Alania Vladikavkaz VS KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny

Alania Vladikavlaz welcome Kamaz for this Russian FNL round 3 clash at Respublikanskij Stadion Spartak in Vladikavkaz late Monday evening Beijing time. This the the second-highest level of of Russian football and the level is pretty low by international standards. The difference compared to the first level is substantial. Football fans and us serious and for-profit football bettors can expect a match of better than average level between these two teams. There is no doubt about the fact that the hosts are the better team here in terms of prey class. They have an edge in areas of the game. Last season they finished in 3rd place in this league with a respectable 62 points to their account. However, I want to highlight that their number of expected points was much lower – 58.45 to be precise. They netted the ball 56 times which is, of course, a good number in 34 games. It is in fact more than the winners, Rubin Kazan scored. Even so, Alania's number of expected goals was ”only” 49.12. Defensively they were not very impressive and conceded 35 goals. The visitors, Kamaz, defended well last season and allowed just 36 goals. Indeed, in this area of the game the hosts do not have a clear edge in today's clash with the expected lineups. I expect the hosts to be worse than last season as a whole and do not have them among the top-5 in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class!

The biggest, sometimes pretty sharp bookmakers – who even offer odds on this game - and accept the largest bets from customers, offer the hosts of below 1.50 to take all three points. This is way too low and we must oppose them. Their chance of taking all three points is 58%. The recommended bet is, however, the visitors with the +1.5 handicap option with a big chance of winning! I see the goal expectancy here as lower than the betting market does. The visitors will most probably defende hard and mainly rely on fast counter attacks, corner kicks, free kicks and a possible penalty to score. They can be very dangerous on counter attacks! No team's offense is usually at its best this early into the season – defending is much easier than attacking. Let's also remember that Kamaz beat Alania when the two teams last locked horns in April in the round 25 of play. The final score was 1-0 in favor of the then hosts. Both teams recorded just two goal attempts in this pretty boring game. Alania's Mashukov was sent off due to a second yellow card in the 66th minute but Kamaz were leading 1-0 at that stage and probably would have won anyway. Kamaz finished in 11th place last season with 44 points and I expect them to be a little better this season. Their number of xPTS was 48.02. They should be more creative offensively though – last season they scored just 35 goals in this league buttheir number of xG was 38.12. I do trust their coach and players to improve in this area of the game. Kamaz beat Kuban 2-0 at home in their most recent game. It was a solid performance with 56% ball possession. They also recorded more shots on target. Kuban, too, had their chances to score though. Alania, on the other hand, beat Neftekhimik 1-0 in their latest game 1-0 and deserved the win but did not impress me offensively..

阿拉尼亚·弗拉季卡夫卡兹VS卡马兹·纳别列日耶·切尔尼

北京时间周一晚，阿拉尼亚欢迎卡马兹参加在弗拉季高加索的斯巴达Respublikanskij体育场举行的俄罗斯民族解放联盟第三轮比赛。这是俄罗斯足球的第二高水平，按照国际标准来看，这一水平相当低。与第一级相比，差别很大。足球迷和我们这些认真的、以盈利为目的的足球投注者可以期待这两支球队之间的比赛高于平均水平。毫无疑问，就猎物类别而言，东道主是这里更好的球队。他们在比赛的某些方面有优势。上赛季他们以可观的62分排名联赛第三。然而，我想强调的是，他们的期望值要低得多，准确地说是58.45。他们在34场比赛中有56次进球，这当然是一个不错的数字。实际上胜率超过了喀山鲁宾。即便如此，阿拉尼亚的预期进球数“只有”49.12个。防守方面他们表现不佳，丢了35个球。客队卡马斯上赛季防守很好，只丢了36个球。事实上，在今天的比赛中，东道主在这方面并没有明显的优势。我预计东道主的整体表现会比上赛季更差，在我反映球队纯粹实力的实力评级中，他们不会进入前五名!

最大的、有时相当精明的博彩公司——他们甚至会对这场比赛提供赔率——并接受客户的最大投注，给主人提供低于1.50的赔率，让他们把三分全部拿走。这太低级了，我们必须反对他们。他们获得全部三分的几率是58%。推荐的赌注是，然而，游客与+1.5的障碍选项有很大的机会获胜!我认为这里的进球预期比博彩市场要低。客队很可能会防守严密，主要依靠快速反击、角球、任意球和可能的点球来得分。他们在反击时是非常危险的!没有哪支球队的进攻通常会在赛季初期处于最佳状态——防守比进攻容易得多。让我们也记住，卡马斯击败了阿拉尼亚，当两队上次在4月的第25轮交锋。最后的比分是1比0，当时的东道主获胜。在这场相当无聊的比赛中，两队都只有两次射门机会。阿拉尼亚的马舒科夫在第66分钟因第二张黄牌被罚下，但卡马斯当时1-0领先，无论如何都可能获胜。卡马斯上赛季以44分的成绩排在第11位，我希望他们本赛季能更好一点。xPTS数为48.02。他们应该在进攻端更有创造力——上赛季他们在联赛中只进了35球，但是他们的xG值是38.12。我相信他们的教练和球员会在这方面有所提高。在他们最近的一场比赛中，卡马斯主场2-0击败了库班。这是一场稳定的比赛，控球率高达56%。他们也记录了更多的射正。库班队也有进球的机会。另一方面，阿拉尼亚在最近的一场比赛中以1-0击败了涅夫特希米克，理应获胜，但在进攻端并没有给我留下深刻的印象。