Who’ll qualify to the 1/8 finals?
2023-08-09

Borja

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Libertadores 1\8 finals second leg. River won the first leg 1:2.

Internacional is in really poor form, winless in the last 7 games, lacking confidence and with very poor performances, including 4 consecutive games without scoring a single goal. In the Serie A they are 12th after 24 rounds.

Their group stage was pretty easy with Metropolitanos who finished with 0 points, so they had only two serious rivals in the group.

Inter is in really bad form and isn’t the best moment for them to play against a strong team like River. In the first leg they were totally outplayed and their goalkeeper Rochet was the man of the match with very good saves.

On the other hand, River is the main reason for this pick. They are a clear title contender and at the moment, one of the best teams in South America. Are in great form and full of confidence.

They finished at the top of the Liga Profesional with 11 points advantage after 27 rounds played, which shows that they have been the best team in Argentina this season winning the title again.

Made a very decent group stage in the Libertadores, finishing 2nd above Sporting Cristal and The Strongest. Their weak point has been as visitors, as they achieved only 1 point in the 3 away games played. They won Fluminense at home and playing away were unlucky receiving a red card. And must remember that Fluminense is third in the Serie A and beat Internacional 2:0 just one month ago.

Hosts have the pressure here, so they’ll be forced to play offensive and attack. They have weak strikers who are lacking confidence, so surely will miss their chances. River will be able to control the game, play with the time and find their chances at counters, where they are very dangerous.

Guests have much more quality, are in better form, and the kind of game expected is favorable to them. Away goals don’t have double value so River must avoid the defeat to qualify here. And I see them as very favorites to qualify, so the double chance is a great bet in my opinion.

Furthermore, International will have more fatigue as they played a league game (2:2 against Corinthians) just 3 days ago, whilst River had a free week to prepare this match as their league has already finished. In that league game at the weekend, Internacional used a mixed squad and some starters played several minutes.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

解放者1 / 8决赛次回合。河赢了第一回合1:2。

国家队状态很差,最近7场比赛一胜未得,缺乏信心,表现非常糟糕,包括连续4场比赛一球未进。在意甲联赛中,他们在24轮之后排名第12。

他们的小组赛非常轻松,大都会队以0分结束比赛,所以他们在小组中只有两个劲敌。

国米的状态真的很糟糕,现在不是他们和河床这样的强队比赛的最佳时刻。在第一回合他们完全被击败,他们的门将罗切特凭借出色的扑救成为全场最佳。

另一方面,雷弗是这次选择的主要原因。他们是冠军的有力争夺者,目前是南美洲最好的球队之一。我们状态很好,充满信心。

经过27轮比赛,他们以11分的优势排名联赛第一,这表明他们是本赛季阿根廷最好的球队,再次夺冠。

在解放者的小组赛中表现不错,排在水晶竞技和最强之上获得第二名。他们的弱点是作为客队,因为他们在3场客场比赛中只拿到1分。他们在主场赢了弗鲁米嫩塞,在客场比赛时不幸吃到了红牌。而且必须记住,弗鲁米嫩塞在意甲排名第三,一个月前还以2:0击败了国际队。

主队在这里有压力,所以他们将被迫打进攻和进攻。他们的前锋很弱,缺乏信心,所以肯定会错过机会。河床队将能够控制比赛,把握时间,找到他们的机会,在那里他们是非常危险的。

客人的素质高得多,状态好得多,期待的比赛也对他们有利。客场进球没有双重价值,所以河床必须避免失利才能晋级。我认为他们是晋级的大热门,所以在我看来,双倍的机会是一个很好的赌注。

此外,国际队在3天前刚刚踢了一场联赛(2:2对阵科林蒂安),因此会更加疲劳,而河床队则有一周的空闲时间来准备这场比赛,因为他们的联赛已经结束了。在周末的联赛中,国际使用了混合阵容,一些首发球员打了几分钟。

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