KuPS vs KTP

KuPS welcome visitors from the small city of Kotka for this Veikkausliiga battle at Väre Areena on Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the highest tier of Finnish football but it is - as a whole - of low level by European standards. It has, however, improved quite a lot in the last approximately 10 years. Football fans and us serious profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of mediocre level by Veikkausliiga standards between these two teams! Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! I have also previewed two Allsvenskan games and will soon post two more picks on Veikkausliiga - with lucrative odds- of course! As I have mentioned before, even the biggest bookies put much more resources on the biggest leagues played in the summer - for example the Brazilian Serie A, the Argentinian Liga Pro and also on the MLS where even the legendary Leo Messi now plays for Inter Miami. Luckily for us the bookies make a lot of mistakes with their odds in Veikkausliiga matches. There is no doubt about the fact that KuPS are the better team here. They have a clear edge over KTP in all areas of the game. They currently occupy the 3rd place in the standings behind SJK who have 35 points to their account and HJK, the best team in this league. Yesterday HJK proved their class and came from 1-0 down at halftime against SJK away from home. The HJK goalkeeper, Dejan Iliev, was injured in the first half and was replaced by the 18-year-old Alex Ramula who had last played a competitive match in February. What an exciting game it was and a nice free winner for my fans and me! KuPS have 32 points to their account but their number of expected points (xPTS) is lower – 28.87 to be precise. They have netted the ball 22 times in Veikkausliiga which is not a very big number after 17 games. Even the rock-bottom team, Haka, have scored 18 goals. However, KTP have failed to impress me offensively and have scored just 13 goals in Veikkausliiga but their number of expected goals (xG) is still 16.87. I do trust their excellent young coach, Jussi Leppälahti, and the players to improve in this area of the game as the season progresses..

KuPS have, similarly to last season, defended well and have allowed only 11 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 15.32. KTP, too, have defended well as a whole this season allowing just 19 goals in this league. In the early season their defense looked pretty poorly organized and vulnerable which was not a big surprise as KTP were promoted to this level from Ykkönen, the second tier, for this season. The tempo in Veikkausliiga is much faster and the strikers are much more skilled too than in Ykkönen. They are in 9th place in the standings with 17 points but are in 8th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' class.. They have played one game less than KuPS so far. KuPS, on the other hand, are in second place in this rating but are not that much better than SJK, AC Oulu (30 pts,), Honka (20 pts) and Inter Turku (19 pts). My fans probably know that I never let the standings fool me which is very important in profitable professional football betting! KuPS were strong in May and June winning most of their games but their level has dropped a lot since then but the bookmakers still trust them a lot - too much in my expert opinion. Even KuPS' good coach, Simo Valalakari, has said in the media that this worries him. Moreover KuPS have won just one of their latest six games and have lost four of these six matches! In their most recent match they lost to Derry City in a UEFA Conference League first leg clash away from home 1-2. This match was played late - (21:45 Finland time) on Thursday and the trip back to Kuopio took a pretty long time.,They have had just two full days to recover from this tough game which is far from optimal in professional football! I believe the betting market fails to give this factor enough emphasis..st season KuPS struggled a lot in a similar situation. KuPS also have to save energy and avoid injuries to be ready for the very important second leg next Thursday.. Some squad rotation by Valakari would not be a surprise here.. KuPS were a little disappointing against Derry City despite 58% ball possession. The hosts recorded many more shots on goal (8-3), shots off goal (4-3) and goal attempts (12-6). 

Before the trip to Derry KuPS were mediocre against Inter Turku away from home as solid favorites according to the bookies – priced around 2.20 at the time of kickoff. It was a balanced clash and the final score was 1-1. It was clear before and after the match that KuPS were, once again, overrated by the bookies. My fans and I won a bet - Inter +0.5 goals - in this match. KuPS have a 58% chance of taking all three points but their odds – around 1.45 - on the betting market are significantly too low! The obvious smart bet is KTP +1.5 goals with a 68% chance of increasing the winning streak. We will win as long as KTP avoid losing by a margin of more than one goal. KTP have been pretty good lately and have lost just two of their most recent six games. In their latest game they lost to AC Oulu away from home as big underdogs 1-3. Even so, their performance was okay and the hosts only recorded one more goal attempt than KTP. Both teams recorded three shots on goal and KTP even had more attacks – 72-61. Indeed, the final score is misleading. Before this they took a point from Ilves at home as underdogs on the betting market.

