The last game in the Women's World Cup on Friday night is going to be between China and Haiti. After the 1st round, both teams have zero points as they both lost. In this game, I predict that Haiti won't lose by more than 1 goal.
China was an underdog against Denmark and they were very close to getting a point but the opponents scored the winning goal in the 89th minute. Overall, China had 44% ball control and 4 fewer shots. Before the World Cup, China didn't play very well because they had just 1 win in 6 friendly games and the only victory was against Russia.
Haiti's opponent in the opening match was much tougher - England. Although the predictions were that Haiti will lose by a lot, in the end, England scored a penalty in the 29th minute and the European Champions won 1:0. Per stats, the difference should have been bigger because England had 14 more shots and 9 more on target, and there was a big difference in the xG.
China may have lost in stoppage time to Denmark, but offensively speaking they did very little going forward. They only created 0.44 xG on nine shots. China is very similar to a lot of teams in the tournament, as they favor playing out of a 4-4-2, conceding possession to their opponent and looking to play in transition. Haiti has shown the ability to control possession and be a dominant side when they were playing the minnows of CONCACAF Qualifying.
All but three of China’s players play domestically for their club teams, so talent-wise in this group, they are a lot closer to Haiti than the odds are suggesting. In terms of talent, a majority of the Haitian roster is playing over in France, but only a handful are playing in the top division with the rest made up of college players from the United States. They have a blistering pace going forward, so if the match becomes transitional they’ll be able to put pressure on China’s backline. Haiti’s performance in the opening match was so incredibly encouraging, especially as a four-goal underdog on the spread. They created 0.60 xG. This should be a much closer game, and Haiti won't lose by more than 1 goal.
周五晚上，女足世界杯的最后一场比赛将在中国和海地之间进行。在第一轮之后，两队都输了，得0分。在这场比赛中，我预测海地不会输超过一球。
中国队在对阵丹麦队的比赛中处于劣势，他们非常接近拿到一分，但对手在第89分钟打进了制胜一球。总的来说，中国队的控球率为44%，投篮次数少了4次。在世界杯之前，中国队踢得不是很好，因为他们在6场友谊赛中只赢了1场，唯一的胜利是对俄罗斯。
首场比赛中，海地的对手——英格兰队要顽强得多。尽管预测海地会输很多，但最终，英格兰在第29分钟罚进点球，欧洲冠军以1:0获胜。从数据上看，差距应该更大，因为英格兰的射门次数多了14次，射正次数多了9次。
中国队在补时阶段输给了丹麦队，但从进攻角度来说，他们在接下来的比赛中做得很少。他们在9次射击中只创造了0.44 xG。中国队和很多参加比赛的球队非常相似，因为他们喜欢打4-4-2阵型，把控球权让给对手，并希望打过渡阵型。海地在中北美和加勒比地区足球预选赛中表现出了控制控球的能力，并成为了一支占统治地位的球队。
除了三名中国球员外，其他球员都在国内效力于他们的俱乐部球队，所以在这一组中，他们的天赋比想象的要接近海地。在人才方面，大多数海地球员都在法国踢球，但只有少数人在顶级联赛踢球，其余的都是来自美国的大学球员。他们前进的速度非常快，所以如果比赛变成过渡阶段，他们将能够对中国队的后防线施加压力。海地在揭幕战中的表现是如此令人难以置信的鼓舞人心，尤其是在四球落后的情况下。他们创造了0.60 xG。这应该是一场势均力敌的比赛，海地不会输超过1球。
