In my opinion Celta Vigo have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Currently Celta Vigo have really strong streak at home against Sevilla. They won last 3 home matches in a row against them. In previous season Celta Vigo won here 2:1.

I see very good value in these odds. 4 years ago we saw 2.67 on Celta Vigo home win against Sevilla, 3 years ago we saw 2.22, 2 years ago we saw 3.20 and in previous season we saw 2.84.

Today Sevilla have huge problem with offensive formation. Their top scorer Youssef En-Nesyri is not fully fit anf he will start on the bench. This is huge blow for the team as he is best scorer by far (15 goals), second player on that list Luuk de Jong have only 4 goals.

According to expected goals model Celta Vigo in current season should score 39.6 goals, on the other hand Sevilla 41.6, but with En-Nesyri on the bench I see slight advantage for hosts in that department.

Sevilla is not in great form - they won only 4 of last 10 matches in call competitions, they failed to win in last 2 away La Liga matches and they played against much worse teams than Celta Vigo (Valladolid and Elche, both in relegation zone). Celta Vigo is hard nut to crack at home - they didn't lost in 50 of last 71 home La Liga matches.

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在我看来，维戈塞尔塔有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。

目前维戈塞尔塔在主场对塞维利亚的比赛中表现强劲。他们在过去的三场主场比赛中都战胜了他们。上个赛季塞尔塔维戈队在这里以2:1获胜。

我觉得这种几率很有价值。4年前维戈塞尔塔主场战胜塞维利亚的比赛中，我们是2.67分，3年前是2.22分，2年前是3.20分，而上个赛季是2.84分。

今天塞维利亚在进攻阵型上有很大的问题。他们的头号射手优素福-恩-内西里还没有完全康复，他将在替补席上首发。这对球队来说是一个巨大的打击，因为他是目前为止最好的射手(15个进球)，排名第二的Luuk de Jong只有4个进球。

根据预期的进球模型，塞尔塔在本赛季应该会进39.6个球，而塞维利亚则会进41.6个球，但是由于恩-内塞里在替补席上，我认为主队在这个方面有一点优势。

塞维利亚的状态并不好——他们在过去的10场比赛中只赢了4场，他们在最近的2场西甲比赛中失利，他们的对手比维戈塞尔塔(巴拉多利德和埃尔切，都处于降级区)差得多。维戈塞尔塔在主场是很难对付的——他们在过去71场西甲主场比赛只输掉21场。