Very important information, big value!
2021-04-12

Przem

外籍分析师

法乙

04/13 02:45

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Guingamp have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Guingamp have really solid record at home against Toulouse. In past they played 12 home matches against Toulouse and they lost only 2 times. First match of the season between both teams at Toulouse stadium finished with draw 2:2.

Odds on hosts already slashed down by 0.40, but I still see decent value on them. In history of matches between both teams we never saw odds higher than 3.00 on Guingamp at home against Toulouse. Only two times we saw odds above 2.50 in such situation. Even in first match of the season between both teams we saw odds on bigger than today on Toulouse to make a win, so today no value on guests for sure.

Toulouse have Covid problems before today's match as at Monday 3 of their players been tested positively, yesterday other 2 have the same problem. There is not official info for which players that happened, but according to some reliable sources two top team players - key central midfielder Stijn Stierings (9 goals and 2 assists in 23 matches) and key striker Amine Adli (8 goals and 5 assists in 29 matches) are unavailable today as they didn't travelled with team for today's game. In addition to that key right midfielder Steven Moreira (1 goal and 3 assists in 25 matches) is suspended today. It's a huge blow for the team and should have very bad impact on them today.

Important match for both teams, Guingamp needs points to avoid relegation, Toulouse needs points to get promotion. Toulouse is in very poor form on away - they are without a win in last 6 away league matches and they lost 5 times in the process. On the other hand Guingamp is not so easy to break at home, they didn't lost in 21 of last 29 home league matches.

Odds on Guingamp are simply too high and I see great value on hosts here.


在我看来,甘冈确实有很好的机会在今天的比赛中取得至少1分。

甘冈在对阵图卢兹的比赛中表现出色。过去他们与图卢兹进行了12场主场比赛,仅输了2次。两支球队之间的本赛季首场比赛以平局2:2结束。

主队的指数已经降低了0.40,但我仍然看到价值。在两队之间的比赛历史上,我们从未见过甘冈在主场迎战图卢兹的指数高于3.00,只有两次高于2.50。因此今天可以肯定地认为指数对客场作战的图卢兹没有价值。

图卢兹在今天比赛之前有新冠的问题,截至星期一3的球员已经检测呈阳性,昨天其他2的球员也有同样的问题。没有具体是哪位球员的官方信息,但是根据一些可靠的消息来源,可能两名顶尖球队的球员-关键的中场球员史蒂芬·史蒂林斯(23场比赛中有9个进球和2个助攻)和关键的前锋阿米·阿德利(29个比赛中有8个进球和5助攻),因为他们今天没有随队参加比赛。此外关键的右中场史蒂芬·莫雷拉(Steven Moreira)(在25场比赛中1个进球和3个助攻)本场遭到停赛。对于球队来说这是巨大的打击,并且今天应该会对他们造成非常不利的影响。

这场比赛对于两支球队都很重要,甘冈需要积分以避免降级,图卢兹需要积分升级。图卢兹在客场上的表现非常糟糕-他们在最近的客场6场比赛中没有获胜,输了5次。另一方面,在甘冈主场赢球并不容易,甘冈在最近29场主场联赛中21场不败。

我认为甘冈本场可以保持不败。

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