A fine match to bet on! $$$
2023-07-02

Tapio

外籍分析师

美金杯

07/02 09:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Guatemala vs Canada



Guatemala and Canada lock horns in this North and Central America Gold Cup round 2 battle at Shell Energy Stadium in Houston, in the USA Sunday morning Beijing time. There is of course no doubt about the fact that Canada are the better team here! They even played in the World Cup in Qatar last December. However, they lost all three games. They excited the football fans around the world with their high-energy, aggressive and pretty risky offensive football especially in the first half of the first group match against Belgium. However, in the second half and against Croatia to whom they lost 1-4 it was easy to see that this young team does have a lot of talent and most players are very athletic but the team is also pretty immature and tactically not very great. Canada will surely be a dangerous team in 3-4 years time. At the moment they are, however, over-valued in most games on the betting market. This match is no exception. They were very disappointing in their most recent game against Guadeloupe as massive favorites according to the bookies. Indeed, they were priced around 1.20 to take all three points! However, it was a 2-2 draw. I want to highlight that Guadeloupe, officially a part of France, are very small football country. They do have a few pretty good players but Canada should have beaten them easily. 

Today's opponent Guatemala are a much stronger football country than the island of Guadeloupe! Yes, Canada were slightly the better team but the match was much more balanced than I – or most probably anyone would have estimated before the kickoff! Canada had only 56% ball possession and recorded only one more shot on goal than Guadeloupe. Furthermore, they generated just 1.29 in expected goals (xG) – the opponents managed 1.19. Before this Canada were not that bad but still lost to the USA 0-2. The Canadians had 61% ball possession but the Americans recorded more goal attempts (16-12) as well as shots on goal – 11-6 to be precise. They did deserve to win. Guatemala, on the other hand, dominated Cuba in the first round. Yes, they only won 1-0 but recorded many more goal attempts (17-6) and especially shots on goal - 6-1. Guatemala defended very well as a team and Cuba only recorded 0.11 in xG! Guatemala could easily have scored at least two goals after generating 2.02 in xG. Today they will be forced to defend hard I believe and have a great chance of not losing by more than one goal's difference!



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危地马拉vs加拿大



北京时间21日上午,在美国休斯敦壳牌能源体育场举行的中美金杯第二轮比赛中,危地马拉队和加拿大队展开了激烈的较量。毫无疑问,加拿大在这里是一支更好的球队!他们甚至参加了去年12月在卡塔尔举行的世界杯。然而,他们输掉了三场比赛。他们的高能量、侵略性和相当危险的进攻足球让全世界的球迷兴奋不已,尤其是在小组赛第一场对阵比利时的上半场。然而,在下半场和1-4输给克罗地亚的比赛中,很容易看出这支年轻的球队确实有很多天赋,大多数球员都很有运动能力,但球队也很不成熟,战术也不是很好。3-4年后,加拿大肯定会成为一支危险的球队。然而,目前它们在博彩市场上的大多数游戏中都被高估了。这场比赛也不例外。他们在最近与瓜德罗普岛的比赛中非常令人失望,根据博彩公司的说法,他们是大热门。事实上,它们的价格在1.20左右,这三个点都算上了!然而,双方以2比2战平。我想强调的是,瓜德罗普岛是法国的一部分,是一个非常小的足球国家。他们确实有一些非常优秀的球员,但加拿大应该轻松击败他们。

今天的对手危地马拉是一个比瓜德罗普岛强大得多的足球国家!是的,加拿大队稍微好一点,但比赛比我要平衡得多——或者大多数人在开球前都能估计到!加拿大的控球率只有56%,射门次数也只比瓜德罗普多一次。此外,他们的预期进球数仅为1.29,而对手的预期进球数为1.19。在此之前,加拿大并没有那么糟糕,但仍然以0比2输给了美国。加拿大人有61%的控球率,但美国人的进球次数(16-12)和射门次数更多——准确地说是11-6。他们确实应该赢。另一方面,危地马拉在第一轮就战胜了古巴。是的,他们只赢了1-0,但他们的进球次数更多(17-6),尤其是射门次数(6-1)。危地马拉的防守非常好,而古巴在xG的得分只有0.11 !瓜地马拉在xG比赛中创造了2.02分,本可以轻松地至少进两个球。我相信今天他们将不得不努力防守,并且有很大的机会不输给超过一球的差距!

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