Let's go with a double today to continue the hot streak of 7/8 latest picks won!

Maccabi Haifa host Slovan for this UEFA Champions League Qualification qualifying second leg at Sammy Ofer Stadium in Haifa early Wednesday morning Beijing time. The hosts are an Israeli team and the visitors come from Slovakia. There is a clear difference in pure class between the two teams and the hosts. Indeed, the hosts deserve to be big favorites! The odds of around 1.55-1.58 offered by the biggest, sometimes rather smart bookies are slightly lower than I would have hoped for but still too high and I am confident that the Maccabi Haifa have a big chance of winning here! The fans looking for bigger odds can take the -1.5 goals handicap option with a 47% probability of winning! The home advantage in international games between teams from two different countries is massive on average – bigger than the bookmakers and football fans often seem to realize. In this match the home advantage is even more substantial than on average! Maccabi Haifa have very enthusiastic, demanding and loud fans and offer a gigantic boost for the players. Indeed, they have won nine competitive games in a row at this stadium! In their most recent home game they beat Sheriff Tiraspool 2-1 at home - after 90 minutes of play I mean. Sheriff are about the same level as Slovan Bratislava. The Israelis dominated the events on the pitch for the most of the 90 minutes with a whopping 71% ball possession. They also recorded 17 goal attempts and many more shots on target, off target, corner kicks (14-6), attacks (198-86) and especially dangerous attacks – 111-46. They could easily have won by a margin of two or even three goals. The visitors took an early lead in the 20th minute as A. Talal netted the ball from a penalty kick. This did not shock Haifa and they kept pushing with great confidence. They have a big number of very fast and skilled – and perhaps even surprisingly creative offensive players in the squad..Sheriff Tiraspol had taken a surprising 1-0 home win in the first leg. Haifa were priced around 2.10 to win this game on the betting market. Tiraspol winning was a lucky -  and consequently an undeserved win! The Israelis had a 66% ball possession and recorded many more shots on goal, corner kicks (8-3), attacks (230-150) and dangerous attacks – 82-49. They looked much better on the pitch than Tiraspol – especially in terms of individual skill. In the extra match that followed Haifa proved their class scoring twice and qualifying 4-2 on aggregate.

Maccabi Haifa beat Slovan Bratislava 2-1 in Slovakia in the first leg 2-1. It was a pretty balanced match as a  whole despite Bratislava having 58% ball possession. Haifa played pretty cautious football for the most of the game – allowing the hosts to take the initiative. They were probably fully aware of the fact that Bratislava's offense is pretty lame, lacking speed, passing and creativity accuracy for this level.. They did, however, generate marginally more in expected goals (xG) - 1.02-0.97. Haifa did recorded one more shot on goal though. Yes, we have to expect the risk that Haifa do not need to win this game to qualify.. However, I believe this makes them relaxed -  in a good way! The visitors will need to take risk in an desperate attempt to win and I believe this will cost them as there will be too many chances for Haifa to score through counter attacks – especially later into the second half if the score is level.. Haifa usually aims at controlling the the game at home – even against better teams than they are themselves! I expect them to be aggressive here right from the kick off - putting constant pressure on the visitors' vulnerable defense! Bratislava must be very disappointed with the defeat at home last week and who knows if they even really believe they can win in Israel.. A quick 1-0 goal for the hosts would probably mean that Bratislava's dream of qualification is almost certainly over.. In this scenario the I would not be surprised to see Haifa scoring several goals – entertaining the fans. I want to highlight that Haifa can defend in a very organize way – if needed..

Pick 2:

Marseille welcome visitors from Greece for this UEFA Champions League second leg clash at Stade Vélodrome early morning Wednesday morning Beijing time. Marseille are one the second-best team in the French Ligue 1 by pure class in my expert opinion despite finishing in 3rd place last season. The difference compared to the Greek first tier is huge! They have played in the Champions League Group stage last season and did not qualify for the Play Offs but still took two fine wins – both over a strong Portuguese team, Sporting CP. Last season Marseille took 73 points in the Ligue 1 but in terms of expected points (xPTS) they were just 2.12 worse than the champions PSG who had Messi, Mbappe, Neymar and many other world-class players in the squad. In their most recent game they beat Brest 2-1 at home and did deserver the three points. They generated 1.32 in expected goals (xG) - Brest managed just 0.58. Panathinaikos, on the other hand, finished in second place in the Greek Super League last season but this league and Greek football as a whole have been in decline for over ten years already. At home Greek teams sometimes play well and even beat strong teams but on the road they rarely excel.. They beat Marseille last week 1-0 and did play surprisingly well, boosted by their enthusiastic fans. Marseille, however, were far from their best level. However, we should not be fooled by this match!  Marseille's Kondogbia received a red card in the 65th minute which of course affected the game a lot! Even so, the hosts generated just 0.59 in xG. In terms of players' estimated total market value Marseille are the massively bigger team with close to 300 million euros according to a well-respected German website, Transfermarkt.com. The Panathinaikos squad is valued at around 50 million which is still a bit too high.. The odds of around 1.55 on Marseille to win are widely available and must be taken. Marseille will push hard here and will probably not stop attacking mercilessly until they get a lead by margin of two goals! Indeed, the Marseille -1.5 goals handicap option is a good bet too with a 48% chance of winning!

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让我们以双胜继续最近的7胜8负的连胜!

