Two good picks for the Friday! 德乙+俄超串关
2023-08-04

Borja

外籍分析师

俄超

08/05 01:00

已完赛

克拉斯诺
1:0
下诺夫

德乙

08/05 00:30

已完赛

解读理由:

HERTHA - WEHEN

Hertha Berlin, recently relegated from the Bundesliga, has the best squad in the league. Lot of quality and the highest value in the Bundesliga 2, almost double of the second highest-valued team (and 6-8 times more than the majority of teams).

Relegated teams from the Bundesliga use to receive a lot of money and use to keep a very strong squad, so Hertha is clearly a promotion contender and even the main title contender. But they started the new campaign in the Bundesliga 2 with a disappointing result against Fortuna, losing 1:0. They made a promising performance, but need a bit more.

This was a good shock and a dose of reality: Bundesliga 2 won’t be as easy as expected. Although they have the best squad, they need to be very competitive and play at their best level.

They managed to retain several key players from the last season, like their topscorer Dodi Lukebakio (11 goals), whose value is higher than several teams from the Bundesliga 2. He’ll probably leave the team soon, along with others like Serdar, but have also others like Richter who are top quality for this division.

On the other hand, Wehen is a newly promoted side from the third division, and has one of the worst squads in the league (the third worst according to their value). Their target for this season is to avoid relegation, and their strong point will be at home where they are pretty strong.

They achieved promotion pretty lucky: Ended 4th, but were promoted because 2nd on table (Freiburg II) couldn’t promote as the first team was in the Bundesliga 2. So in normal circumstances, qualified as 4th, they would not have been promoted.

They started the campaign with a remarkable draw at home 1:1 against Magdeburg, a mid-table team. But this game against Hertha will be much more difficult. That draw was pretty lucky as that was more Magdeburg’s fault because they weren't able to close the game after leading and Wehen managed to draw with a man down.

Their defender Aleksandar Vukotic is suspended for this game.

Hertha has much more quality, several Bundesliga players whilst Wehen has several players from the third division. For hosts this will be their first home game in the Bundesliga 2 and after suffering a defeat last weekend, will play very motivated to achieve the victory. Hertha has everything needed in this fixture to achieve the victory: quality, motivation and an easy rival.

If Hertha wants to be top contender, and I believe they do, games like this one should be won with no excuses regardless what stage of the season we have.

KRASNODAR - NIZHNY NOVGOROD

FK Krasnodar has one of the best squads in the league as is a TOP5 team. They started the campaign last weekend with a hard-fought 2-0 win at home to regional rivals PFC Sochi. Even though they left it till deep into added time to finish off their visitors with a second goal, they remain a team to have 100% record this campaign with striker Jhon Cordoba in lethal form scoring in both league games so far.

They are heavily backed to do that after three consecutive clean sheets at home in the league, with their last league defeat at their own stadium coming last October.

Only lost against Spartak Moscow (one of the best teams in the league) 1:2 in the Cup after receiving a red card at 44’.

Key player Kady Borges (playmaker) is back after suffering a small injury.

On the other hand, FC Nizhny Novgorod ground out an unspectacular but effective point on the road to Ural Yekaterinburg (0:0) last weekend. This was their second game without scoring a goal, and at the moment they are the only team in the whole league who has not found the net yet.

They have changed almost their whole squad, with 20 transfers and any remarkable player signed, as majority of them are from B teams of Zenit or Lokomitiv and free transfers; whilst lost some good players like attacker Milson (Maccabi Tel Aviv).

They have a pretty weak squad (the third worst in the league according to their value), and their target is one more time to avoid relegation. Last season achieved it luckily as ended 13th (relegation playoffs) and in the second game against their rival Rodina Mosvow were totally outplayed, losing 0:2 with guests missing a penalty which could have forced the ET. Looking at both games, they were outplayed and didn't deserve to win the playoff.

They also have a terrible away record. Last season ended with a run of 6 defeats and 1 draw in their last 7 away games, and this season already started with a poor performance against Ural (0:0). In the first round they were totally outplayed by Zenit (0:2), the best team in the league.

