More WINNERS from Finland? $$$
2023-07-30

Tapio

外籍分析师

芬超

07/30 20:00

已完赛

哈卡
1:0
拉赫蒂
解读理由:

FC Haka VS FC Lahti


Haka host FC Lahti for this Finnish Veikkausliiga match at Tehtaan Kenttä Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the highest tier of Finnish football but it is - as a whole - of not great level by European standards. It has, however, improved quite a lot in the last approximately 10 years. Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a match of poor level. Even by Veikkausliiga standards between these two lowly teams! Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! I have also previewed two Allsvenskan games and will soon post one more pick on Veikkausliiga - with lucrative odds- of course! As I have mentioned before, even the biggest bookies put much more resources on the biggest leagues played in the summer - for example the Brazilian Serie A, the Japanese J1 League and also on the MLS where even the legendary Leo Messi now plays for Inter Miami. Luckily for us the bookies make a lot of mistakes with their odds in Veikkausliiga matches!

Haka are currently the rock-bottom team in the standings and their season has been a catastrophe! Early season they were okay in some games but their level has been dropping for a long time now..They have not won any of their latest 13 games! What a horrible record is! They are, completely understand by, low in confidence. Furthermore, their fans have been very disappointed with the team and some fans have even been shouting ”Tainio ulos” (Tainio out). The players must feel enormous pressure at the moment.. Tainio, Haka's head coach, did very well last season and Haka ended up in 4th place. It was clear even before the season started that haka would be much worse this season but I do not think anyone would have expected Haka to be this bad! I have massively lowered their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class from the in-depth preseason analysis! Their defense has been incredibly leaky and they have allowed a stunning 31 goals in Veikkausliiga! Their defense lacks basically everything – skill, structure and confidence! Stupid individual mistakes are common and the midfielders do not take part in defending as much as they should. I do expect Lahti to score here - perhaps even many times despite the fact that their offense is among the worst in Veikkausliiga.. They have netted the ball just 13 times but their number of expected goals (xG) is 16.11.Haka have scored 18 goals but their number of xG is 17.01. 

Lahti are in 11th place in the league table with 14 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is 16.16. The home advantage in Veikkausliiga is on average much smaller than in most European leagues. Haka do have potential to improve and are the favorites here but the current odds of around 1.85 offered by the biggest bookies with the largest stake limits are much too low! Lahti +0.5 goals is the obvious smart bet here with a 56% chance of winning. Haka will be missing Vigori Gbe, Anthony Herbert and Mehdi Boukassi. Lahti have a worst situation in terms of absentees but the bookies seem to give this factor too much emphasis, Djalo and Penninkangas are suspended due to too many cards. Järvenpää and Tauriainen are out too. Herts and Könkköla are probably out too. The teams last locked horns in June and Lahti won 1-0 at home. They had 60% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (14-8), shots on and off goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. In their most recent match Haka were totally out of balance defensively and were crushed by VPS in Vaasa. 4-1 was the final score! Lahti, on the other hand, lost their most recent game 0-2 at home to IFK Mariehamn but this loss was an unlucky one. Indeed, Lahti had 53% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, shots off goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks! The bookies seem to give this match too much emphasis. Before this Lahti were good at home against SJK as big underdogs - it was a 1-1 draw and Lahti could even have won after recording more shots on goal. Furthermore, on the 8th of this month they beat HJK in Helsinki 1-0 after a solid performance! They had some luck on their side though. Let's remember that HJK played in the UEFA Europa League group stage last season and defeated a big Norwegian club, Molde, on Tuesday in an UEFA Champions League qualification clash!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

哈卡VS拉赫蒂


北京时间周日晚上,哈卡将在德黑兰主场迎战拉赫蒂。这是芬兰足球的最高水平,但从整体上看,以欧洲的标准来看,它的水平并不高。然而,在过去的大约10年里,它有了很大的进步。足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待一场糟糕的比赛。即使按照维克考斯利加的标准,这两支低水平的球队!最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我也预演了两场阿尔斯温斯坎队的比赛,并将很快在维克考斯利亚再发一场比赛——当然,赔率很高!正如我之前提到的,即使是最大的博彩公司也会把更多的资源投入到夏季最重要的联赛中,比如巴西的意甲联赛,日本的J1联赛,还有美国职业足球大联盟,就连传奇人物里奥·梅西现在也效力于国际迈阿密。幸运的是,博彩公司在维考斯利加的比赛中会犯很多错误!

哈卡目前在积分榜上垫底,他们的赛季简直是一场灾难!赛季初他们在一些比赛中还不错,但他们的水平已经下降了很长一段时间,他们最近的13场比赛没有赢过一场!多么糟糕的记录啊!完全可以理解,他们缺乏信心。此外,他们的球迷对球队非常失望,一些球迷甚至高呼“泰尼奥出局”。此刻球员们一定感到了巨大的压力。上个赛季,哈卡队的主教练泰尼奥表现非常出色,最终哈卡队获得了第四名。在赛季开始之前,很明显,这个赛季的哈卡会更糟糕,但我不认为有人会预料到哈卡会这么糟糕!我已经大幅降低了他们的能量评级,这反映了从季前赛的深入分析中得出的球队的纯粹等级!他们的防守漏洞百出,在维克考斯利加丢了31个球!他们的防守基本上什么都缺——技术、结构和信心!愚蠢的个人失误是常见的,中场球员没有参与到他们应该参与的防守中。我确实希望拉赫蒂能在这里进球——也许会进球很多次,尽管他们的进攻是维克考斯利加最差的。他们只有13次进球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)是16.11。哈卡虽然进了18球,但他们的进球数只有17.01个。

拉赫蒂以14分排名第11位,但他们的期望积分(xPTS)是16.16分。维克考斯利加的主场优势比大多数欧洲联赛平均要小得多。哈卡确实有潜力提高,是最受欢迎的,但目前的赔率约为1.85,由最大的博彩公司提供最大的赌注限制是太低了!拉赫蒂+0.5球显然是明智的赌注,有56%的获胜机会。哈卡将会失去格贝、赫伯特和布卡西。拉赫蒂的缺阵情况最糟糕,但博彩公司似乎过于强调这一点,贾洛和彭宁康加斯因为太多的牌而停赛。Järvenpää和Tauriainen也出局了。Herts和Könkköla可能也已经过时了。两队上一次交锋是在6月,拉赫蒂主场1-0获胜。他们有60%的控球率,记录了更多的射门次数(14胜8负),射门和射门,角球,进攻和危险进攻。在他们最近的一场比赛中,哈卡的防守完全失去了平衡,在瓦萨被VPS击败,最终比分是4比1 !拉赫蒂,另一方面,他们最近的比赛在主场0-2输给了IFK玛丽汉,但这场失利是不幸的。事实上,拉赫蒂有53%的控球率,并且记录了更多的进球尝试、射门、角球、进攻和危险进攻!博彩公司似乎把这场比赛看得太重了。在此之前,拉赫蒂在主场对阵SJK的比赛中表现出色,比分是1-1平,拉赫蒂甚至可以在射门次数更多的情况下获胜。此外,本月8日,他们在赫尔辛基以1比0击败了HJK。不过他们还是有些运气的。让我们记住,上个赛季,HJK参加了欧联杯小组赛,并在周二的欧冠资格赛中击败了挪威豪门莫尔德!

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