前为止，Genk在Jupiler职业联赛中表现不错，但运气不好。这可能会影响这里的赔率…在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场面对沙勒罗瓦，一支潜在的危险球队，没有进球。然而，亨克有55%的控球率，在球场上表现得更好。他们的进球次数(23-7次)、射正、射偏(16-4次)、进攻和危险进攻都更多。在本月早些时候的欧联杯预选赛中，他们以总比分1-2不敌奥林匹亚科斯，但他们本应出线!在希腊的首回合比赛双方势均力敌，在比利时的比赛中，亨克的潘蒂尔在上半场罚丢了一个点球。同一个人在第65分钟被罚下，这对比赛产生了巨大的影响!客队在90+6分钟内将比分扳成1-1。德米斯波尔在最近的比赛中表现不佳。客场对阵安卡拉古库是一场0比0的平局。东道主的射门次数、尝试次数(18胜12负)、角球次数和射偏次数均以9胜2负居多。在上一轮预选赛中，他们以总比分7-4击败了实力相当弱的克罗地亚球队奥西耶克。他们理应出线，但两队之间的差距比7:4的总比分所反映的要小。