A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2023-07-24

Tapio

外籍分析师

瑞典超甲

07/25 01:00

已完赛

赫尔辛堡
1:0
特雷勒堡
解读理由:

Helsingborg VS Trelleborg


Helsingborg welcome Trelleborg for this Swedish Superettan round 15 clash at Olympia early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the second tier of Swedish football. Superettan is of somewhat low level by European standards but is still significantly better than for example the Finnish second tier, Ykkönen. Players in Allsvenskan are professional footballers. When analyzing and betting on Superettan it is important to realize that the home advantage in this league is on average lower than in most big European leagues, for example the Spanish LaLiga. In this match football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a pretty high-level game between these two better than average teams. As most of my fans probably know by now I never let the standings fool me! Trelleborg currently occupy the 10th place in the standings and have a total of 17 points the their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is a little higher. They do have potential for some improvement but I do not think this will happen fast.. Their score difference is not very impressive – 18:24 to be precise. However, offensively they have been pretty good, especially early season. Lately they have, however, declined significantly in terms of offensive quality. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 15.12. The main problem with Trelelborg has been the very disorganized defense in terms of structure and way too many silly individual mistakes. The midfielders should also take part in defending much more than we have seen previously. They have conceded a whopping 24 goals in this league so far. This is the third-highest number in Allsvenskan. The rock-bottom team, Skovde have allowed just one more goal than Trelleborg in Superettan so far. Trelleborg have won just one of their most recent five competitive games. They did take two wins in friendly games during the summer break but my fans probably know that I do not give this games a lot of emphasis.. In their most recent game Trelleborg took a draw away from home against Orebro away from home as clear underdogs according to the bookies. They were somewhat lucky to grab a 0-0 draw as the hosts were clearly the better team on the pitch. They recorded many more goal attempts (12-8), shots on goal (9-3), corner kicks and dangerous attacks. They also generated more in expected goals. Trelleborg were too passive and defensive in this game and I expect the hosts to control the events at Olympia today. The hosts are underdvalued by the bookies here and the odds of around 2.05-2.10 are widely available. The hosts have 54% chance of taking all three points.

Before the draw against Orebro the visitors were abysmal and lost to Utsikten 0-3 at home and looked very vulnerable in defense and lame on the offense! Helsingborg have very good fans by Superettan standards so the home advantage in this specific game is higher than average! We must not forget that they played in Allsvenkan last season and are a traditional., pretty big club in Sweden. Their players total market value according to Transfermarkt.com, a reliable and well-known source is around six million euros but I would set the number at around 7.5 million. The Trelleborg squad is valued at slightly below five million euros which is a little too high in my view.. They have struggled this season as a whole and I have lowered their power rating that reflects the teams pure class from my in-depth pre-season analysis. However, I want to highlight that they have massively improved from early season both on the pitch and in terms of actual results! Even so, they have just 16 points in their pocket but their number of expected number of points is 20.35. They can improve even further, especially in term of offensive structure and creativity. New players are also expected to join to club.. So far their offense has not impressed me taking the high expectations into account – no denying that. They have scored just 11 goals in this league so far but their number of xG is still 16.12! Their defense has worked very well and they have allowed just 12 goals. I would not be surprised to see the visitors failing to score here.. For example Oster, in 3rd place with 26 points to their account, have conceded 21 goals! Helsingborg have won three competitive matches in a row and have looked pretty confident on the pitch! In their most recent game they beat Orgryte 2-1 away from home after a good performance. Before this they kept a clean sheet against Eskilstuna and Ostersund – both 1-0 wins were achieved after very solid defensive performances!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

赫尔辛堡VS特瑞堡


北京时间周二凌晨,赫尔辛堡欢迎特瑞堡参加瑞典超级联赛第15轮在奥林匹亚的比赛。这是瑞典足球的第二梯队。按照欧洲标准,Superettan的水平有些低,但仍然明显好于芬兰的第二梯队Ykkönen。阿尔斯温斯坎的球员都是职业足球运动员。在分析和下注超级联赛时,重要的是要意识到这个联赛的主场优势平均低于大多数欧洲联赛,例如西甲联赛。在这场比赛中,球迷和我们这些认真的,渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待这两支球队之间的高水平比赛,比一般球队要好。正如我的大多数粉丝现在可能知道的那样,我从不让排名欺骗我!特瑞堡目前在积分榜上排名第十,他们的账户总共有17分。但是,它们的期望值(xPTS)略高一些。他们确实有一些改进的潜力,但我认为这不会很快发生。他们的比分差距并不大,准确地说是18:24。然而,他们在进攻端表现得相当不错,尤其是赛季初。然而,最近他们的进攻质量明显下降。他们的预期目标数(xG)为15.12。特瑞堡的主要问题是防守在结构上非常混乱,而且有太多愚蠢的个人错误。中场球员也应该比我们之前看到的更多地参与防守。到目前为止,他们在联赛中已经丢了24个球。这是阿尔斯温斯坎第三高的数字。到目前为止,垫底的斯科夫德队在Superettan只比特瑞堡多丢了一个球。特瑞堡在最近的五场比赛中只赢了一场。他们在暑假期间的友谊赛中取得了两场胜利,但我的球迷可能知道我不太重视这场比赛。在他们最近的一场比赛中,特瑞堡在客场对阵厄勒布罗的比赛中取得了平局,根据博彩公司的说法,他们显然处于劣势。他们能0-0打平有点幸运,因为主队显然在球场上表现得更好。他们的进球次数(12胜8负)、射门次数(9胜3负)、角球次数和危险进攻次数更多。他们也产生了更多的预期目标。特瑞堡在这场比赛中过于被动和防守,我希望东道主今天能控制住奥林匹亚的局势。这里的博彩公司低估了东道主的价值,在2.05-2.10之间的赔率随处可见。东道主有54%的机会包揽全部三分。

在和厄勒布罗战平之前,客队表现糟糕,在主场0-3输给了俄罗斯,防守和进攻看起来都很脆弱!赫尔辛堡有超级棒的球迷,所以在这场特殊的比赛中主场优势高于平均水平!我们不能忘记他们上赛季在阿尔斯温坎的比赛,他们是一支传统的球队。这是瑞典一家非常大的俱乐部。根据Transfermarkt.com(一个可靠且知名的消息来源),他们球员的总市值约为600万欧元,但我认为这个数字约为750万欧元。特瑞堡队的价值略低于500万欧元,在我看来有点太高了。他们整个赛季都在挣扎,我已经降低了他们的力量评级,这反映了我在赛季前的深入分析。然而,我想强调的是,他们在球场上和实际成绩上都比赛季初有了巨大的进步!尽管如此,他们的口袋里只有16分,但他们的期望分数是20.35分。他们还可以进一步提高,特别是在进攻结构和创造力方面。新球员也有望加入俱乐部。到目前为止,他们的进攻没有给我留下深刻的印象,考虑到高期望-不可否认。到目前为止,他们在联赛中只进了11球,但他们的xG数仍然是16.12!他们的防守做得很好,只丢了12个球。如果看到客队在这里没有进球,我不会感到惊讶。比如奥斯特,以26分排名第三,却丢了21个球!赫尔辛堡已经连续赢得了三场有竞争力的比赛,在球场上看起来相当自信!在最近的一场比赛中,他们表现出色,客场2-1击败了奥格里特。在此之前,他们在对阵埃斯基尔斯蒂纳和奥斯特松德的比赛中都保持了零失球——两场比赛都是在防守表现非常出色的情况下1-0获胜的!

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