Universitatea Craiova VS Otelul Galati

Universitatea Craiova host Otelul Galati for this Romanian Liga 1 round 2 battle at Stadionul Ion Oblemenco early Tuesday morning Beijing time. I know Romanian football extremely well and we have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! The results my fans and I achieved last season were excellent and we also won both picks on this league last week! I do not know exactly why the bookmakers make so many big mistakes with their odds in this league even in the summer when their main focus – the top European leagues such as LaLiga are on a summer break.. The level of Liga 1 is mediocre by European standards. Here we cannot expect an entertaining game even by this league's standards.. There is no denying the fact that the hosts are clear favorites here and have an edge in all areas of the game. Even so, the current odds of around 1.35 available on the betting market on the hosts are way too low! I expect the visitors to be extremely defensive here and they would undoubtedly be happy even with a draw..The probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is definitely bigger than the bookies estimate – 62% to be precise. Based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis the visitors have a 65% chance to avoid losing by more than a margin of one goal. Odds of around 1.70 are widely available for the +1.5 option at the time of writing this analysis! I do not expect Otelul to increase the risk-level even if they end up trailing by a margin of one goal. Well, they probably would not be able to take clear control of the game even if they tried as the host are a strong team with quite a lot of experience.. Otetlul will most probably mainly rely on fast counter attacks, corner kicks, free kicks or a possible penalty kick to score here. I want to highlight that they can be dangerous on counter attacks even at this level and the hosts defense does have some vulnerabilities..

In Romania the fans are usually very demanding and loud and expect their team to be aggressive, sometimes even taking (too) big risks at home especially against inferior opponents. Furthermore, they sometimes frustrate pretty fast if their team is unable to score which could potentially have a negative effect on the players. Indeed, Otelul will surely try to make this happen here! They were promoted to Liga 1 from Liga 2 for this season. We cannot expect them to do very well as they lack individual skill and experience but they are a well-organized team and according to my sources they also have a great team spirit. Their coach is also often underrated in the football media which probably affects the odds.. We must also give the ”newly promoted team boost” here! Indeed, even small teams often perform above their true class in the first 7-10 rounds of play at the new level they have managed to be promoted to. Otelul played a strong last season in Liga 2 and finished in 3rd place in the Championship Group behind Poli Lasi and Steaua București. They finished the season with 49 points in their pocket but their number of expected points (xPTS) was 53.11 and had bad luck in many games! Let's not forget that they have not lost any of their most recent six games! Four of these six matches were friendlies though and my fans probably know that I do not give friendlies that much emphasis.. However, they must feel pretty confident ahead of this massive challenge! Otelul played well in their most recent match against UTA Arad at home. It was a 1-1 draw as slim favorites according to the betting market but the hosts would have deserved a win. They recorded more goal attempts (13-8), shots on and off goal as well as attacks and dangerous attacks. Most of their players looked extremely motivated and physically fit on the pitch and were eager to fight very hard for every ball!

U. Craiova faced another newly promoted team, Dinamo Bucuresti in their most recent game and won 2-0 as very clear favorites but did not fully convince me.. The hosts even had 51% ball possession and recorded more attacks and dangerous attacks. U. Craiova did record more shots on target and goal attempts (13-10) though. The hosts, however, also missed a penalty when the score was 0-1 and the match could easily have been a draw. However, the visitors did generate more in expected goals.  U. Craiova played five friendlies, taking three wins and losing twice before the Liga 1 started. Before their last match U. Craiova beat a dangerous Bulgarian team, Slavia Sofia, in their most recent game 3-2. They did not take many wins late into last season but we must remember that they mainly faced strong teams in the Championship Group.. Their performances were pretty good or at least satisfactory in almost all 10 games in the group but their offense pretty often still lacks some speed and creativity.. They should be able to score more goals per game but I expect a big improvement to take some time.. The main rationale of this pick is, however,  not to oppose the hosts as I would not say they are overvalued on the betting market in the bigger picture but the bookies clearly underestimate Otelul who are a much better team on the pitch than the low players total market value of 4.76 million euros - according to a valuable source, Transfermarkt.com - would reflect..

