A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2023-08-22

Tapio

外籍分析师

芬甲

08/22 23:30

已完赛

解读理由:

JJK vs Ekenäs IF


JJK host Ekenäs for this Finnish Ykkönen battle at Harjun Stadion late Tuesday evening Beijing time. This league is - as a whole - of very low level by European standards. Many players are actually not even professional footballers. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors cannot, unfortunately, expect a match of very good level between these two teams – not even by Ykkönen standards! Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! As I have mentioned before, even the biggest bookies put much more resources on the biggest leagues - like The English Premier League, LaLiga etc – than on Ykkönen and many other smaller leagues. This often leads to mistakes with the odds they offer! There is no doubt about the fact that the visitors are the stronger team here. They do have an edge over the hosts in all areas of the. Even so, the current odds of around 1.50-1.65 offered by the biggest bookies - with the largest stake limits – are too low! Ekenäs currently occupy the 3rd place in the standings. They have grabbed a total of 39 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is ”only” 36.12. It is also questionable if they have the financial resources to actually play in the Veikkausliiga, the highest tier, if they get a chance to fight for promotion at the end of the season.. This might affect the players' motivation at the later stages of the season.. We have seen similar situations in Ykkönen in the past. The city of Ekenäs is a very small city and do not have a big fan-base or major sponsors/rich owners.. I also want to mention that many of their players have played above their normal level in many games this season.. They have scored 31 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is 27.12. Their offense is, indeed, far from the level of the best teams' offense.. Ekenäs's defense, on the other hand, has been strong. Their defensive structure has been surprisingly well-structured! They have allowed 15 goals in Ykkönen this season but their number of goals allowed (xGA) is still bigger.. They have achieved many wins lately and have looked good on the pitch in most games but the bookies have overreacted to their winning streak! We will bet on JJK not to lose by a margin of more than one goal. Yes, the recommended bet is JJK +1.5 goals handicap with an over 70% chance of winning!There is long-term data suggesting that the -1.5 goals handicap is very rarely a good betting option in Ykkönen – and many in many other leagues as well.

In their most recent match Ekenäs beat HIFK away from home as clear favorites according to the bookies. However, HIFK played a weaker than average game but Ekenäs were still only marginally better on the pitch. They recorded three shots on goal – HIFK managed two. Before this they beat a pretty lowly team, KäPa, 2-1 at home. However, KäPa are a very young team who were promoted to this level for this season. Ekenäs were massive favorites in this game - priced around 1.40 to win by the bookies. KäPa's Lönnqvist was sent off in the first half but Ekenäs failed to score after that.. This was not impressive! JJK have been a disappointment this season, no denying that. Yes, they are among the worst teams in Ykkönen in terms of pure class but have potential to improve and still have a good team spirit according to my sources. They are in a fierce fight to avoid relegation and need points! They have just 11 points to their account at the moment but their number of xPTS is 15.45. Away from home they have been abysmal in some games but at home they fight well and could easily take at least a draw here.. They have not lost any of their latest 12 games at their stadium by a margin of more than one goal! In their latest game they lost to MP, currently in second place, at home 0-1 but even recorded more attacks – 64-54! They also created 14 scoring chances – MP recorded 16 though.



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JJK vs Ekenäs IF


北京时间周二晚,JJK主场迎战芬兰Ykkönen。按照欧洲的标准来看,这个联赛的整体水平很低。许多球员实际上甚至不是职业足球运动员。不幸的是,足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者不能期待这两支球队之间的比赛非常出色——即使以Ykkönen的标准来看也是如此!最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!正如我之前提到的,即使是最大的博彩公司也会把更多的资源投入到最大的联赛中,比如英超、西甲等,而不是Ykkönen和其他许多小联赛。这通常会导致他们所提供的机会的错误!毫无疑问,客队在这里的实力更强。他们在所有领域都比东道主有优势。即便如此,目前最大的博彩公司提供的1.50-1.65左右的赔率——拥有最大的赌注限制——还是太低了!Ekenäs目前在积分榜上排名第三。他们总共得到了39分。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)“只有”36.12。同样值得怀疑的是,如果他们有机会在赛季结束后为晋级而战,他们是否有足够的财力去参加最高级别的维甲联赛……这可能会影响球员在赛季后期的动力。我们过去在Ykkönen看到过类似的情况。Ekenäs是一个非常小的城市,没有一个大的球迷基础或主要赞助商/富有的老板…我还想提一下,在本赛季的许多比赛中,他们的许多球员都超出了正常水平。虽然打进31球,但预期进球(xG)为27.12球。他们的进攻,确实,远没有达到最好球队的进攻水平。另一方面,Ekenäs的防守一直很强大。他们的防御结构出奇的好!他们本赛季在Ykkönen丢了15个球,但他们的失球数(xGA)仍然更多…他们最近取得了很多胜利,在大多数比赛中看起来都很好,但博彩公司对他们的连胜反应过度了!我们将押注JJK不会输掉超过一个进球的差距。是的,推荐的赌注是JJK +1.5进球障碍,胜率超过70% !长期数据表明,-1.5个进球的不利条件在Ykkönen中很少是一个好的投注选择——在许多其他联赛中也是如此。

在最近的一场比赛中,根据博彩公司的说法,Ekenäs在客场击败了HIFK。然而,HIFK踢得比平均水平弱,但Ekenäs在球场上仍然只是稍微好一点。他们有三次射正球门,HIFK有两次射正。在此之前,他们在主场2-1击败了一支实力相当弱的球队KäPa。然而,KäPa是一支非常年轻的球队,他们本赛季被提升到这个级别。Ekenäs是这场比赛的大热门,博彩公司的价格约为1.40美元。KäPa的Lönnqvist在上半场被罚下,但Ekenäs在那之后没能进球。这并不令人印象深刻!不可否认,JJK这个赛季一直令人失望。是的,就纯粹的水平而言,他们是Ykkönen中最差的球队之一,但根据我的消息来源,他们有提高的潜力,而且仍然拥有良好的团队精神。他们正处于一场激烈的保级战中,需要积分!目前他们的账户上只有11个点,但他们的xPTS数量是15.45。在客场,他们在一些比赛中表现糟糕,但在主场,他们打得很好,至少可以轻松取得平局。他们在主场的最近12场比赛中没有输过一球以上的比赛!在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场0比1输给了目前排名第二的MP,但他们的进攻数却更多——64比54!他们也创造了14个得分机会,而MP创造了16个。

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