🚨Who will be closer to big final?🚨
2023-07-26

Przem

外籍分析师

巴西杯

07/27 08:30

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Gremio have really good chances to win today's game. +0 AH looks like very safe bet. In worst case scenario (draw) our bet will be voided. Gremio should be bigger favorite than bookies showing for us in their odds.


Both teams played each other in Serie A in June. Flamengo won 3:0 at home, but that wasn't deserved result at all: expected goals scored for Flamengo 1.91, for Gremio 2.07 (25 shots). It's perfect time to revenge. In past both teams played 3 times at semifinals stage in Copa do Brasil and 3 times Gremio qualified into big finals.


Gremio 4 days ago won at home against Mineiro and currently they are on 2nd place in league table. Coach Renato Gaucho mixed squad a bit in that game. Atmosphere in team is great and they wants to go with momentum front of home crowd. So far Gremio went unbeaten in 8 of 9 home league matches and scored 18 goals in the process. Today we will see on the pitch very strong line up with key players like Bitello, Villasanti, Reinaldo, Cristaldo and probably also Suarez.


Flamengo 4 days ago luckily avoided loss at home against poor America MG (relegation zone). Flamengo from slashed down in last weeks, they failed to win in 3 of last 4 matches. Their stats on the road are not convincing (failed to win in 5 of 8 away league matches and conceded 14 goals in the process). In previous round of Copa do Brasil they won on away against Paranaense, but they had a lot of luck to keep clean sheet there (27 shots faced!). I can imagine today huge troubles in the middle zone for Flamengo. They will play today without two key central midfielders - Pulgar & Gerson (according to the ratings he is best Flamengo player in current season). It's huge blow.


Gremio have all required tools to at least avoid loss here (in my opinion great opportunity to win).



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来格雷米奥有很好的机会赢得今天的比赛。+0 AH看起来很安全。在最坏的情况下(平局),我们的赌注将无效。格雷米奥应该比赌徒给我们的赔率更大。


这两支球队在六月份的意甲联赛中交锋。弗拉门戈主场3:0获胜,但这根本不值得:弗拉门戈的预期进球数为1.91,格雷米奥的预期进球数为2.07(25次射门)。这是复仇的最佳时机。在过去的巴西杯比赛中,两支球队曾3次进入半决赛,格雷米奥也曾3次进入决赛。


格雷米奥4天前在主场战胜了米内罗,目前他们在联赛中排名第二。雷纳托·高乔教练在那场比赛中混合了一些阵容。球队的气氛很好,他们想在主场观众面前带着动力前进。到目前为止,格雷米奥在9场主场比赛中有8场保持不败,并在此过程中打入18球。今天我们将在球场上看到强大的阵容,包括比泰罗、比利亚桑蒂、雷纳尔多、克里斯托多,可能还有苏亚雷斯。


幸运的是,弗拉门戈避免了主场输给可怜的美国MG(降级区)。弗拉门戈在过去几周遭遇重创,他们在最近4场比赛中有3场未能获胜。他们在客场的数据并不令人信服(8场客场比赛中有5场失利,丢了14个球)。在上一轮的巴西杯上,他们在客场战胜了帕拉纳塞,但他们运气很好,在那里保持了零失球(27次射门!)我可以想象今天弗拉门戈在中路会遇到巨大的麻烦。他们今天的比赛将没有两名关键的中场球员——普尔加和格尔森(根据评分,他是本赛季弗拉门戈最好的球员)。这是一个巨大的打击。


格雷米奥拥有所有必要的工具,至少可以避免损失(在我看来,这是一个很好的获胜机会)。

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