An interesting match in Finland! 芬甲 TPS图尔库VSSJK学院
2023-07-31

Tapio

外籍分析师

芬甲

07/31 23:30

已完赛

解读理由:

TPS Turku SJK Akatemia


TPS welcome visitors from the small city of Seinäjoki for this Finnish Ykkönen battle at Veritas Stadion late Monday Beijing time. This league is - as a whole - of very low level by European standards. Many players are, in fact, not even professional footballers. However, football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a match of very good level between these two strong teams – by Ykkönen standards! Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! As I have written before, even the biggest bookies put much more resources on the biggest leagues played during the summer - for example the Brazilian Serie A, the Argentinian Liga Pro, the Japanese J1 League - or the MLS where even Leo Messi now plays for Inter Miami - and often overlook Ykkönen and Veikkausliiga, the highest tier of Finnish football. This often leads to mistakes with the odds they offer! SJK Akatemia currently occupy the 4th place in the standings. They are having a much better season than I estimated in my in-depth pre-season analysis before the season started. They have a respectable 29 points to their account. However, I need to highlight that their number of expected points (xPTS) is lower. By pure class they are not in the top-4 in my power rating. They have been very efficient offensively this season and have netted the ball 29 times. This is just two goals less than MP, currently in first place in Ykkönen. TPS, too, have netted the ball 31 times. In this area of the game TPS, of course, do have an edge but it is probably smaller than the betting market believes..

SJK Akatemia's defense has not been very impressive this season which is understandable taking into account their aggressive style of play in most games.. They also have a very young squad and mistakes, of course, happen.. They are SJK's, who play in Veikkausliiga, reserve/youth team. TPS have allowed 19 goals and their defense has not been as good as probably every professional football bettor following Ykkönen would have expected. Their publicly announced players salary budget is the biggest in Ykkönen but they have not met the expectations. In fact, they have taken one point less than SJK Akatemia! Indeed, they deserve to be clear favorites here but the prices of around 1.40 on them to take all three points are massively too low! They have become too hot on the betting market after five wins in a row. Yes, they have improved a lot after the abysmal start to the season. Even so, we cannot say that they are in any way a dominant team in Ykkönen. Last season they had a strong squad on paper as well but failed to be promoted to Veikkausliiga. Yes, they have scored a lot of goals lately but the final score in many of their latest games does flatter TPS in terms of number of expected goals generated. SJK Akatemia have been in great form lately as well and have not lost more than one of their latest six games. In their most recent match they suffered a defeat at home in the hands of Ekenäs, a dangerous team 0-4 but the hosts received two red cards, in the 37th and 46th minute - when the score was still 0-1. After the sending offs the match was, of course, more or less over. The visitors have a strong chance of avoiding losing by a margin of more than one goal here! Before this game they played a 4-4 draw against KäPa and won three games in a row!



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TPS Turku SJK Akatemia


北京时间周一晚些时候,TPS在Veritas体育场欢迎来自小城市Seinäjoki的观众观看这场芬兰队Ykkönen之战。按照欧洲的标准来看,这个联赛的整体水平很低。事实上,许多球员甚至不是职业足球运动员。然而,足球迷和我们认真的足球投注者可以期待这两支强队之间的比赛非常好的水平-以Ykkönen的标准!最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!正如我以前写过的那样,即使是最大的博彩公司也会把更多的资源放在夏季最大的联赛上——比如巴西的意甲联赛、阿根廷的职业联赛、日本的J1联赛——或者连梅西现在都在迈阿密国际效力的美国职业足球大联盟——而往往忽略了Ykkönen和芬兰足球的最高级别联赛维科斯利加。这通常会导致他们所提供的机会的错误!SJK Akatemia目前在积分榜上排名第四。他们这个赛季的表现比我在赛季开始前的深入分析中估计的要好得多。他们的账户上有可观的29分。然而,我需要强调的是,他们的期望值(xPTS)更低。从纯粹的等级来看,他们在我的力量评分中并不是前四名。他们本赛季在进攻端非常有效率,有29次进球。这只比目前排名第一Ykkönen的MP少两个进球。TPS也有31次进球。当然,在这个游戏领域,TPS确实有优势,但它可能比博彩市场所认为的要小。

考虑到SJK Akatemia在大多数比赛中进攻性的打法,他们本赛季的防守并不令人印象深刻,这是可以理解的。他们还有一支非常年轻的球队,当然,他们也会犯错。他们是SJK,效力于维克考斯利加预备队/青年队。TPS已经丢了19个球,他们的防守也不像每个关注Ykkönen的职业足球投注者所期望的那样好。他们公开宣布的球员工资预算是Ykkönen中最大的,但他们并没有达到预期。事实上,他们比SJK Akatemia少拿了一分!的确,他们应该是最受欢迎的,但他们的价格在1.40左右,这三个点都太低了!在五连胜之后,他们在博彩市场上变得太热门了。是的,在糟糕的赛季开始后,他们已经进步了很多。即便如此,我们也不能说他们在任何方面都是Ykkönen的统治队。上个赛季,他们在纸面上也有很强的阵容,但没能升入维克考斯利甲。是的,他们最近进了很多球,但在他们最近的许多比赛中,从预期进球的数量来看,他们的最终得分确实比TPS高。Akatemia最近状态很好,在最近的六场比赛中没有输过一场。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场0-4输给了Ekenäs,这是一支危险的球队,但主队在第37分钟和第46分钟吃了两张红牌,当时比分还是0-1。在被罚下之后,比赛当然或多或少结束了。客队在这里有很大的机会避免以一个以上的差距输球!在这场比赛之前,他们以4比4战平KäPa,并取得了三连胜!

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