北京时间周三凌晨，海法马卡比主场迎战斯洛文尼亚队，进行欧冠资格赛次回合比赛。东道主是一支以色列球队，客队来自斯洛伐克。两队和东道主在纯粹的级别上有明显的差别。的确，东道主应该是最受欢迎的!最大的，有时相当聪明的博彩公司提供的1.55-1.58的赔率略低于我所希望的，但仍然太高了，我相信海法马卡比有很大的机会在这里获胜!寻找更大赔率的球迷可以选择-1.5个进球障碍选项，获胜概率为47% !在来自两个不同国家的球队之间的国际比赛中，主场优势平均来说是巨大的——比博彩公司和足球迷经常意识到的要大。在这场比赛中，主场优势甚至比平均水平更大!海法马卡比拥有非常热情、苛刻和大声的球迷，为球员们提供了巨大的动力。的确，他们在这个体育场连续赢得了九场比赛!在他们最近的主场比赛中，他们在主场2-1击败了警长蒂拉斯普尔，我的意思是在比赛90分钟后。治安官和布拉迪斯拉发差不多。在90分钟的大部分时间里，以色列人以高达71%的控球率占据了比赛的主导地位。此外，他们还记录了17次进球尝试，以及更多的射正、射偏、角球(14胜6负)、进攻(198胜86负)，尤其是危险进攻(111胜46负)。他们本可以以两球甚至三球的优势轻松取胜。客队在第20分钟就取得领先，塔拉尔点球破门破门。这并没有让海法感到震惊，他们继续充满信心地前进。他们有很多速度快、技术娴熟、甚至可能有惊人创造力的进攻球员，蒂拉斯波尔在首回合出人意料地主场1-0取胜。海法在博彩市场上赢得这场比赛的价格约为2.10英镑。蒂拉斯波尔的胜利是幸运的，因此是一场不应得的胜利!以色列拥有66%的控球率，并且创造了更多的射门、角球(8胜3负)、进攻(230胜150负)和危险进攻(82胜49负)。他们在球场上看起来比蒂拉斯波尔要好得多——尤其是在个人技术方面。在随后的加时赛中，海法用两粒进球证明了他们的实力，以总比分4-2晋级。

海法马卡比在首回合比赛中2-1击败斯洛伐克布拉迪斯拉发队。尽管布拉迪斯拉发有58%的控球率，但这是一场相当平衡的比赛。海法在比赛的大部分时间里踢得相当谨慎，让东道主取得了主动。他们可能完全意识到布拉迪斯拉发的进攻相当蹩脚，缺乏速度，传球和创造力的准确性。然而，他们的预期目标(xG)略高，为1.02-0.97。不过海法又射进了一球。是的，我们必须预料到海法不需要赢得这场比赛就能出线的风险。然而，我相信这会让他们放松——以一种好的方式!客队需要铤而走险去赢球，我相信这会让他们付出代价，因为海法有太多的机会通过反击得分——尤其是在下半场比分持平的时候。海法的目标通常是在主场控制比赛——即使是面对比他们自己强的球队!我希望他们从开球开始就有侵略性，不断给客队脆弱的防线施加压力!布拉迪斯拉发一定对上周在主场的失利感到非常失望，谁知道他们是否真的相信自己能在以色列获胜。东道主快速1-0的进球可能意味着布拉迪斯拉发晋级的梦想几乎肯定会结束。在这种情况下，我不会惊讶地看到海法进了几个球——娱乐球迷。我想强调的是，如果需要的话，海法可以以一种非常有组织的方式进行防守。

选择2:

北京时间周三凌晨，马赛欢迎来自希腊的游客前来观看欧冠第二回合比赛，比赛将在vsamulodrome体育场举行。在我看来，马赛是法甲联赛中排名第二的球队，尽管上赛季排名第三。和希腊第一梯队相比，差距是巨大的!他们上赛季参加了欧冠小组赛，没有进入附加赛，但仍然取得了两场精彩的胜利——都是对阵葡萄牙强队Sporti

上个赛季，马赛在法甲联赛中得到73分，但就预期积分(xPTS)而言，他们只比拥有梅西、姆巴佩、内马尔和许多其他世界级球员的冠军巴黎圣日耳曼低2.12分。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场2-1击败了布雷斯特，理应得到三分。他们创造了1.32个预期进球(xG)，而布雷斯特只创造了0.58个。另一方面，帕纳辛纳科斯上赛季在希腊超级联赛中排名第二，但这个联赛和希腊足球作为一个整体已经走下坡路了十多年。在主场，希腊球队有时打得很好，甚至击败强队，但在客场，他们很少表现出色。他们上周1-0击败马赛，在热情的球迷的鼓舞下，踢得出奇的好。然而，马赛远没有达到他们的最佳水平。然而，我们不应该被这场比赛愚弄!马赛的孔多比亚在第65分钟领到了一张红牌，这当然对比赛影响很大!即便如此，主机在xG中只生成了0.59。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，就球员的总市场价值而言，马赛是一支大得多的球队，接近3亿欧元。帕纳辛奈科斯队的价值约为5000万欧元，这仍然有点太高了。马赛队赢得比赛的赔率约为1.55，这是很普遍的，必须接受。马赛将在这里奋力推进，并且可能不会停止无情的进攻，直到他们以两球的优势领先!事实上，马赛-1.5个进球障碍选项也是一个很好的赌注，有48%的获胜机会!