An inetersting game in Israel
2023-08-02

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧冠

08/03 01:00

已完赛

海马卡比
1:0
谢里夫
解读理由:

Maccabi Haifa VS Sheriff Tiraspol


Maccabi Haifa welcome Sheriff Tiraspol for this UEFA Champions League Qualification qualifying second leg at Sammy Ofer Stadium in Haifa early Thursday morning Beijing time. The hosts are an Israeli team and the visitors come from the small country of Moldova. Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a match of mediocre level by this competition's standards. There is a very clear difference in pure class between the two teams and the hosts. Indeed, the hosts deserve to be big favorites. The odds of around 1.45 offered by the biggest, sometimes rather smart bookies are a little lower than I would have hoped for but I am confident that the Israelis have a big chance of winning here. The fans looking for bigger odds can take the -1.5 goals handicap option with a 50% probability of winning! The home advantage in international games between teams from two different countries is substantial on average – bigger than the bookies often seem to realize. In this match the home advantage is even bigger than on average! Maccabi Haifa have very enthusiastic and loud fans who offer a huge boost for the players. Indeed, they have won most of their home games this year. In their most recent home game they took a convincing 3-1 win over Beitar Jerusalem, who are a surprisingly dangerous team. Maccabi Haifa had 61% ball possession and recorded massively more goal attempts (16-1), shots on goal (8-1), shots off goal, corner kicks (11-3), attacks and dangerous attacks.This was also their most recent game before the first leg against Sheriff.

Sheriff Tiraspol took a surprising 1-0 home win in the first leg last week. Haifa were priced around 2.10 to win on the betting market. I believe this result affects the odds too much in this game. However, it was a somewhat lucky -  and consequently an undeserved win. The Israelis had a whopping 66% ball possession and recorded many more shots on goal, corner kicks (8-3), attacks (230-150) and dangerous attacks – 82-49. They looked much better on the pitch than Tiraspol – especially in terms of individual skill. I expect Haifa to be very aggressive here right from the kick off - putting huge pressure on the visitors' defense. I'm expecting them to score already in the first half. In terms of players total market value according to a well-known and well-respected German website, Transfermarkt.com. The Maccabi Haifa squad is valued at around 21 million euros which is still too low in my expert opinion! At least four players are undervalued. The visitors' squad, on the other hand, has a total market value of around 13.5 million which is slightly too high. Before this Sheriff beat Farul Constanta, a team from Romania, 3-1 on aggregate. They however, lost the first leg away from home 0-1 but were strong at home winning 3-0. I want to highlight though that Farul Constanta are much worse this season than last season when they won the Romanian Liga 1. They also played below their normal level in the second leg in Moldova. The bookies seem to give qualifying over Farul Constanta too much emphasis!



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马卡比海法VS警长蒂拉斯波尔


北京时间周四凌晨,海法马卡比在海法萨米·奥弗球场欢迎蒂拉斯波尔参加欧冠资格赛第二回合比赛。东道主是一支以色列球队,而客队则来自小国摩尔多瓦。足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待一场以本届比赛的标准来看水平一般的比赛。两队和东道主在纯粹的级别上有非常明显的差别。的确,东道主理应成为大热门。最大的,有时相当聪明的博彩公司提供的1.45左右的赔率比我希望的要低一些,但我相信以色列人有很大的机会在这里获胜。寻找更大赔率的球迷可以选择胜率为50%的-1.5球障碍选项!在来自两个不同国家的球队之间的国际比赛中,主场优势平均来说是巨大的——比博彩公司经常意识到的要大。在这场比赛中,主场优势甚至比平均水平还要大!海法马卡比拥有非常热情和大声的球迷,他们为球员们提供了巨大的动力。事实上,他们今年赢得了大部分的主场比赛。在最近的主场比赛中,他们以令人信服的3-1战胜了耶路撒冷贝塔尔,这是一支非常危险的球队。海法马卡比拥有61%的控球率,并且记录了更多的进球次数(16-1)、射正(8-1)、射偏(11-3)、角球(11-3)、进攻和危险进攻。这也是他们在首回合对阵警长之前的最近一场比赛。

警长蒂拉斯波尔上周在主场出人意料地以1比0获胜。海法在博彩市场上的价格约为2.10英镑。我认为这个结果对这场比赛的赔率影响太大了。然而,这是一场幸运的胜利,因此是一场不应得的胜利。以色列人拥有高达66%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门、角球(8胜3负)、进攻(230胜150负)和危险进攻(82胜49负)。他们在球场上看起来比蒂拉斯波尔要好得多——尤其是在个人技术方面。我希望海法从开球开始就很有侵略性,给客队的防守带来巨大的压力。我希望他们在上半场就能进球。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,球员的总市值。海法马卡比的总价在2100万欧元左右,在我看来还是太低了!至少有四位球员被低估了。另一方面,客队的总市值约为1350万英镑,略高。在此之前,警长队以总比分3-1击败了罗马尼亚的法鲁尔·康斯坦塔队。然而,他们在客场0-1输掉了首回合比赛,但在主场3-0获胜。我想强调的是,法鲁-康斯坦塔这个赛季比上赛季他们赢得罗马尼亚甲级联赛的时候要差得多。在与摩尔多瓦的次回合比赛中,他们的表现也低于正常水平。博彩公司似乎对康斯坦塔的排位赛太过重视了!

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