Amazing results in LaLiga! $$$
2023-08-13

Tapio

外籍分析师

西甲

08/14 03:30

已完赛

赫塔费
1:0
巴萨
解读理由:

Getafe vs Barcelona


Getafe welcome Barcelona for this Spanish LaLiga round 1 lock horns in this English Premier League round 1 clash at Coliseum Alfonso Perez early Monday morning evening Beijing time. This is the second-best league in the world – most importantly we have yet another great betting opportunity here to increase the winning streak - and to prolong the impressive run betting on LaLiga! Football fans all over the world and us profit-hungry, serious football bettors can expect a match of pretty good level between these two teams. However, I do not expect this game to be the most entertaining one. The main reason for this is the fact that there is a gigantic difference in class between the two teams here. Getafe will most probably be forced to defend very hard here – Barcelona controlling the events at Coliseum Alfonso Perez for the most of the 90 minutes. I do not believe they will be able to handle the pressure for the whole game. Even if Getafe were  somehow able to score a goal here I expect Barcelona to gear up on score twice. Let's not forget the Getafe are a very limited team offensively by LaLiga standards and netted the ball just 34 times last season. Only two teams scored less goals – the poor rock-bottom team, Elche and Cadiz. There is no reason to expect Getafe to be stronger in this area of the games this season.. The hosts' defense was surprisingly good last season and they allowed just 45 goals in the LaLiga. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) was 51.12. I expect them to be worse this season in this area of the game as many of their defenders and defensive midfielders played above their normal level in many games last season.


Most of my fans probably know at this point that I do not often recommend a bet on clear favorites away from home but will make an exception here! The biggest, often somewhat smart bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers offer Barcelona odds of around 1.55 to travel back home to Catalonia with all three points at the time of writing this analysis late Saturday evening Beijing time. This is, based on my sophisticated, indepth, strongly data-based analysis, too high as the visitors have an over 70% chance to win. The fans wanting to go for bigger odds can take the -1.5 goals handicap option with a 42% chance of winning. The biggest difference in Barcelona's favor is, of course, in the offense. Barcelona lifted the LaLiga trophy last season. It was a very strong season in LaLiga as they took 10 points more than their archrivals, Real Madrid, this season their excellent coach's, the legendary Barca midfielder Xavi's project is expected to keep on moving into a positive direction. Barcelona are expected to do well even in the Champions League and are clear favorites to win LaLiga. Yes, Barca had a few very hard seasons a few years ago, after losing Messi and also due to big financial problems, but things look massively better for them now. Unlike Real Madrid, they have heavily invested in young, super-talented players.

Yes, Franck Kessie, Nico Gonzalez, the very experienced but past their prime Sergio Busquets and Jordi Alba have while Ousmane Dembele's move to PSG is to be confirmed in the near future. Barcelona netted the ball 75 times in LaLiga last season but this number is misleading. Their number of xG was 84.12! Furthermore, their defense was amazingly solid and they allowed just 20 goals. Yes, their number of xGA was bigger but taking a look at for example Real Madrid's number of goals allowed – 36 – illustrates how well structured and reliable the Barca defence was! Things look great in this area of the game for them ahead of this season as well! Barcelona have won three of their latest games – all friendly matches. They easily beat Tottenham 2-0, a tough Italian team, AC Milan 1-0 and Real Madrid 3-0. They looked confident on the pitch in these games! Lastly I want to mention that the Getafe squad has a total market value of only around 113 million euros according to Transfermarkt.com, a reliable source. They are at great risk of being relegated to the LaLiga2 after this season. Their players' market value is very low by LaLiga standards. The Barce squad is valued at close to a whopping 800 million!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

赫塔菲vs巴塞罗那


北京时间周一晚,赫塔菲将在阿方索佩雷斯体育馆迎来西甲第一轮对阵巴萨的比赛。这是世界上第二好的联赛——最重要的是,我们在这里有另一个伟大的投注机会来增加连胜纪录——并延长对西甲的投注令人印象深刻的运行!全世界的球迷和我们这些渴望利润的严肃的足球投注者可以期待这两支球队之间的一场相当高水平的比赛。然而,我并不期望这款游戏是最有趣的游戏。主要原因是这两支球队在级别上存在巨大差异。赫塔菲很可能被迫在这里严防死守——巴萨在90分钟的大部分时间里控制着阿方索·佩雷斯体育场的局势。我不相信他们能在整场比赛中承受住压力。即使赫塔菲在这里能进一球,我也希望巴塞罗那能两次进球。别忘了,按照西甲的标准,赫塔菲是一支进攻能力非常有限的球队,上赛季只有34次进球。只有两支球队进球数更少——可怜的垫底球队埃尔切和加的斯。没有理由期望赫塔菲本赛季在这方面会变得更强。东道主上赛季的防守出奇的好,他们在西甲联赛中只丢了45个球。然而,他们的预期进球数(xGA)是51.12。我预计他们本赛季在这方面的表现会更差,因为他们的很多后卫和后腰在上赛季的很多比赛中都超出了他们的正常水平。


我的大多数球迷可能都知道,我并不经常推荐在客场下注,但在这里可以例外!在北京时间上周六晚间撰写这篇分析文章时,接受客户大额下注的规模最大、通常还算聪明的博彩公司向巴塞罗那开出了1.55分左右的赔率,让他们回到加泰罗尼亚老家。这是,基于我复杂的,深入的,强有力的数据分析,太高了,因为客队有超过70%的机会获胜。球迷想要更大的胜率,可以采取-1.5个进球的不利选项,有42%的胜率。当然,巴萨最大的优势在于进攻。巴塞罗那上赛季举起了西甲冠军奖杯。这是一个非常强劲的西甲赛季,他们比他们的劲敌皇马多拿了10分,本赛季他们出色的教练,传奇的巴萨中场哈维的计划有望继续朝着积极的方向发展。即使在欧冠联赛中,巴塞罗那也有望取得好成绩,并且是赢得西甲联赛冠军的热门球队。是的,几年前,在失去梅西和严重的财政问题之后,巴萨经历了几个非常艰难的赛季,但现在他们的情况看起来好多了。与皇马不同的是,他们在年轻、有天赋的球员身上投入了大量资金。

是的,弗兰克·凯西,尼科·冈萨雷斯,经验丰富但已经过了巅峰时期的塞尔吉奥·布斯克茨和乔迪·阿尔巴,而奥斯曼·登贝莱的转会将在不久的将来得到确认。巴萨上赛季在西甲进球75次,但这个数字具有误导性。他们的xG数是84.12!此外,他们的防守非常稳固,只丢了20个球。是的,他们的射门数更多,但是看看皇马的失球数——36个——就能看出巴萨的防守结构是多么的好和可靠!在本赛季之前,他们在这方面的表现也很不错!巴萨最近赢了三场比赛——都是友谊赛。他们轻松击败了意大利强队托特纳姆热刺2-0、AC米兰1-0和皇家马德里3-0。在这些比赛中,他们在球场上看起来很自信!最后我想提一下,根据可靠的消息来源Transfermarkt.com,赫塔菲的总市值只有1.13亿欧元左右。本赛季结束后,他们很有可能被降级到西甲联赛。按照西甲联赛的标准,他们球员的市场价值非常低。巴塞队的身价接近8亿英镑!

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