An intersting game to bet on 南美杯拉普大学VS戈亚斯
2023-08-02

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08/03 06:00

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Estudiantes La Plata VS Goiás EC


Estudiantes La Plata host Goias for this Copa Sudamericana Play Offs (1/8 finals) first leg at Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi early Thursday morning Beijing time. My fans and I have done very well betting on South American football – especially Brazilian - long-term and we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here. The visitors come from Brazil and the hosts are an Argentinian club. There is no doubt about the fact that the hosts are the better team here. They do have an edge in all areas of the game. Even so, the current odds on the hosts to win are way too low. The biggest, sometimes pretty smart bookmakers that accept the biggest bets from customers offer Estudiantes La Plata odds of only around 1.50 to win. I see them having a 58% chance of winning. With the recommended bet of +1.5 goals on the visitors my fans and I have a fine chance of winning.In terms of players total market value according to a well-known and well-respected German website, Transfermarkt.com. The Estudiantes La Plata squad is valued at 32 million euros which is a little too high in my expert opinion! At least four players are overvalued. I would set the number at around 26 million. The visitors' squad, on the other hand, has a total market value of around 23 million which is slightly too high! However, we can see that the difference between the teams in terms of market value is not very big..

Yes, the home advantage here is big but it seems in this match the bookies give this factor even too much emphasis as the difference between the teams is not very big, after all, in any area of the game. Furthermore, the Brazilian Serie A is, in my opinion, a little more competitive than the Argentinian Liga Pro. The teams usually defend very well in the Serie A. Goais, however, have allowed surprisingly too many goals this season so far – 27 – in the Serie A but can improve massively in this area of the game and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is just 23.12. Goias have not lost any of their latest three games and have improved lately, Moreover they have not lost any of their latest six games by a margin of more than one goal. The hosts, too, have achieved many wins lately - four in a row - but have also have some luck in these games which probably, in part, explains them being overvalued on the betting market here..



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拉普拉塔学生VS Goiás EC


北京时间周四凌晨,拉普拉塔大学生队将在赫斯基球场迎战戈亚斯队,进行本届南美杯附加赛(1/8决赛)首回合比赛。我和我的球迷在南美足球——尤其是巴西足球——的长期投注上做得很好,我们在这里还有另一个非常有利可图的投注机会。客队来自巴西,东道主是阿根廷俱乐部。毫无疑问,东道主在这里是更好的球队。他们在比赛的各个方面都有优势。即便如此,目前东道主获胜的几率还是太低了。最大的,有时是相当聪明的博彩公司接受客户最大的赌注,为拉普拉塔学生队提供的赔率只有1.50左右。我认为他们有58%的机会获胜。在客队+1.5球的建议赌注下,我和我的球迷有很好的获胜机会。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,球员的总市值。拉普拉塔大学生队的身价是3200万欧元,这在我的专家看来有点太高了!至少有四位球员被高估了。我估计这个数字在2600万左右。另一方面,客队的总市值约为2300万英镑,这有点太高了!但是,我们可以看到,两支球队在市场价值上的差异并不是很大。

是的,主场优势很大,但在这场比赛中,博彩公司似乎过于强调这个因素,因为两队之间的差距并不是很大,毕竟,在比赛的任何方面。此外,在我看来,巴西甲级联赛比阿根廷职业联赛更有竞争力。在意甲联赛中,球队的防守通常都很好。然而,本赛季到目前为止,戈阿斯在意甲联赛中出人意料地丢了太多的球——27个,但他们在这方面有很大的进步,他们的预期失球数(xGA)仅为23.12。戈亚斯最近三场比赛没有输过一场,而且最近有所进步,而且他们最近六场比赛中没有输过一球以上的比赛。东道主最近也取得了很多胜利——四连胜——但在这些比赛中也有一些运气,这可能在一定程度上解释了他们在这里的博彩市场上被高估的原因。

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