Moss VS KFUM Oslo

Moss welcome visitors from the capital of Norway for this Norwegian OBOS-Ligaen round 17 battle very early Thursday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of Norwegian football but it is of somewhat modest level by European standards. It has, however, improved quite a lot in the last approximately 10 years – mainly thanks to a lot of oil and gas money that has flooded into Norway – including football.. Football fans and us serious profit-hungry football bettors can expect a game of prety good level by Veikkausliiga standards between these two good teams! Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! We have won 5/6 latest picks in this league! As I have written before, even the biggest bookies, sometimes pretty sharp bookies, put much more time and resources on the biggest leagues played in the summer - for example the Brazilian Serie A, the Argentinian Liga Pro and also on the MLS where even the legendary Leo Messi now shines with Inter Miami. Furthermore, now that for example the English Premier League, the Spanish LaLiga etc. are about to start, the bookies' focus will be on these leagues.. Smaller leagues often offer very tasty betting opportunities! Luckily for my fans and me the bookies make exceptionally many mistakes with their odds on the OBOS-Ligaen. Moss currently occupy the 7th place in the standings and have a total of 23 points to their account. This is a good number from a team that were promoted to this level for this season! I have raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class many times from the in-depth, strongly data-based preseason analysis. I have been extremely positively surprised by the way they have defended as a team! The difference between this league and the third tier is massive, especially in terms of tempo. They have a great defensive structure, silly individual mistakes are pretty rare and they fight very hard for every ball! According to my sources they also have a very good team spirit!

The hosts strong season has indeed mainly been based on great defense as their offense unarguably lacks speed, individual skill and creativity for this level. Thy have netted the ball just 19 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is a little bigger – 22.12. They have some potential to improve in this area of the game during the remainder of the season. Furthermore, they have been somewhat unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) this season so far. They would have deserved 26.78 points. In terms of players' estimated total market value, according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com there is not much between the two teams. The Moss squad is valued at around 2.70 million euros which is a little too low in my expert opinion. KFUM Oslo's squad, on the other hand, is valued at around 3.50 million which is more or less correct. Moss do not have the very best fans but have still played very well at home in this league this season. They have lost just twice at Melløs Stadion and have won 5/8 home games! Moreover, they have taken all three points in 5/6 games at their stadium.. In their most recent game they faced Jerv away from home and it was a 1-1 draw after a relatively balanced clash. Moss were underdogs in this game according to the bookies. Before this they were not quite at their best but still beat Bryne 2-1 at home. Furthermore, on the first of July they took a fine win away from home over Mjondalen 2-1. They had only 45% ball possession but taking into account the defensive style of play they often play with this % does not mean much.. Moss recorded many more goal attempts (14-7), shots on goal (7-0) and attacks! They were narrow underdogs in this game on the betting market and we could once again see that the bookies had underestimated Moss! KFUM Oslo are moderately better than Moss offensively here and have scored 28 goals in OBOS-Ligaen. Even so, their number of xG ”only” 24.78. Defensively they have no edge over Moss. They are in 4th place in the standings with 28 points but their number of xPTS is just 27.02. They are in the 6th place in my power rating. In their most recent game they beat Asane, a team in the 15th place in this league with a total of 16 teams. They won 2-1, and were the better team on the pitch, but I was disappointed with their performance as huge favorites. They recorded just three shots on goal and their offense lacked speed and passing accuracy. The ball possession was 52-48% in their favor. Before this they were lucky to beat Hodd (14th place) - a pretty limited team - 1-0 away from home as very clear favorites - priced around 1.80 to win. They had just one shot on goal – Hodd managed three. The hosts also recorded more goal attempts and shot off goal. Before these two wins they list two games in a row allowing a total of six goals. The bookies see KFUM Oslo as solid favorites here – offering them odds of around 2.35 to win but I disagree.With the expected lineups, with the decent home advantage, Moss are narrow favorites here and we will go for the +0.5 handicap on them!

