Completely wrong odds in Premier League 英超 布莱顿vs埃弗顿
2021-04-12

Przem

外籍分析师

英超

04/13 03:15

已完赛

布赖顿
1:0
埃弗顿
解读理由:

In my opinion Everton have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up. I don't see Brighton as a favorite of this match.

It's a Monday match and this is not good information for Brighton as they never won monday match game in Premier League. They played 9 such matches and lost 6 times.

Brighton is 6 points above relegation zone and in their current situation even draw looks like very good result. I'm pretty sure they will not push hard to win if score will be a draw and there will be some time left till the end. I believe Everton have even bigger motivation to win here as they are 7 points behind European Cups spot and played two matches less than their opponents.

Obviously, Brighton know how to play football on good level, but they have huge problems with concentration. They dropped more points from winning positions than any other team in whole League. They have as well problems with finishing product as they should score more goals than they scored according to expected goals scored model. On the other hand Everton is totally opposite team - they are very clutch in key moments, they are able to use the only one chance in the match. They dangerous on counter attacks and set pieces, that's why they looks so good in away matches.

It's very hard to trust for Brighton at home as they won only 4 of last 28 home Premier League matches! Everton lost last away match against Chelsea (0:2), but no shame at all, Chelsea is strong team. That was first lost for Everton in their last 10 away Premier League matches! Before match against Chelsea Everton went unbeaten in 9 away Premier League matches in a row and recorded 7 wins in the process.

I trust for Everton here, they are simply better team and they prefers to play on away than in home. Brighton is poor home team and don't deserve to be fav here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,埃弗顿有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。我不认为布莱顿是这场比赛的热门。

这是周一的比赛,这对布莱顿来说不是好消息,因为他们在周一的比赛中从未赢过。他们打了9场这样的比赛,输了6次。

布莱顿比降级区高出6分,在他们目前的情况下即使是平局看起来也很不错。我很肯定,如果比分是平局的话,他们不会努力去赢球,而且离比赛结束还有一段时间。我相信埃弗顿有更大的动机赢得这里,因为他们落后欧洲杯7分,比他们的对手少踢了两场比赛。

显然,布莱顿知道如何踢好足球,但他们在集中注意力方面有很大的问题。他们在制胜位置上的失分比整个联盟任何一支球队都多。他们在成品上也有问题,因为他们应该比根据预期的进球得分模型得分更多。另一方面,埃弗顿是完全相反的球队——他们在关键时刻非常关键,他们能够利用比赛中唯一的机会。他们在反击和定位球上都很危险,这就是他们在客场比赛中表现出色的原因。

我们很难相信布莱顿在主场的表现,因为他们在过去的28场主场比赛中只赢了4场!埃弗顿输掉了上一场客场对阵切尔西的比赛(0:2),但这并不丢脸,切尔西是一支强队。这是埃弗顿最近10场客场比赛中第一次输掉比赛!在对阵切尔西之前,埃弗顿已经连续9场英超客场不败,并取得了7场胜利。

我相信这里的埃弗顿是一支更好的球队,他们更喜欢客场而不是主场。布莱顿队是很差的主队,不值得在这里受到青睐。

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