A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2023-07-29

Tapio

外籍分析师

日乙

07/29 17:00

已完赛

秋田闪电
1:0
群马温泉
解读理由:

Blaublitz Akita vs Thespa Kusatsu


Blauplitz host Kusatsu for this Japanese J2 League round 28 battle at Soyu Stadium Saturday afternoon Beijing time. This league is of somewhat low-level by international standards. Luckily for my fans and me even the biggest bookmakers seem to make quite a lot of mistakes with their odds in J2 League – possibly because they allocate more resources on the major leagues that are played in the summer – such as the Brazilian Serie, Argentinian Liga Pro A and the MLS where even the legendary Leo Messi dominates now – with a pretty disappointing seem till his arrival, Inter Miami. We have yet another fine betting opportunity here to win once again betting on Japanese football. I have also previewed several other J2 League games for Saturday – with lucrative odds – of course! The difference compared to the J1 League, the first tier, is substantial.. Football lovers and us profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of somewhat average level by J2 League standards between these two teams. Results-wise Blaublitz are having a mediocre season in the J2 League so far and currently occupy the 13th place in this league with a total of 22 clubs. Last season they finished in 13th place with 56 points to their account. They have grabbed just 35 points so far but I want to highlight that their number of expected points (xPTS) is a little higher - 35.45 to be precise. In my power rating that reflects the teams pure class they are currently in 12th place. I have slightly lowered their power rating from my sophisticated, in-depth preseason analysis.. The visitors, on the other hand, are in the 8th place in this ranking. This is also their place in the league table. They have grabbed 40 points and their number of xPTS is 42.03. They have massively improved from last season when they were disappointing as a whole – no denying that. Indeed, they finished in 20th place with 42 points. However, I want to highlight that they were also unlucky as their number of xPTS was 48.14! They bookies seem to give last season's results way too much emphasis and keep on underestimating Kusatsu! 

Kusatsu did beat Blaublitz away from home last season 1-0. The teams locked horns in the opening round of the season and it was a goalless draw at Kusatsu's home stadium. Both teams recorded just one shot on goal in this clash..  A very low-scoring match by J2 League standards is on the cards today as well but the bookies, too, have realised this.. The draw is a pretty probable result here – with a probability of 34%. The biggest, sometimes relatively smart bookies see Blaublitz as solid favorites here – offering them odds of around 2.20 to win. I cannot agree with them and see the hosts only as very marginal favorites. This means that with the expected lineups the obvious smart bet is Kusatsu +0.5 goals! They have only a very small edge in terms of defensive quality - they have allowed 28 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is a bit higher – 29.02 to be precise. Blauplitz, on the other hand, have conceded 29 goals and their number of xGA is 29.78. When taking a look at both team's offensive firepower we can see that Kusatsu are much better! They have netted the ball 32 in this league – the hosts, on the other hand, have been very lame offensively. They have scored just 23 goals so far in J2 League. This is the second-lowest number in this league. However they surely can improve in this area of the game and their number of expected goals (xG) is 26.03. Blaublitz have won just 3/12 games at home but this factor cannot be ignored, of course. Kusatsu have been mediocre on the road. They have been in good form lately avoiding a defeat in all of their latest seven games. 

In their most recent match Kusatsu faced a strong team Iwata, currently in 2nd place, as big underdogs according to the bookies but played well! Iwata were priced around 1.60 to take all three points.. This was yet another example of Kusatsu being undervalued on the betting market! The match was a pretty balanced one as a whole. Kusatsu recorded more shots on goal but Iwata had more scoring attempts and 53% ball possession. Both teams recorded 66 attacks. I was positively surprised by Kusatsu's performance despite acknowledging that fact that Iwata were not quite at their best.. Blaublitz have not been impressive at all lately and have not looked confident on the pitch in most of their recent games.. Indeed, they have won just two of their latest 12 games! They did, however, defeat Renofa Yamaguchi, 2-1 away from home in their most recent match in a match that the bookies saw as more or less as a coin toss without a favorite.. Quite interestingly the hosts had 70% ball possession and recorded more dangerous attacks. Blaublitz did, however, create more goal attempts. It was a rather low-level game as a whole and Blaublitz failed to really impress me.. Before this they were okay at home against Kumamoto, who are currently in 10th place, as solid underdogs on the betting market. However, Kumamoto played pretty badly in this game.. Furthermore, on the 5th of this month Kofu, currently in 4th place, crushed Blaublitz 5-1 and today's hosts looked awfully vulnerable defensively! They would probably have to improve at least a little – or get lucky – to beat the in-form Kusatsu in this clash..



