A low scoring game expected? 巴西杯帕梅拉斯VS圣保罗
2023-07-13

Milos

外籍分析师

巴西杯

07/14 07:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Palmeiras and Sao Paulo, local rivals, will face off in the second leg of their Copa do Brasil quarter-final on Thursday night. Sao Paulo secured a 1-0 victory in the first leg at home, but they have struggled on the road throughout the season.


Palmeiras, aiming to mount a comeback, will be eager to keep their hopes of a fifth Copa do Brasil title alive. Their last triumph in the competition came in 2020. In contrast, Sao Paulo has yet to taste success in the Copa do Brasil, with their best achievement being reaching the final in 2000.


Last season, the two teams met in the cup under similar circumstances. Sao Paulo held a 1-0 advantage from the home leg, and although Palmeiras won 2-1 in regular time during the return leg, Sao Paulo advanced via a penalty shootout.


Palmeiras will need to deliver a much-improved performance compared to the first leg if they want to turn the tie around. In the previous match, they managed only one shot on target and had an expected goals (xG) value of just 0.18.


Recent disappointment extends beyond the Copa do Brasil for Palmeiras, as they have gone winless in their last five domestic matches. Their game against Flamengo was marred by crowd trouble, resulting in a tragic incident where a woman was struck by a glass bottle and lost her life. The incident has drawn nationwide condemnation towards both sets of supporters. As a result of their poor form, Palmeiras has collected only two points out of a possible 12 and dropped out of the top four in the Brasileiro standings, currently sitting in fifth place, 12 points behind league leaders Botafogo.


While Palmeiras won their recent domestic encounter against Sao Paulo in the league, they are aware that a victory alone might not be sufficient, as demonstrated in last season's cup clash.


Sao Paulo's away form this season provides hope for Palmeiras, as they have earned just four points from seven away league games, making it the second-worst away record in the Brazilian top flight. However, Sao Paulo capitalized on their strong home form to take the lead in the quarter-final first leg, winning 10 out of 12 matches at home.


A goalless draw, similar to their recent encounters at Allianz Parque, would be a welcome result for Sao Paulo as they aim to secure their place in the semi-finals.

I'm struggling to see any different result than a home victory here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

帕尔梅拉斯和圣保罗是当地的竞争对手,他们将在周四晚上的巴西杯1 / 4决赛第二回合对决。圣保罗在首回合主场以1-0获胜,但他们整个赛季在客场都表现不佳。


帕尔梅拉斯的目标是东山再起,他们渴望保持第五个巴西杯冠军的希望。他们在比赛中的最后一次胜利是在2020年。相比之下,圣保罗还没有在巴西杯上尝到成功的滋味,他们最好的成绩是在2000年进入决赛。


上个赛季,这两支球队在类似的情况下在杯赛中相遇。圣保罗在主场1-0领先,尽管帕尔梅拉斯在常规时间2-1取胜,但圣保罗还是通过点球大战晋级。


如果帕尔梅拉斯想要扭转战局,他们需要拿出比首回合更好的表现。在上一场比赛中,他们只有一次射正,预期进球(xG)值仅为0.18。


帕尔梅拉斯最近的失望不仅仅体现在巴西杯上,因为他们在最近的五场国内比赛中都没有获胜。他们与弗拉门戈队的比赛因人群骚乱而被破坏,导致一名女子被玻璃瓶击中而丧生的悲剧事件。这一事件引起了两派支持者在全国范围内的谴责。由于他们糟糕的状态,帕尔梅拉斯在12场比赛中只拿到了2分,并且在巴西联赛的积分榜上跌出了前四,目前排名第五,落后联赛领头羊博塔弗戈12分。


虽然帕尔梅拉斯在最近的联赛中赢得了与圣保罗的国内比赛,但他们意识到,就像上赛季的杯赛比赛一样,单靠一场胜利可能是不够的。


圣保罗本赛季的客场表现给帕尔梅拉斯带来了希望,因为他们在7场客场比赛中只得到4分,这是巴西顶级联赛中第二差的客场战绩。然而,圣保罗利用他们强大的主场状态,在1 / 4决赛首回合取得领先,在主场12场比赛中赢了10场。


一场0比0的平局,就像他们最近在安联公园球场的遭遇一样,对于圣保罗来说将是一个受欢迎的结果,因为他们的目标是确保自己进入半决赛。

除了主场的胜利,我很难看到任何不同的结果。

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