Who will qualify into knock out stage?
2023-08-03

Przem

外籍分析师

女世界杯

08/03 18:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Germany is clear favorite of this game and should be able to make comfortable win with at least 2-3 goals difference. -1.5 AH looks like very good option to play here.


I see huge difference between both teams in terms of quality and motivation in this game. Germany have to win this game to qualify into knockout stage so I’m sure team will give absolutely everything to perform well here. Germany played at semifinal stage in 5 of their last 8 World Cup participations. On the other hand after two losses in first two matches South Korea don’t have any chances to get qualification into next round. In addition to that in their history they recorded only one win in World Cup competition.


In first match Germany totally destroyed Morocco as they won 6:0. That was classy performance at both end of the pitch: 6 goals, 75% ball possession and only 0.17 expected goals conceded. In second match Germany lost 1:2 against Colombia, but that wasn’t deserved result at all: 1.81 expected goals scored for Germany (68% ball possession) and only 0.42 expected goals scored for Colombia. Today I expect very focused team.


South Korea were outplayed in opening match by Colombia. They lost 0:2 and that was fully deserved result: Colombia had 17 shots (1.60 expected goals scored), South Korea only 5 shots (0.36 expected goals scored). In second match team played better than Morocco, had higher ball possession and produceded higher number of expected goals scored (1.22 against 1.11), but still found way to lose. For sure that was very painful, morale in team have to be poor and their confidence must be on very low level, especially before the game against strong Germany.


Germany also have big advantage because travelled much less in this tournament (1793km’s) in comparison to South Korea (3428km’s). That also should have impact on today’s result.


Germany is stronger team, plays must better in current tournament and have much bigger motivation. I don’t see any other scenario than big win for Germany here.




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在我看来,德国队显然是这场比赛的热门,应该能够以至少2-3球的差距轻松获胜。-1.5 AH看起来是一个很好的选择。


我看到了两支球队在比赛质量和积极性方面的巨大差异。德国队必须赢得这场比赛才能进入淘汰赛阶段,所以我相信球队会尽一切努力在这里表现出色。德国队最近8次参加世界杯,有5次进入半决赛。另一方面,在前两场比赛中输掉两场比赛后,韩国队没有任何机会进入下一轮。除此之外,他们在世界杯历史上只取得了一场胜利。


在第一场比赛中,德国队以6:0大胜摩洛哥。这在球场两端都是非常出色的表现:6个进球,75%的控球率,只有0.17个预期失球。在第二场比赛中,德国队以1:2输给了哥伦比亚队,但这个结果根本不值得:德国队的预期进球数为1.81(控球率为68%),而哥伦比亚队的预期进球数仅为0.42。今天我期待着一支非常专注的球队。


韩国队在首场比赛中被哥伦比亚队击败。他们以0:2输掉了比赛,这是一个完全应得的结果:哥伦比亚有17次射门(预期进球1.60个),韩国只有5次射门(预期进球0.36个)。在第二场比赛中,球队踢得比摩洛哥好,控球率更高,预期进球数也更高(1.22比1.11),但仍然找到了输球的方法。毫无疑问,这是非常痛苦的,球队士气低落,他们的信心一定很低,尤其是在对阵强大的德国之前。


德国队也有很大的优势,因为在本届比赛中,德国队的行程(1793公里)比韩国队(3428公里)少得多。这也会对今天的结果产生影响。


德国是一支更强的球队,他们在本届比赛中一定会表现得更好,而且有更大的动力。在这里,我看不出德国队会取得巨大胜利。


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