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

up vs KTP

北京时间周日晚上，在Väre竞技场球场，人们欢迎来自小城科特卡(Kotka)的游客前来观看这场Veikkausliiga之战。这是芬兰足球的最高水平，但从整体上看，以欧洲标准来看，它的水平很低。然而，在过去的大约10年里，它有了很大的进步。足球迷和我们这些极度渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待这两支球队之间的比赛，以维卡斯利加的标准来看，这是一场平庸的比赛!最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!我也预演了两场阿尔斯温斯坎队的比赛，并将很快在维克考斯利加再发布两场比赛——当然，赔率很高!正如我之前提到的，即使是最大的博彩公司也会把更多的资源投入到夏季最重要的联赛中，比如巴西的意甲联赛，阿根廷的职业联赛，还有美国职业足球大联盟，就连传奇人物里奥·梅西现在也在迈阿密国际效力。对我们来说幸运的是，博彩公司在维库斯利亚联赛的赔率上犯了很多错误。毫无疑问，up是这里更好的球队。他们在游戏的所有领域都比KTP有明显的优势。他们目前在积分榜上排名第三，落后于35分的SJK和联赛中最好的球队HJK。昨天，在客场1-0落后的情况下，沪江证明了自己的实力。香港jk的门将德扬·伊利耶夫(Dejan Iliev)在上半场受伤，由18岁的亚历克斯·拉穆拉(Alex Ramula)顶替，他上一次参加正式比赛是在2月份。真是一场激动人心的比赛，对我和我的球迷来说，这是一个很好的免费赢家!up的账户上有32分，但他们的期望值(xPTS)较低，准确地说是28.87分。他们在维克考斯利甲打进22球，这在17场比赛后并不是一个很大的数字。就连垫底的哈卡队也进了18个球。然而，KTP在进攻端并没有给我留下深刻的印象，他们在维克斯利亚联赛中只进了13球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)仍然是16.87。我相信他们优秀的年轻教练，尤西Leppälahti，随着赛季的进行，球员们会在这方面有所提高。

与上个赛季类似，他们的防守很好，只丢了11个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是15.32个。KTP本赛季的整体防守也很好，在联赛中只丢了19个球。在赛季初，他们的防守看起来组织得很差，很脆弱，这并不奇怪，因为KTP在本赛季从Ykkönen，第二梯队提升到了这个级别。维克考斯利加的节奏要快得多，前锋的技术也比Ykkönen好得多。他们在积分榜上以17分排在第9位，但在我反映球队实力的力量排名中却排在第8位。到目前为止，他们比up少打了一场比赛。另一方面，库普斯排名第二，但并不比SJK、AC奥卢(30分)、洪卡(20分)和国际图尔库(19分)好多少。我的球迷可能知道我从不让排名欺骗我，这在盈利的职业足球博彩中是非常重要的!up队在5月和6月的比赛中表现强劲，赢得了大部分比赛，但自那以后他们的水平下降了很多，但博彩公司仍然非常信任他们——在我的专家看来，他们太信任他们了。就连尤普斯的好教练西莫·瓦拉拉卡里(Simo Valalakari)也在媒体上表示，这让他很担心。此外，up在最近的六场比赛中只赢了一场，输了四场!在最近的一场比赛中，他们在欧洲联盟联赛首回合客场1-2不敌德里城。这场比赛是在周四晚些时候(芬兰时间21:45)进行的，回到库奥皮奥花了很长时间。他们只有整整两天的时间从这场艰难的比赛中恢复过来，这在职业足球中远非最佳状态!我认为博彩市场并没有给予这个因素足够的重视，上个赛季，ups在类似的情况下挣扎了很多。球员们还必须节省体力，避免受伤，为下周四非常重要的第二回合做好准备。瓦拉卡里的一些阵容轮换在这里并不令人惊讶。在对阵德里城的比赛中，尽管控球率高达58%，但我们的表现还是有点令人失望。东道主记录了更多的射正(8-3)、射偏(4-3)和射门次数(12-6)。

在德里之旅之前，尤普斯在客场对阵图尔库的比赛中表现平平，根据博彩公司的说法，这是一个稳定的热门，开球时的价格约为2.20英镑。这是一场势均力敌的比赛，最终比分是1比1。很明显，在比赛前后，庄家们又一次高估了up。在这场比赛中，我和我的球迷打赌国米+0.5球。KuPS

有58%的机会获得所有三分，但他们的赔率-大约1.45 -在博彩市场上明显太低!显然明智的赌注是KTP +1.5个进球，有68%的机会增加连胜纪录。只要KTP不输一球以上，我们就会赢。KTP最近表现不错，最近6场比赛只输了2场。在最近的一场比赛中，他们客场1-3不敌AC奥卢队。尽管如此，他们的表现还不错，东道主只比KTP多进了一个球。两队都有3次射门，KTP甚至有更多的进攻——72比61。事实上，最后的分数是有误导性的。在此之前，他们在主场从伊尔维斯那里拿了一分，在博彩市场上处于劣势。