Excellent value today in Bundesliga 1
2020-12-11

Przem

外籍分析师

德甲

12/12 03:30

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Wolfsburg have really good chances to make win in this match up.

Wolfsburg have extremely solid record at home against Frankfurt. They went unbeaten in 16 of 19 home matches against them (10 wins in the process). Moreover, Frankfurt have only won 3 of their last 15 league matches against Wolfsburg. Wolfsburg don't have problems with goalscoring against Frankfurt - they scored at least one goal in last 15 matches in a row against them and they should continue this streak today (Wolfsburg failed to score only once in last 25 matches against Frankfurt). Wolfsburg kept clean sheet 4 times in last 8 matches against Frankfurt.

Wolfsburg offense will be very hard to stop today - they don't have any problems with goals. Wolfsburg scored 16 goals in first 10 matches and this is their best result until this point in last 5 seasons. In last 4 matches in a row Wolfsburg scored at least 2 goals in each game. Striker Wout Weghorst is in red hot form - he scored 7 goals in last 7 matches. Wolfsburg should score some goals today against poor Frankfurt defense. Frankfurt conceded at least one goal in all Bundesliga 10 matches so far. Frankfurt does not get a clean sheet in last 15 Bundesliga matches in a row (24 goals conceded in the process).

I believe Frankfurt offense depend too much on Andre Silva, he was involved in more than 50% of Frankfurt goals (8/15 - 7 goals and 1 assist), but looks like his form slashed down - in last round against Dortmund he looked poor, finished after 74 minutes with rate 6.00/10.0. Wolfsburg have second best defense in league - they conceded 10 goals so far. I believe central defender Brooks will find the way how to deal with Silva - he is one of the best defender in league, as well he have great stats in the air.

Wolfsburg have one new injury before today's match - winger Renato Steffen (1goal and 2 assists in 9 matches) caught up groin injury in last round against Koln, but looks like team captain, defensive midfielder Josuha Guilavogui will be available for today's match. Frankfurt line up should look exactly the same like in previous round.

Wolfsburg still is unbeaten in league, for sure team is full of confidence. If they win today, they will go into top3 in league table. Motivation for sure is on the highest possible level. I trust for Wolfsburg here. Wolfsburg deserve to be bigger favorite in this match. Real odds on Wolfsburg around 1.7/1.8.

在我看来,沃尔夫斯堡有很好的机会赢得这场比赛。

沃尔夫斯堡在主场对阵法兰克福的比赛中有非常好的记录。他们在19场主场比赛中有16场保持不败(10胜)。此外,法兰克福在过去的15场联赛中只赢过沃尔夫斯堡3场。沃尔夫斯堡在对阵法兰克福的比赛中没有进球的问题——他们在过去15场比赛中至少进了一个球,今天他们应该继续这样的连胜(沃尔夫斯堡在过去25场对阵法兰克福的比赛中只进了一个球)。沃尔夫斯堡在过去8场对阵法兰克福的比赛中有4次保持不失球。

今天沃尔夫斯堡的进攻很难被阻挡——他们在进球方面没有任何问题。沃尔夫斯堡在前10场比赛中进了16个球,这是他们在过去5个赛季中最好的成绩。在过去的4场比赛中,沃尔夫斯堡在每场比赛中都至少打入2球。前锋沃特·韦霍斯特状态红火——他在最近7场比赛中进了7个球。沃尔夫斯堡应该在今天对阵法兰克福糟糕的防守时进一些球。到目前为止,法兰克福在10场德甲比赛中至少丢了一个球。法兰克福在最近15场德甲比赛中没有不失球的记录(24个进球)。

我认为法兰克福的进攻太依赖于安德烈·席尔瓦了,他贡献了法兰克福超过50%的进球(8/15 - 7个进球和1次助攻),但他的状态似乎被削弱了——在上一轮对多特蒙德的比赛中,他看起来很糟糕,在74分钟被换下,赛后评分只有6分。沃尔夫斯堡的防守在联盟中排名第二——到目前为止他们已经丢了10个球。我相信中后卫布鲁克斯会找到对付席尔瓦的方法——他是联盟中最好的后卫之一,同时他的空中数据也很棒。

在今天的比赛之前,沃尔夫斯堡又有一个新的伤病——边锋雷纳托·斯特芬(在9场比赛中攻入1球2次助攻)在上一轮对科隆的比赛中腹股沟受伤,但看起来球队队长,防守型中场乔苏哈·吉拉沃吉将会在今天的比赛中上场。法兰克福的阵容看起来应该和上一轮完全一样。

沃尔夫斯堡在联赛中仍然是不败的,当然球队是充满信心的。如果他们今天赢了,他们将进入积分榜的前三名。当然,动机是最高层次的。我信任沃尔夫斯堡。沃尔夫斯堡理应在这场比赛中成为更大的热门。沃尔夫斯堡的指数应该在1.7/1.8左右。

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