A FINE match to bet on! $$$ 芬甲 查普斯VSHIFK赫尔辛基
2023-07-29

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外籍分析师

芬甲

07/29 21:00

已完赛

查普斯
1:0
HIFK赫尔辛基
解读理由:

JäPS vs HIFK


JäPs welcome visitors from the capital of my home county, Helsinki, for this Finnish Ykkönen at Järvenpään keskuskenttä battle at OmaSP Stadion in the small city of Järvenpä late Saturday evening Beijing time. This league is - as a whole - of lvery ow level by European standards. Many players are not even professional footballers. Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a match of medicore level between these two strong teams! Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! As I have written before, even the biggest bookies put much more resources on the biggest leagues played in the summer - for example the Brazilian Serie A, the Argentinian Liga Pro - or the MLS where even Leo Messi now plays for Inter Miami -  and often overlook Ykkönen and Veikkausliiga, the highest tier of Finnish football. This frequently leads to frequent mistakes with the odds they offer! HIFK currently occupy the 6th place in the Ykkönen standings with a 24 points to their account. There is no denying the fact that they have been a slight disappointing this season. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 25.89. On a good day they can easily beat any team in Ykkönen but they have also played some really bad games – especially early this season. ”Erratic” would be a word that describes them well. Even so, they have a strong squad by Ykkönen standards and have potential to improve - in all areas of the game. They have struggled with their offense a lot this season but have now scored a total of eight goals in their most recent two games! Indeed, things really look better for them now!

I want to, once again, mention Paulus Arajuuri, ” the blond giant” at the center of the HIFK defense. He played for the Finnish national team for a long time and played with them in the EURO 2020 two years ago. He is perhaps even ”too good” for this level. His salary is paid by a sponsor and is not included in the publicly announced player budget – before the season kicked off. Taking this into account HIFK have a much bigger players salary budget than JäPS. They have an edge over the hosts in all areas of the game. Despite the offensive problems HIFK have scored 24 goals in Ykkönen so far. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 23.12. JäPS have scored a pathetic 16 goals and have also allowed many more goals than HIFK who have the third-best defense in Ykkönen in my expert opinion. Let's not forget that they played in Veikkausliiga for years before being relegated after a horrible last season.. Furthermore, a good number of loud HIFK fans have traveled to Järvenpää. Indeed, the home advantage is very small here. The bookies, weirdly, see JäPS as favorites here – offering them odds of around 2.40-2.50. With the expected lineps I cannot agree with the bookmakers. HIFK deserve to be slim favorites here. They beat JJK 4-2 at home in their most recent game and deserved the three points. Before this they crushed KPV away from home 4-0 and did not alllow KPV any shots on goal. I want to mention that LPV are better than the league table reflects. JäPS have been poor lately and have won just one of their latest 10 games. KPV beat them 3-0 in Järvenpää a week ago. What a horrible result.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

JäPS vs HIFK


JäPs欢迎来自我家乡首都赫尔辛基的游客,在北京时间周六晚上,在小城市Järvenpä的OmaSP体育场观看这场芬兰Ykkönen Järvenpään keskuskenttä比赛。这个联赛——作为一个整体——在欧洲的标准中处于很低的水平。许多球员甚至不是职业足球运动员。足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待这两支强队之间的一场医学水平的比赛!最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!正如我以前写过的那样,即使是最大的博彩公司也会把更多的资源投入到夏季最大的联赛中——比如巴西甲级联赛、阿根廷职业联赛——或者连梅西都在迈阿密国际效力的美国职业足球大联盟——而往往忽略了Ykkönen和芬兰足球的最高级别联赛维科斯利加。这经常导致他们提供的赔率经常出错!目前,HIFK以24分的成绩在Ykkönen排名第6位。不可否认的事实是,他们这个赛季有点令人失望。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)是25.89。在一个好的日子里,他们可以轻松击败Ykkönen的任何一支球队,但他们也打了一些非常糟糕的比赛,尤其是本赛季初。”用“古怪”这个词来形容他们再合适不过了。即便如此,按照Ykkönen的标准,他们仍然是一支强大的球队,并且在比赛的各个方面都有提高的潜力。本赛季他们在进攻端遇到了很多困难,但在最近的两场比赛中,他们总共进了8个球!的确,现在他们的情况看起来好多了!

我想再一次提到保卢斯·阿拉朱里,他是HIFK防守中心的“金发巨人”。他为芬兰国家队效力了很长时间,并在两年前参加了2020年欧洲杯。对于这个级别,他甚至可能“太好了”。他的薪水是由赞助商支付的,不包括在赛季开始前公开公布的球员预算中。考虑到这一点,HIFK的球员工资预算比JäPS大得多。他们在比赛的各个方面都比东道主有优势。虽然在进攻端出现了问题,但是在Ykkönen比赛中打进了24球。他们的预期进球数(xG)为23.12。JäPS只进了可怜的16个球,丢的球也比拥有Ykkönen第三防守的HIFK多。别忘了他们在维卡斯利加踢了很多年,直到上个赛季因为糟糕的表现被降级。此外,很多HIFK的粉丝也访问了Järvenpää。事实上,主场优势非常小。奇怪的是,博彩公司认为JäPS是最受欢迎的,给出的赔率约为2.40-2.50。对于预期的赔率,我不同意庄家的看法。在这里,HIFK应该是最受欢迎的。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场4-2击败了jk,理应得到三分。在此之前,他们在客场4-0击败了波兰,并且没有让波兰任何射门。我想说的是,LPV比排行榜所反映的要好。JäPS最近表现不佳,最近10场比赛只赢了一场。一周前在Järvenpää以3比0击败了他们。多么可怕的结果啊。

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