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

秋田vs草津


北京时间周六下午,Blauplitz主场迎战草津队,将在Soyu体育场进行日本J2联赛第28轮的比赛。按照国际标准,这个联赛的水平有些低。幸运的是,对于我和我的球迷来说,即使是最大的博彩公司在J2联赛的赔率上似乎也犯了很多错误——可能是因为他们把更多的资源分配在了夏天举行的主要联赛上——比如巴西甲级联赛、阿根廷甲级联赛和美国职业足球大联盟,现在连传奇人物里奥·梅西都统治着这个联赛——直到他的到来,国际迈阿密,看起来都相当令人失望。我们在这里又有一个很好的投注机会,可以再次赢得对日本足球的投注。我也预演了周六的其他几场J2联赛——当然了,赔率很高!与第一梯队J1联赛相比,差距是巨大的。足球爱好者和我们这些渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待这两支球队以J2联赛的标准进行一场中等水平的比赛。结果方面,Blaublitz目前在J2联赛中表现平平,目前在该联赛中排名第13位,共有22家俱乐部。上赛季他们以56分的积分排名第13。到目前为止,他们只拿到了35分,但我想强调的是,他们的预期积分(xPTS)要高一点,准确地说是35.45分。在我的纯实力排名中,他们目前排在第12位。我在季前赛的分析中稍微降低了他们的能量等级。另一方面,游客在这个排名中排名第八。这也是他们在排行榜上的位置。他们拿到了40分,他们的得分是42.03分。无可否认,上赛季他们整体上令人失望,但现在他们有了很大的进步。事实上,他们以42分排名第20位。然而,我想强调的是,他们也很不幸,因为他们的xPTS数量是48.14!这些博彩公司似乎过于强调上个赛季的结果,而一直低估草津!

草津上赛季在客场1-0击败了Blaublitz。这两支球队在本赛季的首轮交锋中,在草津主场以0比0战平。在这场比赛中,两队都只射门一次。按照J2联赛的标准,一场得分很低的比赛今天也在上演,但博彩公司也意识到了这一点。平局是一个很有可能的结果——有34%的概率。最大的,有时相对聪明的博彩公司认为Blaublitz是最受欢迎的,为他们提供了2.20左右的赔率。我不能同意他们的观点,我认为东道主们只是无足轻重的宠儿。这意味着,在预期的阵容下,显然明智的赌注是草津+0.5个进球!他们在防守质量上只有很小的优势——他们丢了28个球,但是他们的预期失球(xGA)要高一些——准确地说是29.02个。另一方面,布劳普利茨丢了29个球,他们的射门次数为29.78次。当我们看一下两支球队的进攻火力时,我们可以看到草津要好得多!他们在这次联赛中净胜球32次,而另一方面,东道主的进攻很差劲。到目前为止,他们在J2联赛中只进了23个球。这是联盟第二低的数据。然而,他们在这方面肯定可以提高,他们的预期进球数(xG)是26.03。Blaublitz在主场只赢了3/12场比赛,但这个因素当然不能忽视。草津在路上表现平平。他们最近的状态很好,在最近的七场比赛中都没有失败。

在他们最近的一场比赛中,草津面对的是一支强大的岩田,目前排名第二,根据博彩公司的说法,他们是大输家,但打得很好!Iwata的定价在1.60左右,这三个点都拿走了。这是草津在博彩市场上被低估的又一个例子!这场比赛总体上是相当平衡的。草津的射门次数更多,但岩田的得分次数更多,控球率也达到53%。两支球队都有66次进攻。我对Kusatsu的表现感到非常惊讶,尽管我承认岩田聪并没有处于最佳状态。Blaublitz最近一点都不令人印象深刻,在最近的大多数比赛中看起来都不自信。事实上,他们在最近的12场比赛中只赢了两场!然而,在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们在客场2-1击败了山口雷诺法,在这场比赛中,博彩公司或多或少地被视为没有最爱的硬币投掷。有趣的是,主队有70%的控球率

更危险的攻击。然而,Blaublitz创造了更多的进球尝试。这是一款相当低级的游戏,《Blaublitz》并没有真正打动我。在此之前,他们在主场对阵熊本的比赛中表现平平,熊本目前在博彩市场上排名第10,是绝对的弱者。然而,熊本在这场比赛中表现相当糟糕。此外,在本月5日,目前排名第四的神户队以5比1大胜Blaublitz,今天的东道主在防守上看起来非常脆弱!他们可能至少需要提高一点,或者运气好一点,才能在这场比赛中击败状态良好的草津。

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