All the signs point to three wins from three for FK Krasnodar, so expect a home win here. Last season Krasnodar totally outplayed Nizhny in both games, winning 3:1 and 0:2.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

赫塔——当

最近从德甲降级的柏林赫塔拥有联赛中最好的阵容。质量和价值在德甲联赛中最高,几乎是第二高价值球队的两倍(比大多数球队高6-8倍)。

从德甲降级的球队获得了大量的资金,并用来保持一个非常强大的阵容,所以赫塔显然是一个升级的竞争者,甚至是主要的冠军争夺者。但是他们在新赛季的德甲联赛中以0比1输给了福尔图纳,结果令人失望。他们的表演很有希望,但还需要更多。

这是一个很好的冲击,也是一剂现实:德甲联赛不会像预期的那么容易。虽然他们有最好的阵容,但他们需要非常有竞争力,发挥出最好的水平。

他们设法留住了上赛季的几名关键球员,比如他们的头号射手多迪·卢卡巴基奥(11球),他的价值比德甲的几支球队都要高。他可能很快就会离开团队,还有其他像Serdar这样的人,但也有像Richter这样的人是这个部门的顶级球员。

另一方面,温格是一支刚从乙级联赛升级的球队,他们的阵容是联赛中最差的球队之一(根据他们的价值排名倒数第三)。他们本赛季的目标是保级,他们的强项将是主场,因为他们在主场的实力相当强大。

他们获得了非常幸运的升级:以第四名结束,但因为排名第二(弗莱堡II)的球队在德甲乙级联赛中无法晋级而升级。所以在正常情况下,以第四名的成绩晋级,他们是不会晋级的。

他们在主场1:1战平了中游球队马格德堡。但是这场对赫塔的比赛将会更加困难。那场平局是相当幸运的,因为更多的是马格德堡的错,因为他们在领先的情况下没能结束比赛,而他们在一人落后的情况下也取得了平局。

他们的后卫亚历山大·武科蒂奇将因本场比赛停赛。

赫塔的实力要强得多,有几名德甲球员,而维恩则有几名来自乙级联赛的球员。对于东道主来说,这将是他们在德甲的第一场主场比赛,在经历了上周末的失利之后,他们将会非常积极地去取得胜利。赫塔在这场比赛中拥有取得胜利所需要的一切:质量、动力和一个容易对付的对手。

如果赫塔想要成为冠军争夺者,我相信他们是想要的,像这样的比赛应该没有任何借口,不管我们在赛季的哪个阶段。

克拉斯诺达尔-下诺夫哥罗德

克拉斯诺达尔是联盟中最好的球队之一,也是排名前五的球队。上周末,他们在主场艰难地以2-0战胜了地区竞争对手索契PFC。尽管他们直到补时阶段才以第二个进球击败客队,但他们仍然是一支拥有100%胜率的球队,前锋约翰·科尔多瓦目前在两场联赛中都以致命的状态进球。

他们在联赛中连续三场主场零封对手,上一次联赛在主场失利是在去年10月。

只在对阵莫斯科斯巴达克(联赛中最好的球队之一)的杯赛中,在44分钟被红牌罚下,以1:2的比分输掉了比赛。

关键球员博尔赫斯(组织核心)在受了点小伤后伤愈复出。

另一方面,下诺夫哥罗德FC在上周末对阵乌拉尔叶卡捷琳堡的比赛中取得了一个不起眼但有效的分数(0:0)。这是他们第二场没有进球的比赛,目前他们是整个联赛中唯一一支还没有进球的球队。

他们几乎改变了整个阵容,有20名球员转会,并签下了任何一名出色的球员,因为他们中的大多数来自泽尼特或洛科米蒂夫等B级球队,并且是自由转会;同时也失去了一些优秀的球员,比如前锋米尔森(特拉维夫马卡比)。

他们的阵容相当弱(按他们的价值计算是联赛第三差),他们的目标是再一次保级。上个赛季幸运地以第13名结束(降级季后赛),在第二场对阵对手罗迪纳·莫斯沃的比赛中,他们完全被击败了,0:2输掉了比赛,客人错过了一个可能迫使ET的点球。看看这两场比赛,他们都被击败了,不应该赢得季后赛。

他们的客场战绩也很糟糕。上赛季客场7战6负1平,本赛季客场0比0乌拉尔表现不佳。在第一轮中,他们完全被泽尼特队(0:2)打败了,泽尼特队是联盟中最好的球队。

所有的迹象都指向三场胜利

克拉斯诺达尔从3分落后,所以期待一场主场胜利。上个赛季,克拉斯诺达尔在两场比赛中都完全击败了尼日尼,以3:1和0:2获胜。

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