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克拉约瓦大学VS奥特鲁尔加拉蒂

北京时间周二凌晨，罗马尼亚甲级联赛第二轮比赛将在奥莱门科球场举行，克拉约瓦大学主场迎战加拉蒂。我非常了解罗马尼亚足球，我们在这里有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!我和我的球迷上赛季取得的成绩非常好，上周我们还赢得了联赛的两个选秀权!我不知道为什么博彩公司在这个联赛的赔率上犯了这么多大的错误，即使是在他们的主要关注点——欧洲顶级联赛，比如西甲联赛正处于暑假期间……按照欧洲的标准，西甲的水平是中等的。即使按照这个联盟的标准，我们也不能期待一场有趣的比赛。不可否认的事实是，东道主显然是最受欢迎的，在比赛的各个方面都有优势。即便如此，目前在博彩市场上对东道主的赔率约为1.35还是太低了!我预计客队在这里会非常防守，即使平局，他们也毫无疑问会很高兴……总进球数低于2.5的可能性肯定比博彩公司估计的要大——准确地说，是62%。根据我的深入分析客队有65%的机会避免输掉超过一个球的差距。在撰写本文时，+1.5选项的赔率约为1.70 !我不认为Otelul会增加风险水平，即使他们最终落后一球。嗯，即使他们尝试，他们也可能无法完全控制比赛，因为东道主是一支经验丰富的强队。奥特鲁很可能主要依靠快速反击、角球、任意球或可能的点球来得分。我想强调的是，即使在这个级别上，他们的反击也是危险的，主机的防御确实有一些漏洞。

在罗马尼亚，球迷通常要求很高，呼声很高，他们希望自己的球队具有侵略性，有时甚至在主场面对实力较弱的对手时冒(太)大的风险。此外，如果他们的球队无法得分，他们有时会很快受挫，这可能会对玩家产生负面影响。的确，Otelul一定会努力在这里实现这一点!他们本赛季从甲乙升入甲乙。我们不能指望他们做得很好，因为他们缺乏个人技术和经验，但他们是一支组织良好的球队，根据我的消息来源，他们也有很强的团队精神。他们的教练也经常被足球媒体低估，这可能影响了赔率。我们还必须在这里给“新提升的团队提振”!事实上，即使是小球队，在他们设法提升到的新水平的前7-10轮比赛中，也经常表现得高于他们的真实水平。Otelul上赛季在西甲表现强劲，在冠军小组中排名第三，落后于波利拉西和斯托瓦București。他们在赛季结束时拿到了49分，但他们的预期积分(xPTS)是53.11，而且在很多比赛中运气都不好!别忘了他们最近的六场比赛都没有输过!这六场比赛中有四场是友谊赛，我的球迷可能知道我不太重视友谊赛。然而，面对这个巨大的挑战，他们必须感到非常自信!奥特鲁尔在最近主场对阵阿拉德的比赛中表现出色。根据博彩市场的预测，双方1比1战平，但东道主本应赢得一场胜利。他们记录了更多的进球次数(13-8次)，射门和射门，以及进攻和危险进攻。他们的大多数球员在球场上看起来都非常积极，身体健康，渴望为每一个球而努力战斗!

克拉约瓦在最近一场比赛中面对另一支新升级队布库雷斯蒂迪纳摩，他们以2比0赢得了非常明显的胜利，但并没有完全说服我。主队甚至拥有51%的控球率，并记录了更多的进攻和危险进攻。克拉约娃的射门和射门次数更多(13-10次)。然而，在比分为0-1的情况下，东道主也错失了一个点球，这场比赛本来很容易打成平局。然而，客队确实创造了更多的预期进球。克拉约娃在联赛开始前打了5场友谊赛，3胜2负。在上一场比赛之前，克拉约娃在最近的比赛中以3比2击败了危险的保加利亚球队索菲亚斯拉维亚。上赛季末他们并没有取得多少胜利，但我们必须记住，他们面对的主要是英冠组的强队。他们的表现相当不错，至少在10场比赛中几乎都令人满意

他们是一个整体，但是他们的进攻仍然缺乏一些速度和创造力。他们每场比赛应该能进更多的球，但我预计要有很大的进步需要一些时间。然而，这个选择的主要理由不是反对东道主，因为我不会说他们在更大的博彩市场上被高估了，但博彩公司显然低估了Otelul，他在球场上比低球员的总市值476万欧元要好得多——根据一个有价值的来源，Transfermarkt.com——将反映出。