A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2023-07-02

Tapio

外籍分析师

芬甲

07/02 23:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Jaro vs Ekenäs IF


Jaro welcome visitors from the small city of Ekenäs for this Finnish Ykkönen clash at Jakobstads Centralplan late Sunday evening Beijing time. I know my home country’s football extremely well and we have yet another vert promising betting opportunity today! The level of Ykkönen is very low by European standards but it has still improved a bit during the last 8-10 years. Luckily for my fans and me the bookies put much more time and resources on the big leagues – MLS, Brazil Serie A in the summer to mention a few - than on Ykkönen where they make many mistakes with their odds! There is, of course, no doubt about the fact that Ekenäs are the better team at the moment, here. However, I want to explain a few things and highlight a few key numbers about both teams. Before the season kicked off Jaro were considered to be a stronger team than Ekenäs. Last season Jaro finished in 3rd place in the Championship Group with 50 points and were not that far from being promoted to Veikkausliiga, the first tier. Jaro have played at this level for a long time in the past.. They grabbed 12 points more than Ekenäs last season. This team have never played in Veikkausliiga and do not really have the financial resources to do that. Yes, it was clear that Jaro would not be as strong this season as they were last season as they lost some key players. Even so, they have one of the biggest players salary budgets in Ykkönen – around 220 000 euros to be precise. As for the visitors the number is 147 000 euros. Jaro have been a clear disappointment this season – there is no denying that. However, they do have a lot of potential to improve in all areas of the game. I also do trust their coach here. At home they have lost just once in Ykkönen this season. The trip from Ekenäs to Jakobstad by bus is pretty long and tiring and Jaro do have good home fans by Ykkönen standards. The home advantage in Ykkönen is smaller than in most European leagues but here it is a big factor. Ekenäs have won two of their away games in Ykkönen this season and have a negative score difference of 6:7 on the road.

 The visitors have a total of 22 points to their account and occupy the 3rd place in the standings. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is lower – 20.12 to be precise. They have netted the ball 18 times and have allowed 11 goals. They have been in decline lately failing to win any of their most recent five games. Furthermore, they have lost two games in a row. In their most recent game they lost to TPS, a disappointing team so far who are in 6th place. Ekenäs were not bad but looked vulnerable in defense losing 1-3 away from home. Before this they were crushed by KTP away from home in a Finnish Cup game. 3-0 was the final score. Before this they played a disappointing 2-2 draw at home against KPV, the rock-bottom tean in Ykkönen. Jaro have just nine points to their account. Their defense has been okay, especially at home, but offensively they have lacked creativity and speed in many games but have slowly improved in this area of the game.. They have netted the ball just eight times but their number of expected goals (xG) is 12.09. They would have deserved 13.23 points in terms of xPTS. Taking their potential into account I see this match as a coin toss without a favorite. The bookies overvalue the visitors and offer Ekenäs odds of only around 2.30 to win so Jaro +0.5 is the obvious smart bet here! Jaro were okay in their latest game despite losing to SJK Akatemia 0-1 at home. They recorded more goal attempts - 8-6 and also had more dangerous attacks. A draw would have been a justified result. Before this they faced JJK away from home losing 1-3 but the game was pretty balanced. Jaro had bad luck - for example an own goal in the 29th minute. After the 2-0 goal it became difficult for Jaro but they did not give up.. Before this they were pretty good at home beating SalPa 1-0. The bookies do not seem to realize that Ekenäs IF are far from their great form in the early season and also fail to give Jaro's potential enough emphasis!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Jaro vs Ekenäs IF


北京时间周日晚,Jaro欢迎来自小城市Ekenäs的游客观看在jakobads Centralplan举行的这场芬兰Ykkönen比赛。我非常了解我的祖国足球,今天我们又有一个非常有希望的投注机会!按照欧洲标准,Ykkönen的水平非常低,但在过去的8-10年里,它仍然有所改善。幸运的是,对于我和我的球迷来说,博彩公司在大联盟上投入了更多的时间和资源,比如MLS,夏天的巴西意甲联赛,而不是在Ykkönen上,他们在赔率上犯了很多错误!当然,毫无疑问,Ekenäs现在是一支更好的球队。然而,我想解释一些事情,并强调两支球队的一些关键数据。在赛季开始之前,Jaro被认为是一支比Ekenäs更强大的球队。上个赛季,他以50分的成绩在英冠组中排名第三,离升入一级联赛维考斯利加也不远了。在过去的很长一段时间里,贾罗一直在这个水平上打球。上赛季他们比Ekenäs多拿了12分。这支球队从来没有在维克考斯利加踢过球,也没有足够的财力去参加比赛。是的,很明显,由于他们失去了一些关键球员,这个赛季哈罗不会像上赛季那样强大。即便如此,他们还是拥有Ykkönen中最大的球员工资预算之一——准确地说,大约22万欧元。至于游客,这个数字是14.7万欧元。雅罗这个赛季的表现令人失望,这是不可否认的。然而,他们在比赛的各个方面都有很大的潜力可以提高。我也相信他们的教练。在主场,他们本赛季在Ykkönen只输了一场。从Ekenäs到Jakobstad坐巴士的路程很长很累,按照Ykkönen的标准,Jaro确实有很好的主场球迷。Ykkönen的主场优势比大多数欧洲联赛都要小,但在这里这是一个重要因素。Ekenäs本赛季客场2胜Ykkönen,客场负比分为6:7。

客队总共积22分,目前排名第三。然而,它们的期望值(xPTS)较低,准确地说是20.12。他们共打进18球,失11球。他们最近的表现每况愈下,最近五场比赛一场都没赢。此外,他们已经连续输了两场比赛。在最近的一场比赛中,他们输给了TPS,这是一支目前排名第6的令人失望的球队。Ekenäs我们还不错,但是防守很脆弱,客场1-3输掉了比赛。在此之前,他们在芬兰杯的比赛中被KTP击败。3比0是最后的比分。在此之前,他们在主场2-2战平了倒数第一的波兰队。Jaro在他们的账户上只有9分。他们的防守还不错,尤其是在主场,但是进攻端,他们在很多比赛中缺乏创造力和速度,但在这方面已经慢慢提高了。他们只有8次进球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)是12.09。他们理应得到13.23分的积分。考虑到他们的潜力,我认为这场比赛就像扔硬币一样,没有谁是最喜欢的。博彩公司高估了游客的价值,提供Ekenäs的赔率只有2.30左右,所以Jaro +0.5显然是明智的赌注!尽管在主场0-1输给了Akatemia,但在最近的比赛中,Jaro表现不错。他们有更多的进球尝试,8-6,也有更多的危险进攻。平局本来是一个合理的结果。在此之前,他们在客场1-3输掉了JJK,但比赛相当平衡。杰罗运气不佳,比如在第29分钟的时候打进了一个乌龙球。在2:0进球后,对哈罗来说变得很困难,但他们并没有放弃。在此之前,他们在主场1-0击败萨尔帕的表现相当出色。博彩公司似乎没有意识到Ekenäs如果远没有他们的伟大状态在赛季初,也没有给予哈罗的潜力足够的重视!

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。