SV Horn VS FC Liefering

Horn welcome Liefering for this Austrian 2. Liga round 2 clash at Sparkasse Horn Arena very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the second-highest level of Austrian football. The difference compared to the first tier, Bundesliga, is substantial. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of better than average level between these two good teams! Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! As I have mentioned before, even the biggest bookies put much more resources on the biggest leagues - like The English Premier League, LaLiga, Serie A etc – than on this league, for example,as well as in many other smaller leagues. This often leads to mistakes with the odds they offer in smaller leagues! As this is (officially) only the second round we have to look at the last season when analyzing this game. In reality both teams have played three games already. Horn played a fine season and finished in 4th place. They were undervalued on the betting market in many games last season and the same is true here. The current odds of around 2.15 offered by the biggest bookies - with the largest stake limits – on the visitors to win are too low! I am writing this analysis Tuesday evening Beijing time and expect the odds on Horn to come down before the kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up on them! Taking the substantial home advantage into account I do not see a favorite in this game. This means that Horn +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here. Yes, with today's expected lineups Liefering are the stronger team - but not by a wide margin at all! They have a long list of promising young players on loan from  a big club, RB Salzburg,  this season but some of these players are clearly overrated by the betting market..

Last season Liefering finished in 9th place in this league with a total of 16 clubs. They grabbed 37 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) was, in fact, smaller – 35.12 to be precise. They had a lot of firepower last season and the same is true this season! Indeed, they scored 52 in this league last season. Horn, on the other hand, netted the ball just 38 times but their number of expected goals (xG) was 42.12. I expect Horn to be more effective offensively this season as there is talent in the team! Even so, Liefering have a clear edge in this area of the game. However, Liefering's defense was very leaky last season and they allowed 21 goals more than Horn – what a huge difference that cannot be ignored! Yes, they will improve defensively this season but I think the bookies and many football journalists give their defensive potential way too much emphasis and this affects the odds too much.. There are still big vulnerabilities in their defense.. I expect Horn's defense to be much better organized here.. They comfortably beat a pretty dangerous team, First Vienna, in their most recent match. It was a 2-0 win at home as slim favorites according to the bookies. Yes, the visitors, too, had their chances but Horn deserved the win! Before this they lost to Admira 0-1 away from home but would have deserved at least a point. They recorded more goal attempts and shots off goal. Admira were priced around 1.85 to win by the bookies but both teams recorded three shots on goal. The hosts did manage a little more attacks and dangerous attacks though. Liefering beat Bregenz as clear favorites in their latest game 2-1 at home but failed to impress me. The visitors even recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal and shots off goal! Overall it was a pretty balanced game..

霍恩VS利弗林

欢迎利弗林为这位奥地利人出场。北京时间周三凌晨，西甲第二轮比赛将在斯巴达之角球场举行。这是奥地利足球的第二高水平。与甲级联赛德甲相比，差距是巨大的。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待这两支强队之间的比赛高于平均水平!最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!正如我之前提到的，即使是最大的博彩公司也会把更多的资源投入到最大的联赛中——比如英超、西甲、意甲等——而不是这个联赛，以及其他许多较小的联赛。这通常会导致他们在较小的联赛中提供的赔率错误!由于这只是第二轮，所以我们在分析这场比赛时必须看看上赛季的情况。实际上两支球队已经打了三场比赛了。霍恩打了一个不错的赛季，最终获得了第四名。在上个赛季的许多比赛中，他们在博彩市场上被低估了，这也是如此。目前最大的博彩公司提供的2.15左右的赔率-最大的赌注限制-客队获胜太低了!我是在北京时间周二晚上写这篇分析文章的，预计霍恩的赔率会在开球前下降，因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在他们身上!考虑到巨大的主场优势，我看不出这场比赛有什么热门。这意味着霍恩+0.5个进球障碍显然是明智的选择。是的，在今天的预期阵容中，利弗林是一支更强的球队——但差距并不大!他们本赛季从大俱乐部萨尔茨堡RB租借了一长串有前途的年轻球员，但其中一些球员显然被博彩市场高估了。

上赛季利弗林在联赛中排名第9，共有16家俱乐部。他们拿到了37分，但他们的期望值(xPTS)实际上更少，准确地说是35.12分。上赛季他们有强大的火力，本赛季也是如此!事实上，他们上赛季在这个联赛中得到了52分。而霍恩队虽然只有38次进球，但期望进球数(xG)却高达42.12个。我希望霍恩本赛季在进攻端更有效率，因为球队里有很多天才!即便如此，Liefering在这方面还是有明显的优势。然而，上赛季里弗林的防守漏洞百出，他们比霍恩多丢了21个球——这是一个不可忽视的巨大差距!是的，他们本赛季的防守会有所提高，但我认为博彩公司和许多足球记者过于强调他们的防守潜力，这对赔率影响太大了。他们的防御仍然存在很大的漏洞。我希望霍恩在这里的防守组织得更好。在最近的一场比赛中，他们轻松击败了一支相当危险的球队——第一维也纳。根据博彩公司的说法，这是一场主场2-0的胜利。是的，客队也有机会，但霍恩应该获胜!在此之前，他们客场0-1输给了阿米尔纳，但他们至少应该得到一分。他们的射门次数和射偏次数更多。博彩公司对阿米拉的胜率定价在1.85左右，但两队都有3次射门。不过，主队确实有更多的攻击和危险的攻击。在最近的一场主场比赛中，利弗林以2比1击败了布雷根茨，但没有给我留下深刻的印象。客队甚至记录了更多的射门次数、射正和射偏!总的来说，这是一款非常平衡的游戏。