How many goals they will score today?
2023-08-02

Przem

外籍分析师

女世界杯

08/02 18:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Brazil is clear favorite of today’s match up and I can’t imagine any other scenario than comfortable win for them with at least 2-3 goals difference. -1.5 AH looks like very good option to play.


Both teams played each other on last World Cup and Brazil won 3:0. I expect similar result on the scoreboard today.


It’s must win game for Brazil if they wants to qualify into knock out stage. In opening match Brazil recorded routine 4:0 win against Panama. That was fully deserved result: 73% balls possession, 33 shots (3.31 expected goals scored and only 0.17 expected goals conceded). In second round Brazil lost 1:2 against France, but that wasn’t deserved result at all as they had higher expected goals scored number than opponents (Brazil 1.28, France 1.02). For sure Brazil will be very focused and have huge motivation to win.


Jamaica is not team on the Brazil level, no doubt about that. When they played against teams on Brazil level before the World Cup they losing badly: 0:3 against Spain, 0:3 against Australia or 0:3 against Canada. In this tournament Jamaica have a lot of luck and somehow not conceded a single goal. In opening match they recorded 0:0 against France, but that shouldn’t happened at all: France had 2.54 expected goals scored, Jamaica only 0.24. In second match they won 1:0 against poor Panama, but that was low quality game. Panama had 12 shots in that game so I can imagine +20 shots for Brazil today and at least 3 goals.


Brazil is much stronger and that should be visible on the pitch.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,巴西显然是今天比赛的热门,我无法想象他们会在至少2-3球的情况下轻松获胜。-1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择


两支球队在上届世界杯上交手,巴西以3:0获胜。我预计今天的记分牌上也会出现类似的结果。


如果巴西想进入淘汰赛阶段,他们必须赢得这场比赛。在首场比赛中,巴西队以4:0击败巴拿马队。这是一个完全应得的结果:73%的控球率,33次射门(预期进3.31球,失0.17球)。在第二轮比赛中,巴西以1:2的比分输给了法国,但这根本不应该是这样的结果,因为他们的预期进球数高于对手(巴西1.28,法国1.02)。可以肯定的是,巴西会非常专注,并且有巨大的动力去赢球。


毫无疑问,牙买加队不是巴西队水平的球队。当他们在世界杯前对阵巴西水平的球队时,他们输得很惨:0:3输给西班牙,0:3输给澳大利亚,0:3输给加拿大。在这次比赛中,牙买加运气很好,不知何故没有丢一个球。在首场比赛中,他们以0:0击败法国,但这根本不应该发生:法国的预期进球数为2.54,牙买加只有0.24。在第二场比赛中,他们以1:0战胜了实力不强的巴拿马队,但那是一场低质量的比赛。那场比赛巴拿马有12次射门,所以我可以想象今天巴西有20次射门和至少3个进球。


巴西队要强大得多,这在球场上应该是显而易见的。

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