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莫斯VS奥斯陆KFUM

北京时间周四凌晨，莫斯欢迎来自挪威首都的游客参加挪威OBOS-Ligaen的第17轮比赛。这是挪威足球的第二梯队，但以欧洲的标准来看，它的水平还不算高。然而，在过去的大约10年里，它有了很大的改善——主要是由于大量的石油和天然气资金涌入挪威——包括足球。足球迷和我们这些对利润极度饥渴的足球投注者可以期待这两支强队之间的比赛，按照维克考斯利加的标准，这是一场相当高水平的比赛!最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!我们在这个联赛中赢得了5/6的最新选秀权!正如我以前写过的，即使是最大的博彩公司，有时是相当敏锐的博彩公司，也会把更多的时间和资源投入到夏季最大的联赛上，比如巴西甲级联赛、阿根廷职业联赛，以及美国职业足球大联盟，就连传奇人物里奥·梅西现在也在迈阿密国际效力。此外，现在，例如英超联赛，西甲联赛等即将开始，博彩公司的重点将放在这些联赛上。较小的联赛通常提供非常美味的赌博机会!幸运的是，对于我和我的粉丝来说，博彩公司在OBOS-Ligaen的赔率上犯了很多错误。莫斯目前在积分榜上排名第七，总共有23分。对于一支本赛季升到这个级别的球队来说，这是一个不错的数字!通过深入的、基于数据的季前赛分析，我已经多次提高了他们的实力评级，这反映了球队的纯粹实力。我对他们作为一个团队的防守方式感到非常惊讶!这个联赛和第三梯队之间的差距是巨大的，特别是在节奏方面。他们有一个伟大的防守结构，愚蠢的个人失误非常罕见，他们非常努力地争夺每一个球!据我所知，他们也有很好的团队精神!

东道主本赛季的强势确实主要是基于强大的防守，因为他们的进攻毫无疑问缺乏速度、个人技术和创造力。他们只有19次进球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)略高，为22.12。在本赛季剩下的时间里，他们在这方面还有一些提高的潜力。此外，到目前为止，他们在本赛季的预期积分(xPTS)方面有些不走运。他们应该得到26.78分。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，在球员的总市值方面，两支球队之间的差距并不大。莫斯队的估价在270万欧元左右，这在我的专家看来有点太低了。另一方面，奥斯陆KFUM队的价值约为350万欧元，这或多或少是正确的。莫斯没有最好的球迷，但本赛季在这个联赛的主场仍然打得很好。他们在梅尔斯球场只输了两场，主场赢了5/8 !而且，他们在主场的6场比赛中有5场拿到了3分。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场面对杰夫，双方在相对平衡的情况下以1比1战平。根据博彩公司的说法，莫斯在这场比赛中处于劣势。在此之前，他们并没有达到最佳状态，但仍然在主场2-1击败了布莱恩。此外，在7月1日，他们在客场2-1战胜了米永达伦。他们只有45%的控球率，但考虑到他们的防守风格，这个百分比并不意味着什么。莫斯的进球次数(14胜7负)、射门次数(7胜0负)和进攻次数更多!在这场比赛中，他们在博彩市场上处于劣势，我们可以再次看到，博彩公司低估了莫斯!奥斯陆KFUM在进攻端比莫斯稍好一些，在利加恩打进28球。即便如此，他们的xG数量“只有”24.78只。防守端他们对莫斯毫无优势。他们以28分排名第4，但他们的得分只有27.02分。他们在我的能量评级中排名第六。在最近的一场比赛中，他们击败了一支在这个联盟中排名第15位的球队，共有16支球队。他们以2比1获胜，是场上表现更好的球队，但我对他们作为大热门的表现感到失望。他们只有3次射门，他们的进攻缺乏速度和传球准确性。他们的控球率是52比48%。在此之前，他们很幸运地击败了霍德(第14名)——一支相当有限的球队——客场1-0是非常明显的热门球队——胜率在1.80左右。他们只有一次射门，而霍德却射了三次。东道主也取得了更多的进球

射门脱靶。在这两场胜利之前，他们连续两场比赛总共丢了6个球。博彩公司认为奥斯陆KFUM是这里最受欢迎的球队，他们的胜率约为2.35，但我不同意。有了预期的阵容，有了体面的主场优势，莫斯在这里是一个狭窄的热门，我们将为他们+0.5的差点!