If they are able to break bad streak?
2023-07-02

Przem

外籍分析师

解读理由:

In my opinion Miami should be bigger favorite in this match up. On those circumstances I see great value in +0AH because I can’t imagine guests win here.


Miami currently have very bad streak as they lost last 5 league matches in a row. In last two matches they played on away and I saw some positive signs. They played against stronger teams than Austin (Philadelphia and New England). Against New England they finished with more shots than opponents and had 1.37 expected goals scored. Against Philadelphia they lost, but that wasn’t deserved result at all as they had higher ball possession, more shots and higher expected goals scored number. Now they coming back to home where they made 4 wins in 9 matches and that should be good moment to break bad streak.


Austin failed to win in 6 of 8 away matches so far. Defensive formation is very leaky on the road as they conceded 17 goals in 8 away matches (!). In addition to that today they will play without two key central defenders: Ring and Vaisanen. That should have very bad impact on their performance at the back.


Miami should be able to score goals against Austin unstable, depleted defensive formation. I can imagine more than one goal for hosts and that should be enough for 3 points.



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在我看来,迈阿密在这场比赛中应该更受欢迎。在这种情况下,我认为+0AH很有价值,因为我无法想象客人在这里会赢。


迈阿密目前的战绩非常糟糕,他们在最近的5场联赛中连败。在过去的两场比赛中,他们在客场比赛,我看到了一些积极的迹象。他们的对手是比奥斯汀强的球队(费城和新英格兰)。在对阵新英格兰队的比赛中,他们的射门次数比对手多,预期进球1.37个。对费城的比赛他们输了,但这根本不是他们应得的结果,因为他们有更高的控球率,更多的射门和更高的预期进球数。现在他们回到了主场,他们在9场比赛中取得了4场胜利,这应该是打破连败的好时机。


到目前为止,奥斯汀在8场客场比赛中有6场未能获胜。在客场的防守阵型漏洞百出,他们在8场客场比赛中丢了17球。除此之外,今天他们将失去两名关键的中卫:林和瓦萨宁。这将对他们后防线的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。


迈阿密应该能够在奥斯丁不稳定,防守阵型枯竭的情况下进球。我可以想象东道主能进不止一个球,这应该足以获得3分。

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