11/10 in my last J1 bets🎯🎯🎯 日职11中10 川崎前锋VS大阪钢巴
2023-08-06

Przem

外籍分析师

日职

08/06 18:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Kawasaki have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.


I see big difference between both teams in terms of quality, potential and ambitions. Gamba finished last two seasons in bottom half of the table and now they are again there so it's about their potential. On the other hand Kawasaki finished last 3 consecutive seasons in top2. Current season is poor, but still there is hope. Kawasaki have to win matches, without any excuses.


Before the break Kawasaki played two big matches on the road - won against title defenders Marinos and had 2:2 against current leader Kobe. In both matches played better than opponents. Small loss 0:1 in friendly game against strong Bayern. 4 days ago Kawasaki qualified into quarter final of Emperor's Cup after 1:0 win at home Kochi. Momentum again is on their side and I expect continuation of hot streak today.


Gamba is poor team on the road, no doubt about that. They lost 6 of 10 away matches so far and conceded 22 goals in the process. Today problem should be even bigger because Gamba will play without two key defenders: Handa (19 matches) & Kurokawa (21 matches).


Kawasaki scored 6 goals in last 3 league matches. According to the expected goals scored model they should score more than 7.


I believe hosts are able to score more than one goal today against depleted Gamba defensive formation and that should be enough to make 3 points.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我认为川崎队在今天的比赛中有很好的机会得到3分。


我看到了两支球队在质量、潜力和雄心方面的巨大差异。甘巴前两个赛季都在积分榜的下半区,现在他们又回到了那里,所以这是关于他们的潜力。另一方面,川崎连续3个赛季排名前2。目前的季节不太好,但仍有希望。川崎必须赢得比赛,没有任何借口。


在中场休息之前,川崎在客场打了两场重要的比赛——战胜了卫冕冠军马里诺斯,并以2:2战胜了目前的领头羊科比。在两场比赛中都比对手打得好。4天前,川崎在主场高知1:0取胜,进入了天皇杯四分之一决赛。势头再次站在他们这边,我预计今天的连胜势头会继续下去。


毫无疑问,甘巴在客场表现不佳。到目前为止,他们在10场客场比赛中输了6场,丢了22个球。今天的问题可能会更大,因为甘巴没有两名关键后卫:半田(19场比赛)和黑川(21场比赛)。


川崎在最近3场联赛中打进6球。根据预期进球得分模型,他们应该得分超过7。


我相信东道主今天能够在对阵枯竭的甘巴防守阵型时打进不止一个球,这应该足以让他们得到3分。

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