A FINE match to bet on! 瑞超 米亚尔比VS卡尔马
2023-07-04

Tapio

外籍分析师

瑞超

07/04 01:00

已完赛

米亚尔比
1:0
卡尔马
解读理由:

Mjällby vs Kalmar


Mjällby host Kalmar for this Swedish Allsvenskan round 13 clash at Strandvallen in Hällevik early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This league is of relatively low level by European standards but it is still much better than for example the Finnish Veikkausliiga. Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a match of mediocre level by this league's standards. I expect the game to be even more low-scoring than the betting market does. The probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 71%. Indeed, neither team have really convinced offensively this season. Even so, Kalmar have at least attacked pretty well in some games in this league this season. They have netted the ball a total of 17 times in Allsvenskan. However, their number of expected goals is a little bigger – 18.53. They can surely improve in this area of the game and I do trust their coach. Last season their game was based on solid defense as well and they finished in 4th place with 51 points and had a score difference of 41:27. They managed to take 5 more points than the biggest club, Malmö who even played in the Champions League group stage back in 2021! Mjällby, on the other hand, were much worse despite being lucky in quite a few games. Not that much has changed for this season.


Kalmar are not among the biggest teams in Sweden in terms of financial resources, historical success or players total market value according to a well-known German website, Transfermarkt.com. This is probably one of the reasons why they are very often undervalued by the bookies – the same iis true here..The biggest bookies who accept the biggest bets from customers offer tham odds of around 2.90 to take all three points. This is definitely too high! I see them having a 40% chance of winning and with the recommended +0.5 goals handicap option my fans and I have an excellent chance of winning! Kalmar have allowed just 13 goals in Allsvenskan this season which is less than a strong team Häcken, currently in second place in the standings with 29 points. Kalmar have grabbed 21 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is 23.02. Mjällby, too, have had a solid defense this season but the number of goals allowed – 12 – is still misleading.. They do have a good defensive structure but the defenders do still make silly mistakes. In many games they have had ”football gods” on their side in a sense that the opponents have wasted many very promising scoring chances. Indeed, their number of goals allowed (xGA) is 16.21. Kalmar definitely do have an edge in all areas of the game over Mjällby whose offense has been pathetic this season. They have netted the ball just nine times in this league. They have just 15 points to their account and I would not be surprised to see them drop down in the standings as the season progresses. They have lost 4/5 of their most recent competitive games. Kalmar on the other hand have been in good form lately!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Mjällby vs卡尔玛


北京时间周二凌晨Hällevik主场迎战瑞典阿尔斯venskan队在斯特兰德瓦伦的第13轮比赛。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平相对较低,但它仍然比芬兰的维卡斯利加好得多。足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的平庸水平的比赛。我预计这场比赛的得分会比博彩市场更低。总进球数少于2.5个的概率为71%。事实上,这两支球队本赛季在进攻端都没有真正让人信服。即便如此,卡尔玛至少在本赛季的一些比赛中进攻得很好。他们在阿尔斯温斯坎总共打进17球。然而,他们的预期进球数要大一些——18.53个。他们在这方面肯定可以提高,我相信他们的教练。上赛季他们的比赛也是基于坚实的防守,他们以51分排名第四,分差41:27。他们比最大的俱乐部Malmö多拿了5分,他们甚至在2021年参加了欧冠小组赛!另一方面,Mjällby,尽管在相当多的比赛中运气不错,但情况却糟糕得多。这个赛季没有太大的变化。


根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,卡尔玛在财政资源、历史成就或球员总市值方面都不是瑞典最大的球队之一。这可能就是为什么他们经常被博彩公司低估的原因之一——这里也是如此……接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司提供的赔率约为2.90,可以获得所有三个点。这绝对太高了!我认为他们有40%的获胜机会,加上推荐的+0.5个进球障碍选项,我和我的球迷有很大的获胜机会!卡尔玛本赛季在阿尔斯温斯坎只丢了13个球,这是一支实力不强的球队Häcken,目前以29分排名第二。卡尔玛拿到了21分,但他们的期望积分(xPTS)是23.02。Mjällby同样,本赛季他们的防守也很稳固,但是他们的失球数——12个——仍然让人误解。他们确实有很好的防守结构,但是后卫仍然会犯一些愚蠢的错误。在许多比赛中,他们都有“足球之神”站在他们一边,从某种意义上说,对手浪费了许多非常有希望的得分机会。事实上,他们的失球数(xGA)是16.21。卡尔玛在比赛的各个方面都有优势,Mjällby这个赛季的进攻很可怜。他们在这个联赛中只进过9次球。他们的积分只有15分,随着赛季的进行,如果他们的排名下降,我不会感到惊讶。他们在最近的比赛中输掉了4/5。另一方面,卡尔玛最近状态不错!

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