Pacheca revenge time?
2021-04-09

Jarkko

外籍分析师

西甲

04/10 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

There are still 10 or so teams fighting against relegation, and there are a lot of six-pointers like this coming up. Elche has been my bottom rank all season for a reason as the material simply is not very good, but they have gotten results in several games despite losing the performance stats clearly in most cases. They have also won 2 away games, but the bad thing is that both were already in the start of the season.

So both are promoted teams, both share a manager as Pacheta who joined Huesca this January was the man who promoted Elche last season, but did not get a new contract! He knows the team well, and he is not short of revenge mood for sure.

What has Huesca recently done on the pitch?

Won Granada at home, were superior to Celta at home but somehow managed to lose it, last round won Levante away but there is a reason to doubt that Levante are mentally not the toughest opponent this rest of the season. The main man along with the manager in this upwards trend is naturally striker Rafa Mir who did not succeed in the early season, but who has now bagged 10 goals in total, and 7 of them in his last 9 games! The best thing is that seems to find goal scoring opportunities easily, and he is actually underperforming his expected goals, so there is more to come!

When the teams met in October in Elche the match ended 0-0, but the xG suggests that 0-2 would had been the fairest result.

Elche then?

Weakest team in La Liga home and away, but either they are very lucky in getting results or they do something that is difficult to measure as the performance data does see them clearly as the bottom team. The outstanding result is the win over Sevilla, but it is explained by Champion's league rotation and lack of concentration. Last time v Betis they were outplayed until Betis lost their top striker to injuey when one goal up, and drawing v Getafe in a low-scoring game is the most natural outcome.

The injury situation at Huesca is not perfect but not too bad. Ontiveros has been out for a month and has been well replaced, and the biggest worry is the injury for right-back Maffeo as he is likely replaced by a 37 yo Lopez, and he is not at his best or fastest any more. Fortunately the superb Javi Galan is fit, and along with Mosquera they should dominate the midfield.

At Elche there are basically no injury worries at all, the main worry remains, not many of the players are quite La Liga class and they need to rely once more in the shot stopping qualities of keeper Badia.

2-0

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

现在还有10支左右的球队在为保级而战,还有很多像这样的6分球即将到来。埃尔切整个赛季都在我的排名中垫底,原因就是球队的实力不是很好,但是他们在几场比赛中取得了成绩,尽管在大多数情况下他们的表现都不太好。他们也赢得了2场客场比赛,但糟糕的是这两场比赛都已经在赛季初了。

所以这两支球队都是提升的球队,都有一个共同的教练帕切塔,他在今年一月加盟韦斯卡,是上赛季提升埃尔切的人,但是没有得到一份新合同!他很了解球队,当然他也不缺少复仇的心情。

韦斯卡最近在球场上做了什么?

在主场赢了格拉纳达,在主场赢了塞尔塔,但不知何故输掉了比赛,上一轮在客场赢了莱万特,但我们有理由怀疑莱万特在精神上不是本赛季剩下的比赛中最强的对手。在这个上升的趋势中,和教练一起的主要人物是前锋拉法·米尔,他在赛季初没有取得成功,但是现在他总共进了10个球,其中7个是在他最近的9场比赛中!最好的事情是似乎很容易找到进球的机会,而他实际上没有达到他的预期进球,所以还有更多的来!

当两队10月份在埃尔切相遇时,比赛以0-0结束,但是xG认为0-2应该是最公平的结果。

埃尔切呢?

在西甲主场和客场都是最弱的球队,但他们要么是非常幸运地取得了成绩,要么是他们做了一些难以衡量的事情,因为表现数据确实清楚地显示他们是垫底的球队。出色的结果是战胜塞维利亚,但这是因为冠军联赛的轮换和注意力的缺乏。上一场对贝蒂斯的比赛中,他们被击败了,直到贝蒂斯在一球领先的情况下失去了他们的顶级前锋,而在低分的比赛中和赫塔菲交手是最自然的结果。

韦斯卡的伤病情况并不完美,但也不算太糟。翁蒂维罗斯已经缺阵一个月,而且已经被替换得很好了,最令人担心的是右后卫马菲奥的伤病,因为他很可能会被一个37岁的洛佩兹取代,而他已经不再是他最好的或者最快的了。幸运的是,出色的贾兰已经康复,他们将和莫斯克拉一起统治中场。

在埃尔切基本上没有伤病的担忧,主要的担忧仍然存在,没有多少球员是西甲级别的,他们需要再次依靠门将巴迪亚的能力。

预测比分2:0。

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