MP vs KäPa

MP welcome visitors from Helsinki for this Finnish Ykkönen Mikkelin Urheilupuisto in Mikkeli late Wednesday evening Beijing time. I know my home country’s football extremely well and we have yet another vert promising betting opportunity here! The level of Ykkönen is very low by European standards but it has still improved a bit during the last 8-10 years. Luckily for my fans and me the bookies put much more time and resources on the big leagues than on Ykkönen where they make many mistakes with their odds. There is, of course, no doubt about the fact that MP are the better team here. However, I want to explain a few things and highlight a few key numbers about both teams. Before the season starte KäPa were considered to be much better than MP by most bookies, Finnish football bettors as well as several professional bettors! The teams met on the 16th of April in Helsinki and Käpa took a 2-0 win. The match was, however, more balanced though. I would still say that KäPa were slightly the better team on the pitch. They were priced around 1.70 by the bookies to take all three points. However, MP have been one of the biggest positive surprises in Finnish football this season! Even so, they have now become too hot on the betting market and they have been praised in the football media., They are a young and very fit team that play active, aggressive football and work very hard. This fascinated the football fans and bettors and affects the odds..

MP have taken 24 points so far and are in second place in the Ykkönen standings. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is only 20.12. Many of their players have played above their normal level so far this season and this cannot go on forever. They are currently in the 5th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class with the best possible lineup. KäPa, on the other hand, have 11 points to their account which is very close to the number of their xPTS. They are in the 9th place in my power rating. MP have netted the ball 17 times and in this area of the game their edge over the visitors is pretty small. In fact, KäPa, too, have scored 17 goals but ther number of expected goals is lower – 15.45 to be precise. Defensively MP have been solid and few defensive mistakes have been surprisingly low. They have allowed just nine goals but their number of goals allowed (xGA) is 13.12. KäPa have had quite a lot of defensive problems so far and have allowed 23 goals so far in Ykkönen. However, they have improved in this area of the game lately. Furthermore, their number of xGA is 18.02. I want to highlight that their publicly announced players' salary budget for this season is around 150 000 euros. As for MP it is only around 120 000 euros. 

The hosts have now played two draws in a row. In their most recent match they were a little lucky against TPS, currently in 6th place, it was a 1-1 draw. TPS recorded several more shots on goal and goal attempts than MP. Before this they faced Ekenäs IF at home and no goals were balanced in this balanced clash. KäPa pretty comfortably beat JäPS in their latest game 3-1 at home. Rather weirdly they were underdogs in this game on the betting market. Before this it was a 1-1 draw away from home against KPV as clear underdogs but KäPa would have deserved a win! They had 56% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (12-5), shots on goal (7-3), shots off goal (5-2), as well as both attacks and dangerous attacks. Home advantage in Ykkönen is low by global standards which is something the bookies sometimes fail to fully recognize. KäPa have a 49% chance to avoid losing here and have a very good chance to cover the +1.5 goals recommended handicap! I expect the odds on KäPa to go down after writing this preview around 8 pm. Beijing time!

MP vs KäPa

北京时间周三晚，议员们在米凯利欢迎来自赫尔辛基的游客观看这首芬兰语Ykkönen米凯利乌尔海鲁普斯托。我非常了解我的祖国足球，我们这里还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!按照欧洲标准，Ykkönen的水平非常低，但在过去的8-10年里，它仍然有所改善。幸运的是，对于我和我的球迷来说，博彩公司把更多的时间和资源放在大联盟上，而不是在Ykkönen上，他们在赔率上犯了很多错误。当然，毫无疑问，MP在这里是一支更好的球队。然而，我想解释一些事情，并强调两支球队的一些关键数据。在赛季开始之前，KäPa被大多数博彩公司，芬兰足球投注者以及一些专业投注者认为比MP好得多!两队于4月16日在赫尔辛基相遇，Käpa以2-0取胜。然而，这场比赛更加平衡。我仍然会说KäPa在球场上稍好一些。博彩公司给他们的价格约为1.70英镑，可以拿到全部3分。然而，MP是本赛季芬兰足坛最大的惊喜之一!即便如此，他们现在在博彩市场上已经变得太火了，他们在足球媒体上得到了赞扬。他们是一支年轻而健康的球队，踢着积极进取的足球，非常努力。这吸引了足球迷和投注者，并影响了赔率。

到目前为止，MP已经拿到了24分，在Ykkönen积分榜上排名第二。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)只有20.12。本赛季到目前为止，他们很多球员的表现都超出了正常水平，这种情况不可能永远持续下去。他们目前在我的力量排名中排名第五，这反映了球队的纯粹等级和最好的阵容。另一方面，KäPa在他们的帐户中有11个点，这与他们的xpt数量非常接近。他们在我的权力评级中排名第九。英格兰队有17次射门入网，在这方面他们对客队的优势很小。事实上，KäPa也进了17个球，但他们的预期进球数更低，准确地说是15.45个。防守端球员表现稳定，防守失误少得惊人。他们只丢了9个球，但他们的失球数(xGA)是13.12个。KäPa到目前为止有很多防守问题，在Ykkönen比赛中丢了23个球。然而，他们最近在这方面有了进步。此外，它们的xGA数为18.02。我想强调的是，他们公开宣布的球员本赛季的工资预算约为15万欧元。至于MP，它只有大约12万欧元。

东道主已经连续两场打平。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们有点幸运，对阵目前排名第六的TPS，他们以1比1战平。TPS的射门和射门次数都比MP多。在此之前，他们在主场面对Ekenäs IF，在这场势均力敌的比赛中没有进球。KäPa在最近的主场比赛中以3-1轻松击败JäPS。奇怪的是，他们在这场博彩市场上处于劣势。在此之前，我们在客场1-1战平了明显处于劣势的pv，但KäPa本可以获得一场胜利!他们有56%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数(12-5)，射正(7-3)，射偏(5-2)，以及进攻和危险进攻。以全球标准衡量，Ykkönen的主场优势很低，这一点是博彩公司有时无法充分认识到的。KäPa有49%的机会避免在这里输掉比赛，并且有很好的机会覆盖+1.5球的推荐差点!我预计在晚上8点左右写完这篇预告后，KäPa的赔率会下降。北京时间!